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全球最高/最低温度等天气预测市场提案与可行性讨论

2026-07-05 · Polymarket · 22 条相关讨论

kniv 2026-07-04 21:07:23

someone did analysis of weather market volumes per day before and after introduction of polymarket fees?

someone did analysis of weather market volumes per day before and after introduction of polymarket fees?

Aemond Targaryen 2026-07-04 23:12:34

Can we get highest/lowest temperature on earth daily markets?

Can we get highest/lowest temperature on earth daily markets?

Modali 2026-07-04 23:41:21

Is there any source for that?

Is there any source for that?

Aemond Targaryen 2026-07-04 23:51:19

Wherever these guys are sourcing their data: https://eldoradoweather.com/climate/world-extremes/world-temp-rainfall-extremes.php

Wherever these guys are sourcing their data: https://eldoradoweather.com/climate/world-extremes/world-temp-rainfall-extremes.php

Aemond Targaryen 2026-07-04 23:52:10

We could also do highest temperature location city/country on earth. The legs today would be Turpan (China), Kuwait, Al Ahsa (Saudi Arabia), etc

We could also do highest temperature location city/country on earth. The legs today would be Turpan (China), Kuwait, Al Ahsa (Saudi Arabia), etc

Modali 2026-07-04 23:53:36

That would actually be very good. Will check.

That would actually be very good. Will check.

Modali 2026-07-04 23:53:53

Maybe it can be a market with higher volume

Maybe it can be a market with higher volume

Aemond Targaryen 2026-07-04 23:59:42

I bet “hottest city/country on earth” daily would get tons of volume

I bet “hottest city/country on earth” daily would get tons of volume

The Dude 2026-07-05 00:00:04

You're gonna make me trade weather <@1335736302808727562>

You're gonna make me trade weather <@1335736302808727562>

Modali 2026-07-05 00:11:18

Yeah we can get whales there

Yeah we can get whales there

Modali 2026-07-05 00:12:18

But how brackets will be added? I mean if it’s unpredictable city and hasn’t been added

But how brackets will be added? I mean if it’s unpredictable city and hasn’t been added

Modali 2026-07-05 00:13:03

The automation for this would be quite hard

The automation for this would be quite hard

Aemond Targaryen 2026-07-05 00:13:33

Maybe just do countries first? And put an Other category

Maybe just do countries first? And put an Other category

Aemond Targaryen 2026-07-05 00:13:45

Start with the top contenders

Start with the top contenders

Modali 2026-07-05 00:14:44

Still a lot of countries

Still a lot of countries

Modali 2026-07-05 00:14:58

There are bunch of locations where prediction models are off

There are bunch of locations where prediction models are off

Aemond Targaryen 2026-07-05 00:15:31

Maybe “hottest G20 Country today?”

Maybe “hottest G20 Country today?”

Modali 2026-07-05 00:15:39

Highest lowest is more doable imo

Highest lowest is more doable imo

Modali 2026-07-05 00:15:53

We would need resolution source for that

We would need resolution source for that

Modali 2026-07-05 00:16:07

I don’t think poly would do that specifically for this market

I don’t think poly would do that specifically for this market

Modali 2026-07-05 00:16:44

So the market with a res source would be easier

So the market with a res source would be easier