2026-07-12 · Polymarket · 19 条相关讨论
Ok, please write this down on a notepad next to you: I am not claiming it will go away I am claiming it will be massively reduced
Ok, please write this down on a notepad next to you: I am not claiming it will go away I am claiming it will be massively reduced
Because there are basic statistical properties of markets you can measure
Because there are basic statistical properties of markets you can measure
This is a zero sum game. When manipulators make money, everyone else loses
This is a zero sum game. When manipulators make money, everyone else loses
i think manip is basically not a problem on kalshi
i think manip is basically not a problem on kalshi
and they do like much more volume than poly at this point
and they do like much more volume than poly at this point
What's the point of volume if manipulators are the main profiteers?
What's the point of volume if manipulators are the main profiteers?
But Kalshi has substantially less manipulation and substantially more volume, so your argument doesn't hold at all really
But Kalshi has substantially less manipulation and substantially more volume, so your argument doesn't hold at all really
I mean TWAP is being added regardless, so I just don't see a big issue with them testing on 15m markets
I mean TWAP is being added regardless, so I just don't see a big issue with them testing on 15m markets
It does right? If manipulators make 5% pnl on volume traded, then they don't need to do as much volume to make money For the rest of us our captures are close to 1% So the rest of us are willing to do 5x the volume to make money Meaning more fees for poly if they reduce manipulation
It does right? If manipulators make 5% pnl on volume traded, then they don't need to do as much volume to make money For the rest of us our captures are close to 1% So the rest of us are willing to do 5x the volume to make money Meaning more fees for poly if they reduce manipulation
The issue is that by not making the executive decision and doing the switch, and 'testing' it instead, poly are facilitating the manipulators' trading. That is facilitation of theft and market manipulation
The issue is that by not making the executive decision and doing the switch, and 'testing' it instead, poly are facilitating the manipulators' trading. That is facilitation of theft and market manipulation
do u want twap michael
do u want twap michael
im bored of spending 4 hours a day tracking manipulator wallets so i can copychud them just for them to rugpull me
im bored of spending 4 hours a day tracking manipulator wallets so i can copychud them just for them to rugpull me
if you look at the crypto leaderboards a few months ago it was a good healthy mix of manipulators and regular traders
if you look at the crypto leaderboards a few months ago it was a good healthy mix of manipulators and regular traders
now its just manipulators and noone else is making money
now its just manipulators and noone else is making money
I think the better order would be to first fix it and only then add fees
I think the better order would be to first fix it and only then add fees
<:Bidensmile:1040247925420339251> But that's the fate of this market—5m markets are built for manipulators.
<:Bidensmile:1040247925420339251> But that's the fate of this market—5m markets are built for manipulators.
Even if TWAP block the small-fry manipulators, so what—you think Jane Street, SIG, and Jump Trading won't manipulate markets? They will—and they're probably already doing it.
Even if TWAP block the small-fry manipulators, so what—you think Jane Street, SIG, and Jump Trading won't manipulate markets? They will—and they're probably already doing it.
I think if you move over to TWAP - most of those guys will stop/do it far less often
I think if you move over to TWAP - most of those guys will stop/do it far less often
unavoidable - as in completely eradicating manipulation - sure i agree. But reducing it 80%+? nah - very possible.
unavoidable - as in completely eradicating manipulation - sure i agree. But reducing it 80%+? nah - very possible.