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ohan 2026-06-20 03:19:28 Polymarket

i feel like it's usually shilling some dumb copy-trade

i feel like it's usually shilling some dumb copy-trade

ohan 2026-06-19 23:12:14 Polymarket

more of a balatro guy

more of a balatro guy

ohan 2026-06-19 22:25:28 Polymarket

do they tell this to their institutional partners?

do they tell this to their institutional partners?

ohan 2026-06-19 22:25:10 Polymarket

is this like intended behavior?

is this like intended behavior?

ohan 2026-06-19 22:25:05 Polymarket

i mean it's so bizarre

i mean it's so bizarre

ohan 2026-06-19 22:24:59 Polymarket

it really just has to be like a three line fix you would think?

it really just has to be like a three line fix you would think?

ohan 2026-06-16 04:07:29 Polymarket

if benign volume comes back sure

if benign volume comes back sure

ohan 2026-06-16 03:43:19 Polymarket

just not worth the headaches

just not worth the headaches

ohan 2026-06-16 03:42:11 Polymarket

my life has been so much better since i stopped

my life has been so much better since i stopped

ohan 2026-06-12 04:20:55 Polymarket

it'll be terrible if their TWAP solution is hidden inside what chainlink reports

it'll be terrible if their TWAP solution is hidden inside what chainlink reports

ohan 2026-06-12 04:20:43 Polymarket

imo this is really worrying: "Yes, we are working with Chainlink to finish this, but it is taking longer, as we want to build it in a very flexible way"

imo this is really worrying: "Yes, we are working with Chainlink to finish this, but it is taking longer, as we want to build it in a very flexible way"

ohan 2026-06-12 04:18:00 Polymarket

idk i don't actually care that much

idk i don't actually care that much

ohan 2026-06-12 04:17:54 Polymarket

well it's "theoretically" on chain and so is same for everyone?

well it's "theoretically" on chain and so is same for everyone?

ohan 2026-06-12 04:16:36 Polymarket

like i think you need some formal resolution process?

like i think you need some formal resolution process?

ohan 2026-06-12 04:16:23 Polymarket

or reports one thing to person A and another to person B?

or reports one thing to person A and another to person B?

ohan 2026-06-12 04:16:16 Polymarket

ig like what do you do if binance has a bug or something

ig like what do you do if binance has a bug or something

ohan 2026-06-12 04:14:31 Polymarket

well the financial world has 1 day settlement at minimum

well the financial world has 1 day settlement at minimum

ohan 2026-06-12 04:09:06 Polymarket

i can't imagine it's a significant pnl source for them though

i can't imagine it's a significant pnl source for them though

ohan 2026-06-12 04:09:00 Polymarket

i mean they're clearly getting a kickback

i mean they're clearly getting a kickback

ohan 2026-06-12 04:07:27 Polymarket

i think you can get by without it on kalshi if you don't trade the last 1m

i think you can get by without it on kalshi if you don't trade the last 1m

ohan 2026-06-12 03:59:41 Polymarket

ig this is not so so bad

ig this is not so so bad

ohan 2026-06-12 03:59:35 Polymarket

kalshi's price source is 1K/month/symbol with a 12 month min commitment

kalshi's price source is 1K/month/symbol with a 12 month min commitment

ohan 2026-06-10 23:53:55 Polymarket

i mean if you're not even targeting 1M/year in pnl then why would any big firm even want to compete in your trades?

i mean if you're not even targeting 1M/year in pnl then why would any big firm even want to compete in your trades?

ohan 2026-06-10 23:33:36 Polymarket

1. BTC vol spikes 2. spammers start spamming cancels 3. you provide (even liberally, even requesting a lot of edge, even having the fastest microwave possible) 4. plausibly some amount of the time BTC will shock and option fair will move by like .25 5. you can't cancel, you get picked off. like the only thing you can do is not quote real size when vol spikes.

1. BTC vol spikes 2. spammers start spamming cancels 3. you provide (even liberally, even requesting a lot of edge, even having the fastest microwave possible) 4. plausibly some amount of the time BTC will shock and option fair will move by like .25 5. you can't cancel, you get picked off. like the only thing you can do is not quote real size when vol spikes.

ohan 2026-06-10 23:16:21 Polymarket

like there is no reason a single market can't handle 1000x their updates/second

like there is no reason a single market can't handle 1000x their updates/second

ohan 2026-06-10 23:15:52 Polymarket

i think they have a DB in the hot path

i think they have a DB in the hot path

ohan 2026-06-10 23:15:39 Polymarket

i really don't buy this. i think they're current version is all built on webshit technologies

i really don't buy this. i think they're current version is all built on webshit technologies

ohan 2026-06-10 22:37:10 Polymarket

like all of these exploits would no longer be economical if they imposed a spam deterrent

like all of these exploits would no longer be economical if they imposed a spam deterrent

ohan 2026-06-10 22:36:22 Polymarket

it's not actually crazy

it's not actually crazy

ohan 2026-06-10 10:21:31 Polymarket

i lost 10k

i lost 10k

ohan 2026-06-10 04:16:47 Polymarket

polygonscan?

polygonscan?

ohan 2026-06-10 01:22:18 Polymarket

this "bypass" is like 10x worse than taker delay bypass

this "bypass" is like 10x worse than taker delay bypass

ohan 2026-06-10 01:13:39 Polymarket

at this point i just want to play a fair game

at this point i just want to play a fair game

ohan 2026-06-10 01:13:24 Polymarket

idk i think it's kinda obvious

idk i think it's kinda obvious

ohan 2026-06-10 01:03:27 Polymarket

it's just always the most inane architecture you can think of

it's just always the most inane architecture you can think of

ohan 2026-06-10 01:03:21 Polymarket

my guess is poly uses separate queues for takes and cancels, when BTC shocks exploiters spam cancels of nonsense orders

my guess is poly uses separate queues for takes and cancels, when BTC shocks exploiters spam cancels of nonsense orders

ohan 2026-06-10 00:31:36 Polymarket

it's just so baffling that you can fire a take and a cancel at the same time and somehow the take lands first

it's just so baffling that you can fire a take and a cancel at the same time and somehow the take lands first

ohan 2026-06-09 21:54:29 Polymarket

at this point you should just fire a take on an alt to hope that you're the one who fills your stale order

at this point you should just fire a take on an alt to hope that you're the one who fills your stale order

ohan 2026-06-09 04:07:56 Polymarket

(nsfl)

(nsfl)

ohan 2026-06-09 04:07:33 Polymarket

letters to nora

letters to nora

ohan 2026-06-09 04:03:28 Polymarket

i am a ten year old chinese boy

i am a ten year old chinese boy

ohan 2026-06-09 04:01:25 Polymarket

btc 5m is a harder modeling problem than anything i worked on in "real" quant

btc 5m is a harder modeling problem than anything i worked on in "real" quant

ohan 2026-06-09 01:34:10 Polymarket

i'd share my favorite joyce prose but it would get me banned

i'd share my favorite joyce prose but it would get me banned

ohan 2026-06-09 01:31:03 Polymarket

(i don't do hft so i want more competition there haha)

(i don't do hft so i want more competition there haha)

ohan 2026-06-09 01:30:28 Polymarket

i'm a early 20th century modernist literature guy

i'm a early 20th century modernist literature guy

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