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The resolution source only publishes data Monday-Friday with a one day lag. So Friday comes out Monday morning. `https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm` It's expected in about 2-1/2 hours.
The resolution source only publishes data Monday-Friday with a one day lag. So Friday comes out Monday morning. `https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm` It's expected in about 2-1/2 hours.
Dallas, Austin & Buenos Aires each had some duplicate price requests created for the 9th. All from this initializer (creator): ac9930b2ae455a671b62de86876a7e8587825294 - contract The others from the 9th were initialized by f43d55f3a8b7484ed4b6931f93cb6f9ef5dd369d I don't know if this is the cause but it's something different that happened that day.
Dallas, Austin & Buenos Aires each had some duplicate price requests created for the 9th. All from this initializer (creator): ac9930b2ae455a671b62de86876a7e8587825294 - contract The others from the 9th were initialized by f43d55f3a8b7484ed4b6931f93cb6f9ef5dd369d I don't know if this is the cause but it's something different that happened that day.
Here's a technical explanation of the ghost order process.
Here's a technical explanation of the ghost order process.
The resolution for Qingdao is `https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD` On that page, it's the highest temp on the graph or the highest in the daily observations table at the bottom.
The resolution for Qingdao is `https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD` On that page, it's the highest temp on the graph or the highest in the daily observations table at the bottom.
That darn intern again?
That darn intern again?
<@1402074242211643422> <@1503846101860487170> Can we get a clarification on the UMA price requests for the Love Island USA Season 8 event? The market descriptions have the date as July 11, 2026 but the price request ancillary has it as July 4, 2026. ``` https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-eliminated-from-love-island-usa-week-6-20260705124359624/ http://oracle.uma.xyz/propose?transactionHash=0xb9b2e585b95bd19cdf92b9a142bbb7389a354608093b690a4ed29fc5d76fb1bf ```
<@1402074242211643422> <@1503846101860487170> Can we get a clarification on the UMA price requests for the Love Island USA Season 8 event? The market descriptions have the date as July 11, 2026 but the price request ancillary has it as July 4, 2026. ``` https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-eliminated-from-love-island-usa-week-6-20260705124359624/ http://oracle.uma.xyz/propose?transactionHash=0xb9b2e585b95bd19cdf92b9a142bbb7389a354608093b690a4ed29fc5d76fb1bf ```
Seoul gets weird sometimes. Here's a good one https://discord.com/channels/710897173927297116/1478933105262858321/1497928670612820039 Null values in the data makes zero degrees in both Celsius and Fahrenheit. 0C <> 0F. Miami, Shenzhen & others. https://discord.com/channels/710897173927297116/1478933105262858321/1480921447454085162 https://discord.com/channels/710897173927297116/1478933105262858321/1486161160863613020 And then the daylight savings transition day screws everything up. https://discord.com/channels/710897173927297116/1478933105262858321/1480919525141647394 Just look through my old posts and you'll find more.
Seoul gets weird sometimes. Here's a good one https://discord.com/channels/710897173927297116/1478933105262858321/1497928670612820039 Null values in the data makes zero degrees in both Celsius and Fahrenheit. 0C <> 0F. Miami, Shenzhen & others. https://discord.com/channels/710897173927297116/1478933105262858321/1480921447454085162 https://discord.com/channels/710897173927297116/1478933105262858321/1486161160863613020 And then the daylight savings transition day screws everything up. https://discord.com/channels/710897173927297116/1478933105262858321/1480919525141647394 Just look through my old posts and you'll find more.
Good work and very detailed! Shenzhen has been like this for quite a while. It's just one of the many quirks with WU. It's something to be aware of but the markets are resolved based on what's displayed on the resolution page, `https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ` regardless of where the underlying data is from.
Good work and very detailed! Shenzhen has been like this for quite a while. It's just one of the many quirks with WU. It's something to be aware of but the markets are resolved based on what's displayed on the resolution page, `https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ` regardless of where the underlying data is from.
All the markets for the top US Netflix show for July 7th had June 30th for the date in the description. Copy/paste mistake? <@725245488110239764>
All the markets for the top US Netflix show for July 7th had June 30th for the date in the description. Copy/paste mistake? <@725245488110239764>
I'm not sure I understand your question but the high temp on the 23rd in London was 31C so the 32C or below was the yes market that day. If by "individual temp bet" you mean the other markets, they all were a no.
I'm not sure I understand your question but the high temp on the 23rd in London was 31C so the 32C or below was the yes market that day. If by "individual temp bet" you mean the other markets, they all were a no.
I guess I already had the answer. https://discord.com/channels/710897173927297116/1478933105262858321/1518223062909063289 But to clarify after the proposal?
I guess I already had the answer. https://discord.com/channels/710897173927297116/1478933105262858321/1518223062909063289 But to clarify after the proposal?
Anyone know what the Madrid clarification was about? I proposed 40C yes at 22:06:41 UTC and they clarified at 22:12:55. Dafuk!? "This market will immediately resolve to 39C. Losing shares held at the time of this clarification will be refunded."
Anyone know what the Madrid clarification was about? I proposed 40C yes at 22:06:41 UTC and they clarified at 22:12:55. Dafuk!? "This market will immediately resolve to 39C. Losing shares held at the time of this clarification will be refunded."
I don't know if this has anything to do with it but they're doing the multicalls for the price requests again. `https://polygonscan.com/tx/0x82d0e65c6fe61a4b1a91f66e4b18b522b4c64c09ab2080ebe2f331f525fa00c2` This is what created the shitstorm of markets resolving incorrectly a month ago.
I don't know if this has anything to do with it but they're doing the multicalls for the price requests again. `https://polygonscan.com/tx/0x82d0e65c6fe61a4b1a91f66e4b18b522b4c64c09ab2080ebe2f331f525fa00c2` This is what created the shitstorm of markets resolving incorrectly a month ago.
The first four only have some of the markets. Something broke with the UMA price requests again?
The first four only have some of the markets. Something broke with the UMA price requests again?
<@1319905665740967987> Maybe you know who to tag for this? events marked active: false ``` https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-singapore-on-june-22-2026 https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-wuhan-on-june-22-2026 https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-milan-on-june-22-2026 https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-madrid-on-june-22-2026 ``` markets missing resolved by ``` https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-sao-paulo-on-june-22-2026 https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-buenos-aires-on-june-22-2026 ```
<@1319905665740967987> Maybe you know who to tag for this? events marked active: false ``` https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-singapore-on-june-22-2026 https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-wuhan-on-june-22-2026 https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-milan-on-june-22-2026 https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-madrid-on-june-22-2026 ``` markets missing resolved by ``` https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-sao-paulo-on-june-22-2026 https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-buenos-aires-on-june-22-2026 ```
Markets for the 18th: Atlanta, Austin, Denver, Dallas, Houston, Los Angeles, NYC, Miami, Chicago, Seattle, San Francisco all in the gamma but event is marked as active: false `https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/events/603112` There is no resolvedBy address so maybe the UMA price requests failed? <@941405798096076880>
Markets for the 18th: Atlanta, Austin, Denver, Dallas, Houston, Los Angeles, NYC, Miami, Chicago, Seattle, San Francisco all in the gamma but event is marked as active: false `https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/events/603112` There is no resolvedBy address so maybe the UMA price requests failed? <@941405798096076880>
Mexico City 2026-06-03 Seoul 2026-06-03, 2026-06-02 Manila 2026-06-03 Lucknow 2026-06-01 I stopped logging all the changes about a week ago. This started about 3 weeks ago. I was seeing many more of these changes midday. I haven't had time to dig into the problem but it seems like WU changed something. For now, I have the bonding disabled until I have a better understanding of what's going on.
Mexico City 2026-06-03 Seoul 2026-06-03, 2026-06-02 Manila 2026-06-03 Lucknow 2026-06-01 I stopped logging all the changes about a week ago. This started about 3 weeks ago. I was seeing many more of these changes midday. I haven't had time to dig into the problem but it seems like WU changed something. For now, I have the bonding disabled until I have a better understanding of what's going on.
It seems like the only thing that can be done is stop trading markets like Shenzhen where the temp bounces around. Polymarket seems to notice when the trading volume goes down, not when traders are complaining about the resolution source.
It seems like the only thing that can be done is stop trading markets like Shenzhen where the temp bounces around. Polymarket seems to notice when the trading volume goes down, not when traders are complaining about the resolution source.
<@400215378791497730> Hey WU, make up your damn mind!
<@400215378791497730> Hey WU, make up your damn mind!
It would be best if the market creation thing was timezone aware. It would allow for the best forecast to be used just before creation. Someone said this would be a Chad move. https://discord.com/channels/710897173927297116/1478933105262858321/1493660643633664010 I don't know who this Chad guy is but I think he would like it too.
It would be best if the market creation thing was timezone aware. It would allow for the best forecast to be used just before creation. Someone said this would be a Chad move. https://discord.com/channels/710897173927297116/1478933105262858321/1493660643633664010 I don't know who this Chad guy is but I think he would like it too.
<@1272383282687905939> <@1402701322775695391> This market's has not resolved for a few days but the resolved flag is true. Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on June 1? https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-dallas-on-june-1-2026/highest-temperature-in-dallas-on-june-1-2026-78-79f
<@1272383282687905939> <@1402701322775695391> This market's has not resolved for a few days but the resolved flag is true. Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on June 1? https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-dallas-on-june-1-2026/highest-temperature-in-dallas-on-june-1-2026-78-79f
He was referring to the data provider for the forecasting that determines what temps to set the markets. The goal is to make the markets more active all day. When they miss the forecast, all the markets are over before the day even starts.
He was referring to the data provider for the forecasting that determines what temps to set the markets. The goal is to make the markets more active all day. When they miss the forecast, all the markets are over before the day even starts.
A few weeks ago.
A few weeks ago.
I resolved a bunch from the 30th. Check your redeem now.
I resolved a bunch from the 30th. Check your redeem now.
This can't be proposed for at least another three hours. It's only 9PM in Amsterdam.
This can't be proposed for at least another three hours. It's only 9PM in Amsterdam.
It got Lucknowed in the Shenzhen and the Seoul left the body.
It got Lucknowed in the Shenzhen and the Seoul left the body.
Polymarket