PolymarketYes it actually even says 1st of July with 30 days left for the May market. We only need 6 more hours though to find out.
Yes it actually even says 1st of July with 30 days left for the May market. We only need 6 more hours though to find out.
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共 3 条，显示第 1-3 条It's not based on an announcement. It's based on if they sold or not. We will know from the 8-K filing, which is released in less than 6 hours. Of course you can't ''fix'' the name and description of an event in the last minute during dispute.
It's not based on an announcement. It's based on if they sold or not. We will know from the 8-K filing, which is released in less than 6 hours. Of course you can't ''fix'' the name and description of an event in the last minute during dispute.
**P4 : Too Early** The rules say: “This market will resolve to YES if MicroStrategy sells any of its Bitcoin by 11:59 PM ET.” “The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MSTR and on-chain data.” **Rationale:** The resolution criteria are based on whether a Bitcoin sale occurred before May 31 at 11:59 PM ET. This is an event-based market. The rules do not say that the sale must be announced before that deadline. Strategy Inc. consistently reports Bitcoin activity, including buys and/or sales of bitcoin, for the prior week in its 8-K filings with the SEC. Strategy also posts these updates on its website and on X.com. The May 25 to May 31 filing is scheduled for June 1 at 08:00 ET. Resolving this market before the MSTR 8-K filing for May 25 to May 31 is available is premature. The proposal should wait until the relevant MSTR filing has been published. **On-Chain Data:** Significant on-chain activity occurred on Friday May 29, 2026 involving Strategy's wallets and its custodians. **(1) **481,766.89 BTC of Strategy’s Bitcoin holdings, spread across ~1,600 wallet addresses, are tracked on Arkham. On Friday May 29, Arkham shows on-chain Bitcoin transactions involving Strategy's wallets and Coinbase Prime, including two outgoing transactions from Strategy of ~206 BTC and ~205 BTC, totalling 411.48 BTC. Prior to Friday May 29, no outflow from Strategy-tracked wallets to Coinbase Prime had been detected for 3.5 years, since the last time Strategy sold Bitcoin on December 22, 2022 at 21:22:35 UTC. Source: https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/microstrategy **(2) **Arkham’s Strategy holdings page states: “Note: MicroStrategy has sent over 183,887 BTC to Fidelity Custody.” On Friday May 29, Arkham showed a major combined ~24,619.94 BTC Fidelity Custody outflow to external wallets, spread over 25 large transactions between 586 BTC and 1,164 BTC, valued at ~$1.8 billion. Source: https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/fidelity-custody
**P4 : Too Early** The rules say: “This market will resolve to YES if MicroStrategy sells any of its Bitcoin by 11:59 PM ET.” “The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MSTR and on-chain data.” **Rationale:** The resolution criteria are based on whether a Bitcoin sale occurred before May 31 at 11:59 PM ET. This is an event-based market. The rules do not say that the sale must be announced before that deadline. Strategy Inc. consistently reports Bitcoin activity, including buys and/or sales of bitcoin, for the prior week in its 8-K filings with the SEC. Strategy also posts these updates on its website and on X.com. The May 25 to May 31 filing is scheduled for June 1 at 08:00 ET. Resolving this market before the MSTR 8-K filing for May 25 to May 31 is available is premature. The proposal should wait until the relevant MSTR filing has been published. **On-Chain Data:** Significant on-chain activity occurred on Friday May 29, 2026 involving Strategy's wallets and its custodians. **(1) **481,766.89 BTC of Strategy’s Bitcoin holdings, spread across ~1,600 wallet addresses, are tracked on Arkham. On Friday May 29, Arkham shows on-chain Bitcoin transactions involving Strategy's wallets and Coinbase Prime, including two outgoing transactions from Strategy of ~206 BTC and ~205 BTC, totalling 411.48 BTC. Prior to Friday May 29, no outflow from Strategy-tracked wallets to Coinbase Prime had been detected for 3.5 years, since the last time Strategy sold Bitcoin on December 22, 2022 at 21:22:35 UTC. Source: https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/microstrategy **(2) **Arkham’s Strategy holdings page states: “Note: MicroStrategy has sent over 183,887 BTC to Fidelity Custody.” On Friday May 29, Arkham showed a major combined ~24,619.94 BTC Fidelity Custody outflow to external wallets, spread over 25 large transactions between 586 BTC and 1,164 BTC, valued at ~$1.8 billion. Source: https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/fidelity-custody