秋田预测市场 · Discord 审计

以色列-真主党永久和平协议市场决议停滞引众怒

2026-06-16 · Polymarket · 7 条相关讨论

FreddyMertens 2026-06-15 21:05:53

Could we get an extra clause so any life or technology not from earth is classified as extraterrestrial not just from another place in visible universe? UMA whales have literally told me they are bonded and this is the narrative they are planning to use to scam the market.

Could we get an extra clause so any life or technology not from earth is classified as extraterrestrial not just from another place in visible universe? UMA whales have literally told me they are bonded and this is the narrative they are planning to use to scam the market.

Wallace 2026-06-15 21:26:02

Can we get a clarification on the permanent peace deal? https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by

Can we get a clarification on the permanent peace deal? https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by

033033033 2026-06-16 02:24:51

Vroooo I want to bond this peace market please can they clarify

Vroooo I want to bond this peace market please can they clarify

ydak 2026-06-16 06:44:27

its truly weird how the hezbollah x israel peace deal is just like the Us x iran how did Dofu and Lorry Manipulate it to No

its truly weird how the hezbollah x israel peace deal is just like the Us x iran how did Dofu and Lorry Manipulate it to No

ydak 2026-06-16 07:25:14

The Israel–Hezbollah peace deal market is sitting around 2¢ today because two large NO holders dumped roughly $350,000 after the market had already reached 40¢. Meanwhile, go read the U.S.–Iran peace deal Discord. The entire 95%+ YES case is built around the agreement announced by Pakistan and reported by Reuters, AP, NYT, and Washington Post. And what does that agreement explicitly say? It includes Lebanon. So the same people arguing for a 95% U.S.–Iran YES are relying on a framework that explicitly covers Lebanon, while the Israel–Hezbollah market trades at 2¢ because a couple of whales bought into a thin order book. The information didn’t disappear. The liquidity did.

The Israel–Hezbollah peace deal market is sitting around 2¢ today because two large NO holders dumped roughly $350,000 after the market had already reached 40¢. Meanwhile, go read the U.S.–Iran peace deal Discord. The entire 95%+ YES case is built around the agreement announced by Pakistan and reported by Reuters, AP, NYT, and Washington Post. And what does that agreement explicitly say? It includes Lebanon. So the same people arguing for a 95% U.S.–Iran YES are relying on a framework that explicitly covers Lebanon, while the Israel–Hezbollah market trades at 2¢ because a couple of whales bought into a thin order book. The information didn’t disappear. The liquidity did.

Dafu 2026-06-16 16:08:34

**Request for Proposal: Resolve "Israel x Hezbollah Permanent Peace Deal by 6/15" as NO** https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-hezbollah-permanent-peace-deal-by/israel-x-hezbollah-permanent-peace-deal-by-june-15-2026 I request a resolution proposal to settle this market as **NO**. --- **Key Facts and Evidence:** 1. Israel is not a party to the US-Iran MOU and will not be bound by it. Original quote: “Although Israel is not a party to the memorandum of understanding...” → <https://www.timesofisrael.com/netanyahu-says-israel-not-party-to-iran-deal-but-praises-trump-for-commitment-to-thwarting-nukes/> 2. Israeli forces will remain indefinitely in southern Lebanon. Netanyahu (June 15): “remain in the security zone as much as necessary...” → <https://www.timesofisrael.com/netanyahu-avoids-criticizing-us-iran-deal-claims-wars-main-goals-have-been-achieved/> Katz confirmed no withdrawal. → <https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/6/15/iran-war-live-tehran-says-peace-deal-ends-us-blockade-war-on-all-fronts> 3. No Permanent Peace Deal has been announced. Netanyahu: “The struggle has not ended.” Ongoing clashes continue. → <https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/06/15/world/iran-war-trump-us-deal> --- **Resolution Rationale:** Deadline has passed with no Permanent Peace Deal. Should resolve as **NO**.

**Request for Proposal: Resolve "Israel x Hezbollah Permanent Peace Deal by 6/15" as NO** https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-hezbollah-permanent-peace-deal-by/israel-x-hezbollah-permanent-peace-deal-by-june-15-2026 I request a resolution proposal to settle this market as **NO**. --- **Key Facts and Evidence:** 1. Israel is not a party to the US-Iran MOU and will not be bound by it. Original quote: “Although Israel is not a party to the memorandum of understanding...” → <https://www.timesofisrael.com/netanyahu-says-israel-not-party-to-iran-deal-but-praises-trump-for-commitment-to-thwarting-nukes/> 2. Israeli forces will remain indefinitely in southern Lebanon. Netanyahu (June 15): “remain in the security zone as much as necessary...” → <https://www.timesofisrael.com/netanyahu-avoids-criticizing-us-iran-deal-claims-wars-main-goals-have-been-achieved/> Katz confirmed no withdrawal. → <https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/6/15/iran-war-live-tehran-says-peace-deal-ends-us-blockade-war-on-all-fronts> 3. No Permanent Peace Deal has been announced. Netanyahu: “The struggle has not ended.” Ongoing clashes continue. → <https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/06/15/world/iran-war-trump-us-deal> --- **Resolution Rationale:** Deadline has passed with no Permanent Peace Deal. Should resolve as **NO**.

NixonNova 2026-06-16 16:51:46

Yeah +1. Should be solid NO for June 15.

Yeah +1. Should be solid NO for June 15.