Polymarketinsane, why not risk less on Yes, must be some kabal/coordination or ig just natural via everyone watching everyone else?
insane, why not risk less on Yes, must be some kabal/coordination or ig just natural via everyone watching everyone else?
Mach1参与话题 1消息总数 36
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共 36 条，显示第 1-36 条they changed the market end date to be July 1 2026 now tho so the market still hasnt ended, and MSTR sold BTC in MAy so idk wtf they are doing
they changed the market end date to be July 1 2026 now tho so the market still hasnt ended, and MSTR sold BTC in MAy so idk wtf they are doing
has no clause about when it is disclosed and the market end date is JAN 1 2027
has no clause about when it is disclosed and the market end date is JAN 1 2027
original event: "This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy sells any of its Bitcoin by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MSTR and on-chain data, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used."
original event: "This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy sells any of its Bitcoin by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MSTR and on-chain data, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used."
think that link is right
think that link is right
i mean yes is priced at like $0.01 rn so 100x return
i mean yes is priced at like $0.01 rn so 100x return
in theory UMA holder can buy yes and vote correctly (for yes) ?
in theory UMA holder can buy yes and vote correctly (for yes) ?
"precedent" "precedent" why isnt such precedent included in the resolution's method text
"precedent" "precedent" why isnt such precedent included in the resolution's method text
I looked at the vote on UMA's site and it literally displays Polymarkets "clarification" at the top. so the vote is based on polymarkets clarification so its fucked
I looked at the vote on UMA's site and it literally displays Polymarkets "clarification" at the top. so the vote is based on polymarkets clarification so its fucked
they added clarification June 1st after the fact, its damage control for their insiders or something, idk. even if its not that, that's how it will be viewed
they added clarification June 1st after the fact, its damage control for their insiders or something, idk. even if its not that, that's how it will be viewed
yep MSTR sold BTC in May, market end date displayed JAN 1 2027, but polymarket claiming it ends May 31st 2026 11:59PM
yep MSTR sold BTC in May, market end date displayed JAN 1 2027, but polymarket claiming it ends May 31st 2026 11:59PM
joined today and same, block em
joined today and same, block em
berate them
berate them
same
same
yep
yep
one can hope 🙁
one can hope 🙁
I mean I only had 10 YES share prior to June 1st, bought more today after seeing the controversy, and I know the market SHOULD resolve YES even it it doesn't. I got small money on the line but this seems Ludacris that it will resolve NO. Market end date JAN 1 2027 not May 31st 2026
I mean I only had 10 YES share prior to June 1st, bought more today after seeing the controversy, and I know the market SHOULD resolve YES even it it doesn't. I got small money on the line but this seems Ludacris that it will resolve NO. Market end date JAN 1 2027 not May 31st 2026
this shit ridiculous tho, end date of the market is JAN 1 2027 yet everyone keeps saying it ended May 31st 2026 based on obscure precedent. how come this obscure precedent isnt worded into the resoltion method?
this shit ridiculous tho, end date of the market is JAN 1 2027 yet everyone keeps saying it ended May 31st 2026 based on obscure precedent. how come this obscure precedent isnt worded into the resoltion method?
yeah IK this shit resolving NO, but I know it should resolve YES
yeah IK this shit resolving NO, but I know it should resolve YES
I really want someone from polymarket to explain how the JAN 1 2027 end date is irreleveant when it is displayed on the market. SO its just displayed to trick chumps into giving away their money? "Oh the market ended May 31st, any confirmation of a sell after then is invalid" then why is the end date JAN 1 2027???
I really want someone from polymarket to explain how the JAN 1 2027 end date is irreleveant when it is displayed on the market. SO its just displayed to trick chumps into giving away their money? "Oh the market ended May 31st, any confirmation of a sell after then is invalid" then why is the end date JAN 1 2027???
market end date JAN 1 2027 is apparently meaningless so why even set an end date???
market end date JAN 1 2027 is apparently meaningless so why even set an end date???
the only way to resolve No is that you have a vested interest in NO or are ignoring reality
the only way to resolve No is that you have a vested interest in NO or are ignoring reality
if they resolve NO it shows there is a major probelm with polymarket and UMA. the later clarification only muddies the water in favor of someone at polymarket I guess. Market end date of Jan 1 2027
if they resolve NO it shows there is a major probelm with polymarket and UMA. the later clarification only muddies the water in favor of someone at polymarket I guess. Market end date of Jan 1 2027
their MSTR sells by May market wasnt tho
their MSTR sells by May market wasnt tho
insane
insane
"oh well you didn't know some obscure precedent that the date in the title of the question precedes the market end date shown on the website" I still want to know what is the point of displaying a market end date when it seems completely ignored
"oh well you didn't know some obscure precedent that the date in the title of the question precedes the market end date shown on the website" I still want to know what is the point of displaying a market end date when it seems completely ignored
fr
fr
sad day
sad day
the market had no language stressing the disclosure had to be made prior to May 31st
the market had no language stressing the disclosure had to be made prior to May 31st
and there was a sale in May. which could have been seen on chain but was 100% confirmed June 1st the first business day after the period in which the sale occured
and there was a sale in May. which could have been seen on chain but was 100% confirmed June 1st the first business day after the period in which the sale occured
Yeah I have liked polymarket for a while but if this resolves NO definently not using them again. ridiculous semantic games going on
Yeah I have liked polymarket for a while but if this resolves NO definently not using them again. ridiculous semantic games going on
the Strategy market end date was Jan 1 2027 idk people saying it ended May 31st
the Strategy market end date was Jan 1 2027 idk people saying it ended May 31st
is the time frame the date in the question or the market end date of Jan 1 2027, wtf is the end date if it is apparently meaningless???
is the time frame the date in the question or the market end date of Jan 1 2027, wtf is the end date if it is apparently meaningless???
https://x.com/TheNotoriousSKi/status/2061877412447797334?s=20
https://x.com/TheNotoriousSKi/status/2061877412447797334?s=20
he joking
he joking
this is getting ridiculous. did MSTR sell BTC in May? YES
this is getting ridiculous. did MSTR sell BTC in May? YES