KalshiExactly. Personally I think he's going to stay in then win the election.
Exactly. Personally I think he's going to stay in then win the election.
I knew he would hit the brakes参与话题 5消息总数 36
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共 36 条，显示第 1-36 条I hear perpetuals are still working fine.
I hear perpetuals are still working fine.
cc: Blonk would be great to know what sources were used here
cc: Blonk would be great to know what sources were used here
Does anyone understand why Colombia resolved? Bloomberg explicitly calls it: > Colombian electoral authorities confirmed Abelardo de la Espriella as the winner of the nation’s presidential election after completing the legally-binding vote verification. But I'm not even sure this statement is true since as far as I know only national registry has called it, CNE still has not. And all the prior coverage about the election from other five relevant source agencies doesn't seem "unambiguous"
Does anyone understand why Colombia resolved? Bloomberg explicitly calls it: > Colombian electoral authorities confirmed Abelardo de la Espriella as the winner of the nation’s presidential election after completing the legally-binding vote verification. But I'm not even sure this statement is true since as far as I know only national registry has called it, CNE still has not. And all the prior coverage about the election from other five relevant source agencies doesn't seem "unambiguous"
I guess kalshi could require a certain spread to be met for snapshots to even qualify similarly to how 99 only bids were supposed to be excluded?
I guess kalshi could require a certain spread to be met for snapshots to even qualify similarly to how 99 only bids were supposed to be excluded?
The 0.01 order is generally speaking more worthless IMO
The 0.01 order is generally speaking more worthless IMO
IDK it really depends on the market.
IDK it really depends on the market.
🤦♂️ I take it back, misread the image
🤦♂️ I take it back, misread the image
There's a lot of cases where it's not all rewards just an annoyingly large fraction 🙂
There's a lot of cases where it's not all rewards just an annoyingly large fraction 🙂
Well you can scale efficiency decrease in some way that considers relationship between size of bid whose efficiency is being decreased and the bid which is causing that decrease
Well you can scale efficiency decrease in some way that considers relationship between size of bid whose efficiency is being decreased and the bid which is causing that decrease
I don't understand why people keep suggesting a flat threshold as the solution. Surely some scaling formula would be better. If my 5k is getting jumped by 101 shares it's not really that different from getting jumped by 0.01.
I don't understand why people keep suggesting a flat threshold as the solution. Surely some scaling formula would be better. If my 5k is getting jumped by 101 shares it's not really that different from getting jumped by 0.01.
There's a lot of inferences that can be made but at the end of the day he does not say he is leaving the position of prime minister.
There's a lot of inferences that can be made but at the end of the day he does not say he is leaving the position of prime minister.
What makes you think leader is not referring to the position of leader of the labour party which is explicitly referenced earlier in the speech?
What makes you think leader is not referring to the position of leader of the labour party which is explicitly referenced earlier in the speech?
On what date is he "intending" to leave?
On what date is he "intending" to leave?
I understand that this is the vibes argument of course. But the contract has not been met.
I understand that this is the vibes argument of course. But the contract has not been met.
Nate I would be definitely be interested in your argument for why PC was met.
Nate I would be definitely be interested in your argument for why PC was met.
"usual practice" vs explicit statement these are two separate roles
"usual practice" vs explicit statement these are two separate roles
It's straightforwardly two distinct roles. It's fine to believe this resolves on price but what's the actual argument for resolution criteria being met.
It's straightforwardly two distinct roles. It's fine to believe this resolves on price but what's the actual argument for resolution criteria being met.
https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/5a79d5d7e5274a18ba50f2b6/cabinet-manual.pdf https://www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/explainer/appointment-prime-ministers-and-role-king https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/cbp-9880/ Large number of official uk politics sources are also pretty explicit about the subject
https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/5a79d5d7e5274a18ba50f2b6/cabinet-manual.pdf https://www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/explainer/appointment-prime-ministers-and-role-king https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/cbp-9880/ Large number of official uk politics sources are also pretty explicit about the subject
Doesn't matter for the contract
Doesn't matter for the contract
It's not a rare occurrence that media misrepresents details of a situation at scale.
It's not a rare occurrence that media misrepresents details of a situation at scale.
I have no opinion on the subject. He does not specify.
I have no opinion on the subject. He does not specify.
There are contracts where payout criteria is "x was reported". This is not one of them.
There are contracts where payout criteria is "x was reported". This is not one of them.
The contract is not about X being reported. The contract is about it actually happening and it has not.
The contract is not about X being reported. The contract is about it actually happening and it has not.
They are two distinct roles
They are two distinct roles
I can't tell if you guys are reading the same contract as me
I can't tell if you guys are reading the same contract as me
~~-ev to buy that instead of pratt n at 98 😏 ~~
~~-ev to buy that instead of pratt n at 98 😏 ~~
Are the estimated report numbers not just ~entirely made up anyways?
Are the estimated report numbers not just ~entirely made up anyways?
40/60
40/60
Awesome
Awesome
Would it apply retroactively or only to contracts made after that point?
Would it apply retroactively or only to contracts made after that point?
> recently filed To clarify does this mean this is already in effect or that it will be coming into effect at some point down the line?
> recently filed To clarify does this mean this is already in effect or that it will be coming into effect at some point down the line?
Everyone knows this, the only question is whether it's in the first round or runoff
Everyone knows this, the only question is whether it's in the first round or runoff
Tangent owns at least 1 million Pratt Ys.
Tangent owns at least 1 million Pratt Ys.
That's the ballpark I've observed yeah but was curious if we knew anything more specific
That's the ballpark I've observed yeah but was curious if we knew anything more specific
Is it documented anywhere how long incentives take to pay out after they end?
Is it documented anywhere how long incentives take to pay out after they end?