2026-07-09 · Polymarket · 26 条相关讨论
Need more war markets asap
Need more war markets asap
Us troops on the ground in kharg island by
Us troops on the ground in kharg island by
Trump next suggests a ceasefire with Iran by
Trump next suggests a ceasefire with Iran by
Will add to list
Will add to list
What gets hit in Iran Bridges Desalination plants Parliament building Bushehr Nuclear Facilities
What gets hit in Iran Bridges Desalination plants Parliament building Bushehr Nuclear Facilities
thanks please need asap, competition has it already up
thanks please need asap, competition has it already up
Market Title Will the United States conduct a military strike on Iran today? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves based on whether the United States carries out at least one military strike against Iranian territory or Iranian government or military assets located within Iran before 11:59 PM UTC on 08/07/2026. The strike may be conducted by U.S. military forces directly or by U.S.-operated aircraft, missiles, drones, or naval assets. The operation must be officially acknowledged by the United States government or confirmed by multiple credible news organizations. Proposed Resolution Criteria This market resolves to Yes if, before 11:59:59 PM UTC on [DATE], the United States conducts at least one military strike on Iranian territory or against Iranian government or military assets located inside Iran. Examples that qualify: Airstrikes by U.S. military aircraft. Missile strikes launched by U.S. forces. Drone strikes conducted by U.S. military forces. Naval strikes targeting locations within Iran. This market resolves to No if no such strike occurs before the deadline. The following do not qualify: Verbal threats or announcements. Economic sanctions. Cyberattacks. Military deployments or troop movements. Israeli strikes not directly conducted by U.S. forces. Strikes on Iranian-backed groups outside Iran (e.g., in Iraq, Syria, Yemen, or Lebanon) unless the strike itself occurs inside Iran. Resolution Source Primary sources will include official statements from the U.S. Department of Defense or the White House. If no official statement is available, the market will resolve based on reporting from multiple reputable international news organizations such as Reuters, Associated Press (AP), BBC, or Agence France-Presse (AFP). If these sources conflict, the market will be resolved according to the preponderance of credible evidence.
Market Title Will the United States conduct a military strike on Iran today? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves based on whether the United States carries out at least one military strike against Iranian territory or Iranian government or military assets located within Iran before 11:59 PM UTC on 08/07/2026. The strike may be conducted by U.S. military forces directly or by U.S.-operated aircraft, missiles, drones, or naval assets. The operation must be officially acknowledged by the United States government or confirmed by multiple credible news organizations. Proposed Resolution Criteria This market resolves to Yes if, before 11:59:59 PM UTC on [DATE], the United States conducts at least one military strike on Iranian territory or against Iranian government or military assets located inside Iran. Examples that qualify: Airstrikes by U.S. military aircraft. Missile strikes launched by U.S. forces. Drone strikes conducted by U.S. military forces. Naval strikes targeting locations within Iran. This market resolves to No if no such strike occurs before the deadline. The following do not qualify: Verbal threats or announcements. Economic sanctions. Cyberattacks. Military deployments or troop movements. Israeli strikes not directly conducted by U.S. forces. Strikes on Iranian-backed groups outside Iran (e.g., in Iraq, Syria, Yemen, or Lebanon) unless the strike itself occurs inside Iran. Resolution Source Primary sources will include official statements from the U.S. Department of Defense or the White House. If no official statement is available, the market will resolve based on reporting from multiple reputable international news organizations such as Reuters, Associated Press (AP), BBC, or Agence France-Presse (AFP). If these sources conflict, the market will be resolved according to the preponderance of credible evidence.
Fordow nuclear marker
Fordow nuclear marker
Add us a war markets
Add us a war markets
Alarm in tel Aviv
Alarm in tel Aviv
And what about clearing cache?
And what about clearing cache?
Israel strike Iran Iran strike Israel
Israel strike Iran Iran strike Israel
Fordow nuclear
Fordow nuclear
U.S. military base moved to Israel by Dec.31?
U.S. military base moved to Israel by Dec.31?
UAE invasion of Iran by Dec. 31?
UAE invasion of Iran by Dec. 31?
<@1212792946341183578> Military action markets are much appreciated by everyone in the geopolitics community! Would be lovely if we can also get an "Iran military action against Israel by...?" market.
<@1212792946341183578> Military action markets are much appreciated by everyone in the geopolitics community! Would be lovely if we can also get an "Iran military action against Israel by...?" market.
can we get a will france uk germany strike iran by september 30 market please <@1402074242211643422> <@880242004720771104>
can we get a will france uk germany strike iran by september 30 market please <@1402074242211643422> <@880242004720771104>
can we get a will france uk germany strike iran by september 30 market please <@1402074242211643422> <@880242004720771104>
can we get a will france uk germany strike iran by september 30 market please <@1402074242211643422> <@880242004720771104>
Daily us military action on iran would be cool also
Daily us military action on iran would be cool also
daily strike markest are aids more long term strike / geopol markets would be good after all this is supposedly a prediction market
daily strike markest are aids more long term strike / geopol markets would be good after all this is supposedly a prediction market
Daily is good, because we can predict the specific day on which strikes will end for the foreseeable future
Daily is good, because we can predict the specific day on which strikes will end for the foreseeable future
as well as precisely how long it continues
as well as precisely how long it continues
Especially since it’s not certain how long this will carry on for.. shorter term for more smaller strikes? Or escalate to longer full scale war
Especially since it’s not certain how long this will carry on for.. shorter term for more smaller strikes? Or escalate to longer full scale war
i suggested conflict ends markets above similar to market they had in april which was quite good. resolves after 14 days of ceased conflict, counter restarts on any strike on gulf state / iran / israel / us / boats. this market i think is more useful for the how long it continues aspect
i suggested conflict ends markets above similar to market they had in april which was quite good. resolves after 14 days of ceased conflict, counter restarts on any strike on gulf state / iran / israel / us / boats. this market i think is more useful for the how long it continues aspect
US military action on Iran on..
US military action on Iran on..
Iran military action on Isreal by July 15th July 31st
Iran military action on Isreal by July 15th July 31st