PolymarketBut Kalshi has substantially less manipulation and substantially more volume, so your argument doesn't hold at all really
But Kalshi has substantially less manipulation and substantially more volume, so your argument doesn't hold at all really
Ohio Sharpe参与话题 29消息总数 825
该用户的聊天记录定位。
聊天记录
共 825 条，显示第 51-100 条Like - at this point a 30% drop in total volume would still make the rest of us more money
Like - at this point a 30% drop in total volume would still make the rest of us more money
What's the point of volume if manipulators are the main profiteers?
What's the point of volume if manipulators are the main profiteers?
Volumes are super fucking irrelevant if manipulators are making the bulk of the money
Volumes are super fucking irrelevant if manipulators are making the bulk of the money
This is a zero sum game. When manipulators make money, everyone else loses
This is a zero sum game. When manipulators make money, everyone else loses
Because if they did, they would just drop out their participation Like they have on Polymarket
Because if they did, they would just drop out their participation Like they have on Polymarket
So clearly the MMs there are not losing anywhere near as money to manipulation
So clearly the MMs there are not losing anywhere near as money to manipulation
Kalshi volume is 4x higher and the books are thick as shit
Kalshi volume is 4x higher and the books are thick as shit
Also everyone else would keep losing money to it regularly
Also everyone else would keep losing money to it regularly
It's literally can't go hidden
It's literally can't go hidden
Etc.
Etc.
If market prices 10%, does it finish up or down 10% of the time or 30% of the time?
If market prices 10%, does it finish up or down 10% of the time or 30% of the time?
Because there are basic statistical properties of markets you can measure
Because there are basic statistical properties of markets you can measure
Ok, please write this down on a notepad next to you: I am not claiming it will go away I am claiming it will be massively reduced
Ok, please write this down on a notepad next to you: I am not claiming it will go away I am claiming it will be massively reduced
This nonsense about volumes is super irrelevant anyway Who gives a shit about volumes if most that volume gets donated to manipulators?????? Like, even if volume goes down 20%, our pnl will increase because so much less of the volume goes to funding manipulators
This nonsense about volumes is super irrelevant anyway Who gives a shit about volumes if most that volume gets donated to manipulators?????? Like, even if volume goes down 20%, our pnl will increase because so much less of the volume goes to funding manipulators
But also
But also
If you want to see code as your Claude code for code snippets
If you want to see code as your Claude code for code snippets
Who the fuck is opening up code anymore?
Who the fuck is opening up code anymore?
Literally thinking that
Literally thinking that
but i am telling you the logic
but i am telling you the logic
i'm not defending poly here; clearly this deffect should have a better solution than a 1hour timelock
i'm not defending poly here; clearly this deffect should have a better solution than a 1hour timelock
which would then make the trade not happen on chain
which would then make the trade not happen on chain
the alternative i think was people withdrawing money after a fill they didn't like
the alternative i think was people withdrawing money after a fill they didn't like
right but
right but
what are you trying to solve for
what are you trying to solve for
what does it mean
what does it mean
answer: crypto is trendy; anti-money laundering not being a worry means more gamblers (drug dealers, etc.)
answer: crypto is trendy; anti-money laundering not being a worry means more gamblers (drug dealers, etc.)
I think it's much simpler than that. i think the order never exists to begin with, so your fill can never happen
I think it's much simpler than that. i think the order never exists to begin with, so your fill can never happen
Taker tiers was such an insult, especially given they were released at a time none of us could cancel lol
Taker tiers was such an insult, especially given they were released at a time none of us could cancel lol
Yeah this man speaks for all of us
Yeah this man speaks for all of us
that's quite funny, i like it
that's quite funny, i like it
glorp
glorp
so no point in the war really
so no point in the war really
but recently war doesn't move anything in crypto
but recently war doesn't move anything in crypto
yeah, used to be cool back when it brought us volatility
yeah, used to be cool back when it brought us volatility
August last year
August last year
Times have changed
Times have changed
When I started, losing money on poly was actually harder than making
When I started, losing money on poly was actually harder than making
No, 4 usd
No, 4 usd
Stressful times
Stressful times
Was 4 usd in the red at one point
Was 4 usd in the red at one point
When I started I lost some money before making money
When I started I lost some money before making money
you refer someone, get their referrals for 30 days, then stop getting them
you refer someone, get their referrals for 30 days, then stop getting them
i.e., no refs from now
i.e., no refs from now
it's been going on for months now
it's been going on for months now
they changed it to only last 30 days
they changed it to only last 30 days
websocket is best
websocket is best
place absolutely massive size and your latencies will be bigger
place absolutely massive size and your latencies will be bigger
the bigger the size the more likely the cancel will go through
the bigger the size the more likely the cancel will go through
i appreciate that!
i appreciate that!