Kalshioh shit, Nick, are you using the node lib? pretty sure its busted...
oh shit, Nick, are you using the node lib? pretty sure its busted...
George/Sefi参与话题 7消息总数 61
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共 61 条，显示第 1-50 条95% of the plays that i run have no edge and are losers. but thats the answer i wanted.
95% of the plays that i run have no edge and are losers. but thats the answer i wanted.
spent about 3-4 months attempting to get AI to do what i want, but im really calling that a lost cause at this point
spent about 3-4 months attempting to get AI to do what i want, but im really calling that a lost cause at this point
mmost of the metrics i run are meaningless, but i find some real gems
mmost of the metrics i run are meaningless, but i find some real gems
then i create scatter charts so i can see the distribution of results and refine
then i create scatter charts so i can see the distribution of results and refine
every variant, pay at 5, etc etc, sell at 5% profit, etc etc
every variant, pay at 5, etc etc, sell at 5% profit, etc etc
i am running 6000 different "plays" analyzing every strategy i could think of. cpu intensive, but creates the history i need to find edges
i am running 6000 different "plays" analyzing every strategy i could think of. cpu intensive, but creates the history i need to find edges
just endless endless system refinement
just endless endless system refinement
paper trade 98%
paper trade 98%
just constant developmen
just constant developmen
oh im a year in
oh im a year in
im still running my perps thrugh coinbase, volume is better over there, margins are better if i recal
im still running my perps thrugh coinbase, volume is better over there, margins are better if i recal
paper trading would be lovely on real prod.
paper trading would be lovely on real prod.
because its very hard to keep them aligned....and align the trade simulator for it...
because its very hard to keep them aligned....and align the trade simulator for it...
at least.
at least.
i lost several thousand just testing slippage logic, cause thers no way to simulate that. false walls and shit. i knew i woul have to take that hit
i lost several thousand just testing slippage logic, cause thers no way to simulate that. false walls and shit. i knew i woul have to take that hit
you are gonna have to take financial hits to get the data you want.
you are gonna have to take financial hits to get the data you want.
IMo they fail to keep it inline with prod
IMo they fail to keep it inline with prod
you fell for the classic trap of using the demo server
you fell for the classic trap of using the demo server
ive subed 10000 before, but you cant handle it. produced will outpace consumer, etc
ive subed 10000 before, but you cant handle it. produced will outpace consumer, etc
do you mean "act as a broker" because i think you would be crossing federal laws, would need to pass some exams andbe registered withthe sEC , FinRA, etc etc. if you are making decisions for people, then you are a broker. some wiggle room if its family or friends but even that is sketch.
do you mean "act as a broker" because i think you would be crossing federal laws, would need to pass some exams andbe registered withthe sEC , FinRA, etc etc. if you are making decisions for people, then you are a broker. some wiggle room if its family or friends but even that is sketch.
throwback to PredictIt Times when there was a massive list of companies not allowed to use the platform
throwback to PredictIt Times when there was a massive list of companies not allowed to use the platform
drunk late night market naming lol
drunk late night market naming lol
FYI hve been transfering back and forth from subaccounts for a few months with no problems. i only had 1 tho.
FYI hve been transfering back and forth from subaccounts for a few months with no problems. i only had 1 tho.
and as a final word of warning: if your UI is AI driven, it scares the hell out of me. that stuff does false caches, time caches, just complete nonsense memoization, just a ton of logic that you do not want AI implementing. it will cause you to see lies.
and as a final word of warning: if your UI is AI driven, it scares the hell out of me. that stuff does false caches, time caches, just complete nonsense memoization, just a ton of logic that you do not want AI implementing. it will cause you to see lies.
Pro UI: i use firebase RTDB to do this, so that i can access my Ui from anywhere through a web interface. this is very useful that but. Con Ui: adds an extra layer of extrapolation that you will waste time debugging around. i have spent the last week debugging Ui bugs, not trading logic.
Pro UI: i use firebase RTDB to do this, so that i can access my Ui from anywhere through a web interface. this is very useful that but. Con Ui: adds an extra layer of extrapolation that you will waste time debugging around. i have spent the last week debugging Ui bugs, not trading logic.
imo variants to see who bites.
imo variants to see who bites.
would really like them to get away from the word "events" for legal reasons
would really like them to get away from the word "events" for legal reasons
bro the ai will screw you, check your code. it creates lies.
bro the ai will screw you, check your code. it creates lies.
i mean you can scalp small amount that way, im pretty sure OP is asking if we can spend 5 c every time
i mean you can scalp small amount that way, im pretty sure OP is asking if we can spend 5 c every time
impossible
impossible
not without alot of other signals telling you when to sell. a successful 15m scalp play would only occur like once every 4 hours, so you wouldnt gain nearly as fast as you think.
not without alot of other signals telling you when to sell. a successful 15m scalp play would only occur like once every 4 hours, so you wouldnt gain nearly as fast as you think.
someones bot on the perps is using the spot price as the size of their order...very clear from btc perp orderbook . huge mistake.
someones bot on the perps is using the spot price as the size of their order...very clear from btc perp orderbook . huge mistake.
ah ok. had me afraid for. second
ah ok. had me afraid for. second
be more specific bout exchange breaking, what are you seeing
be more specific bout exchange breaking, what are you seeing
lol temp on the moon. weather on jupiter. love it.
lol temp on the moon. weather on jupiter. love it.
yuppp, coinbase derivatives lets me do it.
yuppp, coinbase derivatives lets me do it.
moving my CFBenchmark Subscription to dedicated websocket, seems to be happier. still too many frames on my main websocket thread
moving my CFBenchmark Subscription to dedicated websocket, seems to be happier. still too many frames on my main websocket thread
[2026-06-18T10:28:56.188Z] [Kalshi WS] heartbeat alive stable=1m serverPing=1m framesInInterval=6493 approxPerSec=649 total=35377
[2026-06-18T10:28:56.188Z] [Kalshi WS] heartbeat alive stable=1m serverPing=1m framesInInterval=6493 approxPerSec=649 total=35377
getting alot of nonsense from the system, getting overloaded with frames, frames dropping, and since i use the CFBenchmark price.....im only recieving the CFBEnchmark every minute or so, not per second. and in spurts
getting alot of nonsense from the system, getting overloaded with frames, frames dropping, and since i use the CFBenchmark price.....im only recieving the CFBEnchmark every minute or so, not per second. and in spurts
i mean there really have been cases of weather fraud at this point, i wouldnt touch it. i got screwed to many times by zero precip but still got "rain" cause of dew count
i mean there really have been cases of weather fraud at this point, i wouldnt touch it. i got screwed to many times by zero precip but still got "rain" cause of dew count
i am not seeing that.
i am not seeing that.
yeah i actually feel that way on facebook, i think its a little messed up to post fancy vacations etc when half your friends from youth are basically destitute. no need to show off like that
yeah i actually feel that way on facebook, i think its a little messed up to post fancy vacations etc when half your friends from youth are basically destitute. no need to show off like that
lol basically was asking "is there a major flaw here"
lol basically was asking "is there a major flaw here"
was afraid you were skittish because of random API reason or factor that i wasnt aware of
was afraid you were skittish because of random API reason or factor that i wasnt aware of
tx thats the answer i was hoping
tx thats the answer i was hoping
on the leaderboard, it shows you top of the predictions, but not top of leaderboard....just trying to understand if you are just not actuallying buying
on the leaderboard, it shows you top of the predictions, but not top of leaderboard....just trying to understand if you are just not actuallying buying
like im constantly watching u at the top of the charts lol
like im constantly watching u at the top of the charts lol
<@378727998121181184> , im really confused why you havnt put money in the game with such high prediction rate
<@378727998121181184> , im really confused why you havnt put money in the game with such high prediction rate
was there a specific endpoint? i can test it
was there a specific endpoint? i can test it
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