秋田预测市场 · Discord 审计

SpaceX 发射市场规则变更引发通知争议

2026-07-22 · Kalshi · 6 条相关讨论

nolan8320 2026-07-22 03:47:24

Re-raising this about the mid-market spacex change. This seems like something that would qualify as a rules amendment (it substantively changed what was being measured here), and that should require a notice on the market page, right? Can I get an explanation of why that didn't occur? cc <@1417220501407011020>

Re-raising this about the mid-market spacex change. This seems like something that would qualify as a rules amendment (it substantively changed what was being measured here), and that should require a notice on the market page, right? Can I get an explanation of why that didn't occur? cc <@1417220501407011020>

nolan8320 2026-07-22 04:01:08

Cc <@1460986477742657662> this is the issue I was trying to raise in the support chat. I do feel an explanation is warrated

Cc <@1460986477742657662> this is the issue I was trying to raise in the support chat. I do feel an explanation is warrated

fncyt 2026-07-22 04:02:17

<@1417220501407011020> could you clarify the SpaceX monthly launch market update? Did the rule changes and updated source agency actually change how launches are counted, or was it just a clarification of existing rules? Thanks!

<@1417220501407011020> could you clarify the SpaceX monthly launch market update? Did the rule changes and updated source agency actually change how launches are counted, or was it just a clarification of existing rules? Thanks!

nolan8320 2026-07-22 04:07:13

The prior rules contract listed "licensed commercial space launches" as the underlying. That was changed to "licensed space launches". (Not to give away the alpha here, but it definitively changes whether some military launches count). I'd like to understand what Kalshi's rules are when an amendment like this is made

The prior rules contract listed "licensed commercial space launches" as the underlying. That was changed to "licensed space launches". (Not to give away the alpha here, but it definitively changes whether some military launches count). I'd like to understand what Kalshi's rules are when an amendment like this is made

Jake 2026-07-22 05:11:13

The mismatch between the prior contract of commercial and new source agency was what changed so that it matched to be as reported by spacex

The mismatch between the prior contract of commercial and new source agency was what changed so that it matched to be as reported by spacex

nolan8320 2026-07-22 05:48:01

Maybe we're talking past each other here. I'm referring to this change, which seems substantive to me. Should this have been changed with no notice given?

Maybe we're talking past each other here. I'm referring to this change, which seems substantive to me. Should this have been changed with no notice given?