riversfides参与话题 0消息总数 22

riversfides 2026-06-16 17:59:00 ↗ Polymarket

Market Title Will CRISPR gene therapy be approved for a common genetic disease like sickle cell or beta-thalassemia in China by December 31, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if China’s NMPA approves a CRISPR-based gene therapy for sickle cell disease or beta-thalassemia by the end of 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria Official regulatory approval. Resolution Source NMPA, company announcements, Nature Medicine.

Market Title Will CRISPR gene therapy be approved for a common genetic disease like sickle cell or beta-thalassemia in China by December 31, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if China’s NMPA approves a CRISPR-based gene therapy for sickle cell disease or beta-thalassemia by the end of 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria Official regulatory approval. Resolution Source NMPA, company announcements, Nature Medicine.

riversfides 2026-06-15 17:59:36 ↗ Polymarket

Market Title: Total Rainfall in Toronto, Ontario, Canada on June 17, 2026? Result: Yes: Total rainfall is exactly 0.0 mm. No: Total rainfall is greater than 0.0 mm. Market Description: This market predicts whether Toronto will experience completely dry weather on June 17, 2026, i.e., no rainfall recorded. Proposed Resolution Criteria: If the total cumulative rainfall recorded at Toronto Pearson International Airport (CYYZ) on June 17, 2026 is exactly 0.0 mm, the market result is "Yes". If any rainfall is recorded, the result is "No". Resolution Source: The resolution source for this market will be information provided by Wunderground, specifically the forecast data for the daily cumulative rainfall (Precip. Accum.) from the Toronto Pearson International Airport weather station (to be finalized). This market cannot determine "Yes" until all data for the day is finalized. The resolution for this market is based on millimeters, accurate to one decimal place (e.g., 0.0 mm). Therefore, this market will use this level of accuracy for resolution determination. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after the final data confirmation during the market's time period will not be included in the resolution calculation for this market.

Market Title: Total Rainfall in Toronto, Ontario, Canada on June 17, 2026? Result: Yes: Total rainfall is exactly 0.0 mm. No: Total rainfall is greater than 0.0 mm. Market Description: This market predicts whether Toronto will experience completely dry weather on June 17, 2026, i.e., no rainfall recorded. Proposed Resolution Criteria: If the total cumulative rainfall recorded at Toronto Pearson International Airport (CYYZ) on June 17, 2026 is exactly 0.0 mm, the market result is "Yes". If any rainfall is recorded, the result is "No". Resolution Source: The resolution source for this market will be information provided by Wunderground, specifically the forecast data for the daily cumulative rainfall (Precip. Accum.) from the Toronto Pearson International Airport weather station (to be finalized). This market cannot determine "Yes" until all data for the day is finalized. The resolution for this market is based on millimeters, accurate to one decimal place (e.g., 0.0 mm). Therefore, this market will use this level of accuracy for resolution determination. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after the final data confirmation during the market's time period will not be included in the resolution calculation for this market.

riversfides 2026-06-13 19:44:53 ↗ Polymarket

Market Title: What will be the highest temperature in Paris, France on June 15, 2026? Result: Yes: 23°C. No: Not 23°C. Market Description: This market forecasts the highest (daytime) temperature in Paris on June 15, 2026. Suggested Resolution Standard: This market will use the highest Celsius temperature range recorded at Charles de Gaulle Airport (CDG) on June 15, 2026. Resolution Source: The resolution source for this market is information provided by the Wunderground website, specifically the highest temperature recorded by the Charles de Gaulle International Airport weather station on that day (to be finalized). To switch between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the temperature setting from °F to °C. This market cannot be rated "Yes" until all data for the day is finalized. This market is based on integer Celsius temperatures (e.g., 23°C). Therefore, this level of precision will be used for market judgment. Any temperature corrections recorded after the data is finalized during this market period will not be considered.

Market Title: What will be the highest temperature in Paris, France on June 15, 2026? Result: Yes: 23°C. No: Not 23°C. Market Description: This market forecasts the highest (daytime) temperature in Paris on June 15, 2026. Suggested Resolution Standard: This market will use the highest Celsius temperature range recorded at Charles de Gaulle Airport (CDG) on June 15, 2026. Resolution Source: The resolution source for this market is information provided by the Wunderground website, specifically the highest temperature recorded by the Charles de Gaulle International Airport weather station on that day (to be finalized). To switch between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the temperature setting from °F to °C. This market cannot be rated "Yes" until all data for the day is finalized. This market is based on integer Celsius temperatures (e.g., 23°C). Therefore, this level of precision will be used for market judgment. Any temperature corrections recorded after the data is finalized during this market period will not be considered.

riversfides 2026-06-11 19:41:07 ↗ Polymarket

Market Title Will a new antibiotic effective against superbugs receive FDA approval by December 31, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if the FDA approves a novel antibiotic capable of treating carbapenem-resistant or other multidrug-resistant bacteria. Proposed Resolution Criteria Official FDA approval. Resolution Source FDA.gov, WHO, pharmaceutical company announcements.

Market Title Will a new antibiotic effective against superbugs receive FDA approval by December 31, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if the FDA approves a novel antibiotic capable of treating carbapenem-resistant or other multidrug-resistant bacteria. Proposed Resolution Criteria Official FDA approval. Resolution Source FDA.gov, WHO, pharmaceutical company announcements.

riversfides 2026-06-11 12:04:38 ↗ Polymarket

Moscow, Russia – Lowest Temperature Market Title Lowest temperature in Moscow, Russia on June 12, 2026? Outcomes YES: The temperature is 14°C. NO: The temperature is not 14°C. Market Description This market predicts the lowest (overnight/lowest) temperature for Moscow on June 12, 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at Sheremetyevo International Airport (SVO) in degrees Celsius on June 12, 2026. Resolution Source The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sheremetyevo Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ru/moscow/SVO To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market cannot resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 14°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Moscow, Russia – Lowest Temperature Market Title Lowest temperature in Moscow, Russia on June 12, 2026? Outcomes YES: The temperature is 14°C. NO: The temperature is not 14°C. Market Description This market predicts the lowest (overnight/lowest) temperature for Moscow on June 12, 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at Sheremetyevo International Airport (SVO) in degrees Celsius on June 12, 2026. Resolution Source The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sheremetyevo Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ru/moscow/SVO To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market cannot resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 14°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

riversfides 2026-06-10 18:47:48 ↗ Polymarket

. Suzhou, China – Lowest Temperature Market Title Lowest temperature in Suzhou, China on June 13, 2026? Outcomes YES: The temperature is 24°C. NO: The temperature is not 24°C. Market Description This market predicts the lowest (overnight/lowest) temperature for Suzhou on June 13, 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sunan Shuofang International Airport (ZSWX) in degrees Celsius on June 13, 2026. Resolution Source The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sunan Shuofang Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/suzhou/ZSWX To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market cannot resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg,24 °C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

. Suzhou, China – Lowest Temperature Market Title Lowest temperature in Suzhou, China on June 13, 2026? Outcomes YES: The temperature is 24°C. NO: The temperature is not 24°C. Market Description This market predicts the lowest (overnight/lowest) temperature for Suzhou on June 13, 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sunan Shuofang International Airport (ZSWX) in degrees Celsius on June 13, 2026. Resolution Source The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sunan Shuofang Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/suzhou/ZSWX To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market cannot resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg,24 °C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

riversfides 2026-06-10 11:57:54 ↗ Polymarket

Paris, France – Highest Temperature Market Title Highest temperature in Paris, France on June 12, 2026? Outcomes YES: The temperature is 22°C. NO: The temperature is not22°C. Market Description This market predicts the highest temperature for Paris on June 12, 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at Charles de Gaulle Airport (CDG) in degrees Celsius on June 12, 2026. Resolution Source The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/CDG To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market cannot resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 22°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Paris, France – Highest Temperature Market Title Highest temperature in Paris, France on June 12, 2026? Outcomes YES: The temperature is 22°C. NO: The temperature is not22°C. Market Description This market predicts the highest temperature for Paris on June 12, 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at Charles de Gaulle Airport (CDG) in degrees Celsius on June 12, 2026. Resolution Source The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/CDG To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market cannot resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 22°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

riversfides 2026-06-09 18:38:16 ↗ Polymarket

Shanghai, China – Precipitation Market Title Will it rain in Shanghai, China on June 13, 2026? Outcomes YES: There is measurable precipitation (≥0.1 mm). NO: There is no measurable precipitation. Market Description This market predicts whether measurable rain falls in Shanghai on June 13, 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria This market will resolve Yes if any precipitation (≥0.1 mm) is recorded at Pudong International Airport (PVG) on June 13, 2026. Resolution Source The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the daily precipitation recorded for the Pudong Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/PVG To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market cannot resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. Any revisions to data recorded after finalization will not be considered.

Shanghai, China – Precipitation Market Title Will it rain in Shanghai, China on June 13, 2026? Outcomes YES: There is measurable precipitation (≥0.1 mm). NO: There is no measurable precipitation. Market Description This market predicts whether measurable rain falls in Shanghai on June 13, 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria This market will resolve Yes if any precipitation (≥0.1 mm) is recorded at Pudong International Airport (PVG) on June 13, 2026. Resolution Source The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the daily precipitation recorded for the Pudong Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/PVG To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market cannot resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. Any revisions to data recorded after finalization will not be considered.

riversfides 2026-06-09 12:05:25 ↗ Polymarket

Paris, France – Lowest Temperature Market Title Lowest temperature in Paris, France on June 11, 2026? Outcomes YES: The temperature is 11°C. NO: The temperature is not11°C. Market Description This market predicts the lowest (overnight/lowest) temperature for Paris on June 11, 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at Charles de Gaulle Airport (CDG) in degrees Celsius on June 11, 2026. Resolution Source The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/CDG To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market cannot resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 11°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Paris, France – Lowest Temperature Market Title Lowest temperature in Paris, France on June 11, 2026? Outcomes YES: The temperature is 11°C. NO: The temperature is not11°C. Market Description This market predicts the lowest (overnight/lowest) temperature for Paris on June 11, 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at Charles de Gaulle Airport (CDG) in degrees Celsius on June 11, 2026. Resolution Source The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/CDG To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market cannot resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 11°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

riversfides 2026-06-07 18:42:52 ↗ Polymarket

Singapore – Precipitation Market Title Will it rain in Singapore on June 9, 2026? Outcomes YES: There is measurable precipitation (≥0.1 mm). NO: There is no measurable precipitation. Market Description This market predicts whether measurable rain falls in Singapore on June 9, 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria This market will resolve Yes if any precipitation (≥0.1 mm) is recorded at Changi Airport (WSSS) on June 9, 2026. Resolution Source The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the daily precipitation recorded for the Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market cannot resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. Any revisions to data recorded after finalization will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Singapore – Precipitation Market Title Will it rain in Singapore on June 9, 2026? Outcomes YES: There is measurable precipitation (≥0.1 mm). NO: There is no measurable precipitation. Market Description This market predicts whether measurable rain falls in Singapore on June 9, 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria This market will resolve Yes if any precipitation (≥0.1 mm) is recorded at Changi Airport (WSSS) on June 9, 2026. Resolution Source The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the daily precipitation recorded for the Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market cannot resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. Any revisions to data recorded after finalization will not be considered for this market's resolution.

riversfides 2026-06-07 11:58:27 ↗ Polymarket

Market Title Will OpenAI release GPT-5 by December 31, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if OpenAI publicly releases a model officially named GPT-5 or its direct successor by December 31, 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria Official announcement and public availability of the model from OpenAI. Resolution Source OpenAI official website or blog.

Market Title Will OpenAI release GPT-5 by December 31, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if OpenAI publicly releases a model officially named GPT-5 or its direct successor by December 31, 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria Official announcement and public availability of the model from OpenAI. Resolution Source OpenAI official website or blog.

riversfides 2026-06-06 18:28:29 ↗ Polymarket

Market Title Will Grok 4 be released by xAI by December 31, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if xAI releases Grok 4 or a higher version by December 31, 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria Official xAI announcement and public availability. Resolution Source xAI official website or Elon Musk/X announcements.

Market Title Will Grok 4 be released by xAI by December 31, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if xAI releases Grok 4 or a higher version by December 31, 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria Official xAI announcement and public availability. Resolution Source xAI official website or Elon Musk/X announcements.

riversfides 2026-06-06 12:06:13 ↗ Polymarket

Market Title Will AI-generated video surpass Hollywood-level realism by December 31, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if AI video generation tools can consistently produce full-length movies indistinguishable from professional Hollywood productions by expert evaluation. Proposed Resolution Criteria Blind tests and industry consensus. Resolution Source Reports from Hollywood studios or major film technology reviews.

Market Title Will AI-generated video surpass Hollywood-level realism by December 31, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if AI video generation tools can consistently produce full-length movies indistinguishable from professional Hollywood productions by expert evaluation. Proposed Resolution Criteria Blind tests and industry consensus. Resolution Source Reports from Hollywood studios or major film technology reviews.

riversfides 2026-06-05 18:45:00 ↗ Polymarket

Market Title Will a robot powered by advanced AI pass the physical Turing Test by December 31, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if a humanoid robot with AI demonstrates human-level physical and cognitive interaction in real-world environments. Proposed Resolution Criteria Widely accepted by robotics and AI experts. Resolution Source IEEE Spectrum or major robotics conferences.

Market Title Will a robot powered by advanced AI pass the physical Turing Test by December 31, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if a humanoid robot with AI demonstrates human-level physical and cognitive interaction in real-world environments. Proposed Resolution Criteria Widely accepted by robotics and AI experts. Resolution Source IEEE Spectrum or major robotics conferences.

riversfides 2026-06-05 12:14:24 ↗ Polymarket

Market Title Will AI achieve breakthrough in nuclear fusion control by December 31, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if AI systems make a major contribution to achieving sustained nuclear fusion reaction control. Proposed Resolution Criteria Scientific consensus and peer-reviewed publication. Resolution Source Nature, Science, or ITER organization reports.

Market Title Will AI achieve breakthrough in nuclear fusion control by December 31, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if AI systems make a major contribution to achieving sustained nuclear fusion reaction control. Proposed Resolution Criteria Scientific consensus and peer-reviewed publication. Resolution Source Nature, Science, or ITER organization reports.

riversfides 2026-06-04 18:04:17 ↗ Polymarket

Market Title Will AI replace 50% of customer service jobs in the US by December 31, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if AI systems replace at least 50% of human customer service positions in the United States. Proposed Resolution Criteria US Bureau of Labor Statistics or major employment reports. Resolution Source US Department of Labor data.

Market Title Will AI replace 50% of customer service jobs in the US by December 31, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if AI systems replace at least 50% of human customer service positions in the United States. Proposed Resolution Criteria US Bureau of Labor Statistics or major employment reports. Resolution Source US Department of Labor data.

riversfides 2026-06-04 15:16:14 ↗ Polymarket

Los Angeles, USA – Lowest Temperature Market Title Lowest temperature in Los Angeles, USA on June 6, 2026? Outcomes YES: The temperature is 17°C. NO: The temperature is not 17°C. Market Description This market predicts the lowest temperature for Los Angeles on June 6, 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) in degrees Celsius on June 6, 2026. Resolution Source The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LAX Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/LAX To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market cannot resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 15°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Los Angeles, USA – Lowest Temperature Market Title Lowest temperature in Los Angeles, USA on June 6, 2026? Outcomes YES: The temperature is 17°C. NO: The temperature is not 17°C. Market Description This market predicts the lowest temperature for Los Angeles on June 6, 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) in degrees Celsius on June 6, 2026. Resolution Source The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LAX Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/LAX To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market cannot resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 15°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

riversfides 2026-06-03 18:44:23 ↗ Polymarket

Market Title Will total crypto market cap exceed $5 trillion by December 31, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if the total cryptocurrency market capitalization reaches or exceeds $5 trillion at any point in 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria Any single day above the threshold. Resolution Source CoinMarketCap total market cap data.

Market Title Will total crypto market cap exceed $5 trillion by December 31, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if the total cryptocurrency market capitalization reaches or exceeds $5 trillion at any point in 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria Any single day above the threshold. Resolution Source CoinMarketCap total market cap data.

riversfides 2026-06-03 11:52:52 ↗ Polymarket

Market Title Will AI surpass human doctors in general medical diagnosis by December 31, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if AI systems demonstrate superior diagnostic accuracy compared to human physicians across multiple specialties. Proposed Resolution Criteria Published medical studies and expert consensus. Resolution Source The Lancet, JAMA, or major medical journals.

Market Title Will AI surpass human doctors in general medical diagnosis by December 31, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if AI systems demonstrate superior diagnostic accuracy compared to human physicians across multiple specialties. Proposed Resolution Criteria Published medical studies and expert consensus. Resolution Source The Lancet, JAMA, or major medical journals.

riversfides 2026-06-02 18:07:46 ↗ Polymarket

Market Title Will Solana become a top 3 cryptocurrency by market cap by December 31, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if Solana ranks in the top 3 by market capitalization for at least 30 consecutive days in 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria Sustained ranking on daily snapshots. Resolution Source CoinMarketCap rankings.

Market Title Will Solana become a top 3 cryptocurrency by market cap by December 31, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if Solana ranks in the top 3 by market capitalization for at least 30 consecutive days in 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria Sustained ranking on daily snapshots. Resolution Source CoinMarketCap rankings.

riversfides 2026-06-02 11:58:08 ↗ Polymarket

Market Title Will XRP price exceed $3 by December 31, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if XRP's daily closing price reaches or exceeds $3.00 at any point in 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria Verified daily close. Resolution Source CoinGecko or major exchanges.

Market Title Will XRP price exceed $3 by December 31, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if XRP's daily closing price reaches or exceeds $3.00 at any point in 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria Verified daily close. Resolution Source CoinGecko or major exchanges.

riversfides 2026-06-01 19:33:18 ↗ Polymarket

Market Title Will BlackRock launch a non-BTC/ETH crypto ETF by December 31, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if BlackRock files or launches a spot ETF or fund for any cryptocurrency other than Bitcoin or Ethereum in 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria Official filing or launch announcement. Resolution Source SEC filings, BlackRock press releases, Bloomberg.

Market Title Will BlackRock launch a non-BTC/ETH crypto ETF by December 31, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if BlackRock files or launches a spot ETF or fund for any cryptocurrency other than Bitcoin or Ethereum in 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria Official filing or launch announcement. Resolution Source SEC filings, BlackRock press releases, Bloomberg.