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yeon参与话题 6消息总数 346

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yeon 2026-07-01 19:51:35 Polymarket

so, the MOU states that: 1) Iran will have administrative authority over Hormuz and provide services 2) Hormuz will be governed in line with international law 3) International law allows charging for services

so, the MOU states that: 1) Iran will have administrative authority over Hormuz and provide services 2) Hormuz will be governed in line with international law 3) International law allows charging for services

also to note, the MOU allows Iran to provide "maritime services". this is a very specific term. under the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea, coastal states may not charge tolls but they may charge for maritime services. see: https://www.un.org/depts/los/convention_agreements/texts/unclos/unclos_e.pdf page 33 article 26

also to note, the MOU allows Iran to provide "maritime services". this is a very specific term. under the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea, coastal states may not charge tolls but they may charge for maritime services. see: https://www.un.org/depts/los/convention_agreements/texts/unclos/unclos_e.pdf page 33 article 26

yeon 2026-07-01 19:17:28 Polymarket

what about the fact that US endorsed iranian administration of hormuz? also this aligns with the reporting that US agrees to fees in the final hour to hold off iranian retaliation strikes for beirut

what about the fact that US endorsed iranian administration of hormuz? also this aligns with the reporting that US agrees to fees in the final hour to hold off iranian retaliation strikes for beirut

ISW also: https://x.com/TheStudyofWar/status/2067786454315536563 "The MoU allows for a resumption of fee collection after 60 days"

ISW also: https://x.com/TheStudyofWar/status/2067786454315536563 "The MoU allows for a resumption of fee collection after 60 days"

yeon 2026-06-20 14:42:14 Polymarket

I'm starting to understand why he said based to this 💀

I'm starting to understand why he said based to this 💀

yeon 2026-06-20 14:40:39 Polymarket

<:monkaMega:806906291594723340>

<:monkaMega:806906291594723340>

yeon 2026-06-20 14:40:33 Polymarket

im scared to ask any more

im scared to ask any more

yeon 2026-06-20 14:39:04 Polymarket

btw anybody know why his name is rememberamalek? is that just a joke or...?

btw anybody know why his name is rememberamalek? is that just a joke or...?

yeon 2026-06-20 07:18:08 Polymarket

https://www.youtube.com/shorts/EYwdZut9e0Y

https://www.youtube.com/shorts/EYwdZut9e0Y

yeon 2026-06-20 07:15:05 Polymarket

ehh these meeting probably gonna end in failure too and vance is getting the blame

ehh these meeting probably gonna end in failure too and vance is getting the blame

yeon 2026-06-20 07:05:18 Polymarket

any future meetings with iranians will probably be face to face, so less chance of cucks

any future meetings with iranians will probably be face to face, so less chance of cucks

yeon 2026-06-20 07:04:54 Polymarket

here, some free alpha for you guys

here, some free alpha for you guys

yeon 2026-06-20 06:58:46 Polymarket

meeting was a good buy anyway, iran is playing hardball but they still want this deal

meeting was a good buy anyway, iran is playing hardball but they still want this deal

yeon 2026-06-20 06:42:03 Polymarket

imcrine. do you even understand the arguments being made here and why they are related? man today has really been blackpilling for me on the avg iq of this chat

imcrine. do you even understand the arguments being made here and why they are related? man today has really been blackpilling for me on the avg iq of this chat

yeon 2026-06-20 06:38:18 Polymarket

I thought both enrichment markets should go Y imo, but it looks like they will probably both go N. unless trump has another trump moment I guess

I thought both enrichment markets should go Y imo, but it looks like they will probably both go N. unless trump has another trump moment I guess

yeon 2026-06-20 06:37:00 Polymarket

exact same argument that was tried today vro. it's over lol. he has to say the words exactly

exact same argument that was tried today vro. it's over lol. he has to say the words exactly

yeon 2026-06-20 06:35:40 Polymarket

which was the argument made today, freezing nuclear program = freezing enrichment but that was denied

which was the argument made today, freezing nuclear program = freezing enrichment but that was denied

yeon 2026-06-20 06:35:23 Polymarket

he said they can have a nuclear program, you would need to read that implicitly as nuclear program = enrichment

he said they can have a nuclear program, you would need to read that implicitly as nuclear program = enrichment

yeon 2026-06-20 06:34:29 Polymarket

today's clarif nukes the g7 statement tbh

today's clarif nukes the g7 statement tbh

yeon 2026-06-20 06:19:57 Polymarket

what happens when theres no scams

what happens when theres no scams

yeon 2026-06-20 06:19:48 Polymarket

now we're having disputes on what the clarifications mean <:ICANT:1055828905031909467>

now we're having disputes on what the clarifications mean <:ICANT:1055828905031909467>

yeon 2026-06-20 06:17:27 Polymarket

i really hate to say this but car is right

i really hate to say this but car is right

yeon 2026-06-20 06:10:37 Polymarket

for this round almost zero

for this round almost zero

yeon 2026-06-20 06:09:14 Polymarket

talking about the nuclear program. it's close but it's a bit indirect

talking about the nuclear program. it's close but it's a bit indirect

yeon 2026-06-20 03:39:39 Polymarket

N believers please fill me on Dec. 31 market

N believers please fill me on Dec. 31 market

yeon 2026-06-20 03:31:09 Polymarket

This is where literacy becomes a handicap. This is technically true but in no world would that fly for the agreement

This is where literacy becomes a handicap. This is technically true but in no world would that fly for the agreement

yeon 2026-06-20 03:24:23 Polymarket

N believers please fill me on Dec. 31 market I will buy in size

N believers please fill me on Dec. 31 market I will buy in size

yeon 2026-06-20 03:17:58 Polymarket

Yeah I agree. I think reality is they are freezing for some years and then continuing with low grade, so I think both markets should go Y

Yeah I agree. I think reality is they are freezing for some years and then continuing with low grade, so I think both markets should go Y

yeon 2026-06-20 03:07:35 Polymarket

Since you have not been following, what do you think about this clip as someone with no preconceptions? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7czqP_rln8A&t=43s

Since you have not been following, what do you think about this clip as someone with no preconceptions? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7czqP_rln8A&t=43s

yeon 2026-06-19 19:40:05 Polymarket

I mean it is 1 minute clip. Anyone can watch it and see that it is not misquoted 🤷

I mean it is 1 minute clip. Anyone can watch it and see that it is not misquoted 🤷

yeon 2026-06-19 19:38:34 Polymarket

I haven't blocked anyone so far

I haven't blocked anyone so far

yeon 2026-06-19 19:38:14 Polymarket

No he blocked me on like day 1 that I was here 🤣

No he blocked me on like day 1 that I was here 🤣

yeon 2026-06-19 19:35:06 Polymarket

Where is Vance being misquoted? Anyone can watch the video and judge for themselves: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7czqP_rln8A&t=43s He is asked about handshake agreements and he says: We don't trust words, we trust actions... so if Iran does what they have promised, they have promised not to enrich... then we will give them the benefits outlined in the deal. This is all past tense, he is saying they already made agreements and that's why they have written concessions into the deal for Iran because Iran has already made these commitments including not to enrich.

Where is Vance being misquoted? Anyone can watch the video and judge for themselves: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7czqP_rln8A&t=43s He is asked about handshake agreements and he says: We don't trust words, we trust actions... so if Iran does what they have promised, they have promised not to enrich... then we will give them the benefits outlined in the deal. This is all past tense, he is saying they already made agreements and that's why they have written concessions into the deal for Iran because Iran has already made these commitments including not to enrich.

yeon 2026-06-19 18:56:08 Polymarket

What do you think of the vance clip? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7czqP_rln8A&t=43s I kinda agree about the status quo, it's interpretation hell, but this statement seems in no need of interpretation to me.

What do you think of the vance clip? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7czqP_rln8A&t=43s I kinda agree about the status quo, it's interpretation hell, but this statement seems in no need of interpretation to me.

yeon 2026-06-19 18:36:48 Polymarket

alright well we're just going to go in circles there. I've said all I wanted to about this for now

alright well we're just going to go in circles there. I've said all I wanted to about this for now

yeon 2026-06-19 18:35:53 Polymarket

also not required. stopping for any length of time is enough

also not required. stopping for any length of time is enough

yeon 2026-06-19 18:35:07 Polymarket

please be clear about what the rules actually require. credible reporting of a promise is enough. it does not need to be public

please be clear about what the rules actually require. credible reporting of a promise is enough. it does not need to be public

yeon 2026-06-19 18:33:40 Polymarket

troops precedent is that it counts even if it's contingent on the final deal. it does not need to actually happen, just a promise is enough.

troops precedent is that it counts even if it's contingent on the final deal. it does not need to actually happen, just a promise is enough.

yeon 2026-06-19 18:31:16 Polymarket

He is reporting what an iranian official has said

He is reporting what an iranian official has said

yeon 2026-06-19 18:29:26 Polymarket

<@886004822669664286> <@1428890877744644240> is asking if you can unblock him

<@886004822669664286> <@1428890877744644240> is asking if you can unblock him

yeon 2026-06-19 18:28:56 Polymarket

I will just keep posting this clip because it is crystal clear. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7czqP_rln8A&t=43s "If they do the things they have promised to do, **they have promised not to enrich**"

I will just keep posting this clip because it is crystal clear. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7czqP_rln8A&t=43s "If they do the things they have promised to do, **they have promised not to enrich**"

yeon 2026-06-19 18:22:39 Polymarket

Effendi is going to have to stay online 24/7 cause as soon as he leaves the level of argument drops substantially <:ICANT:1055828905031909467>

Effendi is going to have to stay online 24/7 cause as soon as he leaves the level of argument drops substantially <:ICANT:1055828905031909467>

yeon 2026-06-19 17:50:27 Polymarket

He's publically announcing it right now. If they make a secret deal and it gets leaked by the news for example, that would clearly count.

He's publically announcing it right now. If they make a secret deal and it gets leaked by the news for example, that would clearly count.

yeon 2026-06-19 17:49:21 Polymarket

It's in the MoU as well but it requires some interpretation you can check the UMA thread

It's in the MoU as well but it requires some interpretation you can check the UMA thread

yeon 2026-06-19 17:47:29 Polymarket

He's saying they have... they made a backchannel promise

He's saying they have... they made a backchannel promise

yeon 2026-06-19 17:46:01 Polymarket

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7czqP_rln8A&t=43s > If they do the things they have promised to do, **they have promised not to enrich**

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7czqP_rln8A&t=43s > If they do the things they have promised to do, **they have promised not to enrich**

yeon 2026-06-19 17:18:46 Polymarket

They don't need to be. Pretend the MoU doesn't exist and just take his comments in isolation

They don't need to be. Pretend the MoU doesn't exist and just take his comments in isolation

yeon 2026-06-19 17:18:17 Polymarket

I don't know how anyone can watch the JD Vance clip and say that there is no pledge of stopping enrichment

I don't know how anyone can watch the JD Vance clip and say that there is no pledge of stopping enrichment

yeon 2026-06-19 17:17:54 Polymarket

<@941405798096076880> <@1212792946341183578>

<@941405798096076880> <@1212792946341183578>

yeon 2026-06-19 15:53:18 Polymarket

I don't think it is just cherrypicking though. Ok, reporting maybe. But JD Vance seems very clearly to be saying Iranian side made promises on enrichment. JD Vance surely knows details of the negotiations and is credible here.

I don't think it is just cherrypicking though. Ok, reporting maybe. But JD Vance seems very clearly to be saying Iranian side made promises on enrichment. JD Vance surely knows details of the negotiations and is credible here.

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