秋田预测市场 · Discord 审计

用户反复请求添加伊朗-以色列军事冲突预测市场

2026-07-09 · Polymarket · 26 条相关讨论

Raz 2026-07-08 21:39:11

Need more war markets asap

Need more war markets asap

yitzi28 2026-07-08 21:54:31

Us troops on the ground in kharg island by

Us troops on the ground in kharg island by

yitzi28 2026-07-08 21:54:47

Trump next suggests a ceasefire with Iran by

Trump next suggests a ceasefire with Iran by

Amstel 2026-07-08 21:56:59

Will add to list

Will add to list

yitzi28 2026-07-08 21:57:04

What gets hit in Iran Bridges Desalination plants Parliament building Bushehr Nuclear Facilities

What gets hit in Iran Bridges Desalination plants Parliament building Bushehr Nuclear Facilities

Sard_Shep 2026-07-08 21:57:43

thanks please need asap, competition has it already up

thanks please need asap, competition has it already up

JustNapster 2026-07-08 21:58:54

Market Title Will the United States conduct a military strike on Iran today? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves based on whether the United States carries out at least one military strike against Iranian territory or Iranian government or military assets located within Iran before 11:59 PM UTC on 08/07/2026. The strike may be conducted by U.S. military forces directly or by U.S.-operated aircraft, missiles, drones, or naval assets. The operation must be officially acknowledged by the United States government or confirmed by multiple credible news organizations. Proposed Resolution Criteria This market resolves to Yes if, before 11:59:59 PM UTC on [DATE], the United States conducts at least one military strike on Iranian territory or against Iranian government or military assets located inside Iran. Examples that qualify: Airstrikes by U.S. military aircraft. Missile strikes launched by U.S. forces. Drone strikes conducted by U.S. military forces. Naval strikes targeting locations within Iran. This market resolves to No if no such strike occurs before the deadline. The following do not qualify: Verbal threats or announcements. Economic sanctions. Cyberattacks. Military deployments or troop movements. Israeli strikes not directly conducted by U.S. forces. Strikes on Iranian-backed groups outside Iran (e.g., in Iraq, Syria, Yemen, or Lebanon) unless the strike itself occurs inside Iran. Resolution Source Primary sources will include official statements from the U.S. Department of Defense or the White House. If no official statement is available, the market will resolve based on reporting from multiple reputable international news organizations such as Reuters, Associated Press (AP), BBC, or Agence France-Presse (AFP). If these sources conflict, the market will be resolved according to the preponderance of credible evidence.

Market Title Will the United States conduct a military strike on Iran today? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves based on whether the United States carries out at least one military strike against Iranian territory or Iranian government or military assets located within Iran before 11:59 PM UTC on 08/07/2026. The strike may be conducted by U.S. military forces directly or by U.S.-operated aircraft, missiles, drones, or naval assets. The operation must be officially acknowledged by the United States government or confirmed by multiple credible news organizations. Proposed Resolution Criteria This market resolves to Yes if, before 11:59:59 PM UTC on [DATE], the United States conducts at least one military strike on Iranian territory or against Iranian government or military assets located inside Iran. Examples that qualify: Airstrikes by U.S. military aircraft. Missile strikes launched by U.S. forces. Drone strikes conducted by U.S. military forces. Naval strikes targeting locations within Iran. This market resolves to No if no such strike occurs before the deadline. The following do not qualify: Verbal threats or announcements. Economic sanctions. Cyberattacks. Military deployments or troop movements. Israeli strikes not directly conducted by U.S. forces. Strikes on Iranian-backed groups outside Iran (e.g., in Iraq, Syria, Yemen, or Lebanon) unless the strike itself occurs inside Iran. Resolution Source Primary sources will include official statements from the U.S. Department of Defense or the White House. If no official statement is available, the market will resolve based on reporting from multiple reputable international news organizations such as Reuters, Associated Press (AP), BBC, or Agence France-Presse (AFP). If these sources conflict, the market will be resolved according to the preponderance of credible evidence.

Raz 2026-07-08 22:20:24

Fordow nuclear marker

Fordow nuclear marker

Raz 2026-07-08 22:59:05

Add us a war markets

Add us a war markets

Raz 2026-07-08 22:59:09

Alarm in tel Aviv

Alarm in tel Aviv

tsmultra 2026-07-08 22:59:18

And what about clearing cache?

And what about clearing cache?

Raz 2026-07-08 22:59:19

Israel strike Iran Iran strike Israel

Israel strike Iran Iran strike Israel

Raz 2026-07-08 22:59:27

Fordow nuclear

Fordow nuclear

Saul 2026-07-09 00:51:51

U.S. military base moved to Israel by Dec.31?

U.S. military base moved to Israel by Dec.31?

Jaroslav 2026-07-09 05:15:24

UAE invasion of Iran by Dec. 31?

UAE invasion of Iran by Dec. 31?

lilsimcha 2026-07-09 06:57:35

<@1212792946341183578> Military action markets are much appreciated by everyone in the geopolitics community! Would be lovely if we can also get an "Iran military action against Israel by...?" market.

<@1212792946341183578> Military action markets are much appreciated by everyone in the geopolitics community! Would be lovely if we can also get an "Iran military action against Israel by...?" market.

pokerfan1 2026-07-09 12:06:27

can we get a will france uk germany strike iran by september 30 market please <@1402074242211643422> <@880242004720771104>

can we get a will france uk germany strike iran by september 30 market please <@1402074242211643422> <@880242004720771104>

pokerfan1 2026-07-09 12:06:38

can we get a will france uk germany strike iran by september 30 market please <@1402074242211643422> <@880242004720771104>

can we get a will france uk germany strike iran by september 30 market please <@1402074242211643422> <@880242004720771104>

Laccs 2026-07-09 12:31:46

Daily us military action on iran would be cool also

Daily us military action on iran would be cool also

venezuelanmissionary 2026-07-09 12:56:47

daily strike markest are aids more long term strike / geopol markets would be good after all this is supposedly a prediction market

daily strike markest are aids more long term strike / geopol markets would be good after all this is supposedly a prediction market

Laccs 2026-07-09 13:26:19

Daily is good, because we can predict the specific day on which strikes will end for the foreseeable future

Daily is good, because we can predict the specific day on which strikes will end for the foreseeable future

Laccs 2026-07-09 13:26:27

as well as precisely how long it continues

as well as precisely how long it continues

Laccs 2026-07-09 13:27:28

Especially since it’s not certain how long this will carry on for.. shorter term for more smaller strikes? Or escalate to longer full scale war

Especially since it’s not certain how long this will carry on for.. shorter term for more smaller strikes? Or escalate to longer full scale war

venezuelanmissionary 2026-07-09 14:09:52

i suggested conflict ends markets above similar to market they had in april which was quite good. resolves after 14 days of ceased conflict, counter restarts on any strike on gulf state / iran / israel / us / boats. this market i think is more useful for the how long it continues aspect

i suggested conflict ends markets above similar to market they had in april which was quite good. resolves after 14 days of ceased conflict, counter restarts on any strike on gulf state / iran / israel / us / boats. this market i think is more useful for the how long it continues aspect

Poorsob 2026-07-09 15:21:38

US military action on Iran on..

US military action on Iran on..

Poorsob 2026-07-09 15:22:17

Iran military action on Isreal by July 15th July 31st

Iran military action on Isreal by July 15th July 31st