Polymarket-Market Title Will Diosdado Cabello be imprisoned by December 31, 2026? -Outcomes Yes No -Market Description This market will resolve to "Yes" if Diosdado Cabello is incarcerated or otherwise held in official government custody anywhere in the world at any point on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." -Proposed Resolution Criteria This market resolves "Yes" if Diosdado Cabello is officially detained, arrested, imprisoned, or otherwise held in the custody of a recognized governmental authority (including Venezuela or any other sovereign state) before the deadline. Temporary investigative questioning without formal detention, house arrest, travel restrictions, sanctions, indictments, arrest warrants, or unconfirmed reports will not qualify. If Cabello is released before December 31, 2026, the market will still resolve "Yes", provided that a qualifying period of official detention occurred before the deadline. If there is ambiguity regarding the status of his detention, this market may remain open until sufficient confirmation becomes available. -Resolution Source A consensus of credible reporting from major international news organizations (such as Reuters, Associated Press, Bloomberg, BBC, AFP, or similar), official government statements, official court records, or official law enforcement announcements. -Reason for Submission Diosdado Cabello is one of the highest-profile political figures in Venezuela. His legal status is closely followed internationally. The outcome is objective and can be verified through official announcements and widespread reporting. There are currently very few prediction markets focused on major Venezuelan political developments. News/Notices: https://www.semana.com/mundo/articulo/desde-ee-uu-piden-la-captura-de-diosdado-cabello-tras-los-terremotos-en-venezuela-deberiamos-capturar-a-este-maton/202653/ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iJWpd9Pm8-M
-Market Title Will Diosdado Cabello be imprisoned by December 31, 2026? -Outcomes Yes No -Market Description This market will resolve to "Yes" if Diosdado Cabello is incarcerated or otherwise held in official government custody anywhere in the world at any point on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." -Proposed Resolution Criteria This market resolves "Yes" if Diosdado Cabello is officially detained, arrested, imprisoned, or otherwise held in the custody of a recognized governmental authority (including Venezuela or any other sovereign state) before the deadline. Temporary investigative questioning without formal detention, house arrest, travel restrictions, sanctions, indictments, arrest warrants, or unconfirmed reports will not qualify. If Cabello is released before December 31, 2026, the market will still resolve "Yes", provided that a qualifying period of official detention occurred before the deadline. If there is ambiguity regarding the status of his detention, this market may remain open until sufficient confirmation becomes available. -Resolution Source A consensus of credible reporting from major international news organizations (such as Reuters, Associated Press, Bloomberg, BBC, AFP, or similar), official government statements, official court records, or official law enforcement announcements. -Reason for Submission Diosdado Cabello is one of the highest-profile political figures in Venezuela. His legal status is closely followed internationally. The outcome is objective and can be verified through official announcements and widespread reporting. There are currently very few prediction markets focused on major Venezuelan political developments. News/Notices: https://www.semana.com/mundo/articulo/desde-ee-uu-piden-la-captura-de-diosdado-cabello-tras-los-terremotos-en-venezuela-deberiamos-capturar-a-este-maton/202653/ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iJWpd9Pm8-M