2026-07-02 · Kalshi · 5 条相关讨论
Hey kalshi team Can you make a new market on "Will X ships pass through strait of Hormuz by July 31?" the june market was pretty good and july will be interesting
Hey kalshi team Can you make a new market on "Will X ships pass through strait of Hormuz by July 31?" the june market was pretty good and july will be interesting
on this note The Hormuz markets are good, and "unscammable" so that we have fair resolutions which is very important for geopol markets However, the resolution source, Portwatch is really really bad We had the incorrect data back in may / end of april, where they published incorrect data and then corrected. They are very unreliable in posting their data and their methodology seems quite random. We also have suspected insidoor trading from them for this market in april I would suggest for future Hormuz markets that we switch resolution source, either to Kplr, windward or Bloomberg, where I think bloomberg is the best, although not public. I would suggest you guys reach out to bloomberg and have them provide a daily or weekly update to crossings on the free website just as they have the billionaires index which we use as res source for a bunch of billionaire markets
on this note The Hormuz markets are good, and "unscammable" so that we have fair resolutions which is very important for geopol markets However, the resolution source, Portwatch is really really bad We had the incorrect data back in may / end of april, where they published incorrect data and then corrected. They are very unreliable in posting their data and their methodology seems quite random. We also have suspected insidoor trading from them for this market in april I would suggest for future Hormuz markets that we switch resolution source, either to Kplr, windward or Bloomberg, where I think bloomberg is the best, although not public. I would suggest you guys reach out to bloomberg and have them provide a daily or weekly update to crossings on the free website just as they have the billionaires index which we use as res source for a bunch of billionaire markets
Yeah need Hormuz markets for July 31
Yeah need Hormuz markets for July 31
and please consider using a different resolution source for july / future hormuz markets
and please consider using a different resolution source for july / future hormuz markets
I think Portwatch is better than those!
I think Portwatch is better than those!