Kalshitoo busy w/ work + money locked up w/ Rodgers
too busy w/ work + money locked up w/ Rodgers
ѕησωу∂яαgση参与话题 34消息总数 1326
该用户的聊天记录定位。
聊天记录
共 1326 条，显示第 951-1000 条idk 😭
idk 😭
i dont play announcers b/c I dont have a tv
i dont play announcers b/c I dont have a tv
no, politics/earnings
no, politics/earnings
yes
yes
i'll c a market like 30 mins before it starts and if it looks interested, i'll look into the event
i'll c a market like 30 mins before it starts and if it looks interested, i'll look into the event
i literally do mentions off vibes lol
i literally do mentions off vibes lol
nah ur chill ❤️
nah ur chill ❤️
<:phew:1411119834229641216>
<:phew:1411119834229641216>
thank goodness I'm not a college athlete
thank goodness I'm not a college athlete
🐶
🐶
Doggo!!
Doggo!!
<:oldplead:1513277718710714368>
<:oldplead:1513277718710714368>
Heya Jake, srry to bother, I'd love to trade slop, but my money is all locked up in this Aaron Rodgers' Next Team market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnextteamnfl/pro-football-player-next-team/kxnextteamnfl-26arodgers8?op_market_ticker=KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26ARODGERS8-PIT&op_order_side=yes I've posted an extensive essay on why it should be resolvable in RFD (https://discord.com/channels/871819895443189862/1408942496045863042/1513793451425005668), but not sure the sports ppl have seen it, any chance u could help w/ resolving it?
Heya Jake, srry to bother, I'd love to trade slop, but my money is all locked up in this Aaron Rodgers' Next Team market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnextteamnfl/pro-football-player-next-team/kxnextteamnfl-26arodgers8?op_market_ticker=KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26ARODGERS8-PIT&op_order_side=yes I've posted an extensive essay on why it should be resolvable in RFD (https://discord.com/channels/871819895443189862/1408942496045863042/1513793451425005668), but not sure the sports ppl have seen it, any chance u could help w/ resolving it?
Gonna post this now to link it if/when ppl say I should cash out at 99 w/o actually reading my post (I don't blame u tbf, I had to squeeze that thing under the Discord char limit and it took me like 5 mins) 1. I'm bonding it. 99c would mean I'd lose a lot due to slippage/fees 2. Why should I cash out at 99c when the market is completely determined? This isn't a thing of "oh, the chance it'll happen is 99.5%, so buying at 99c is +EV", it literally already happened. Unless someone has a secret time machine(in which case there's prob better things to do), the contract/transaction was made official on 5/18. 3. According to the Payout Criterion in the contract, **the market does NOT resolve off Rodgers playing in an official capacity, the "determining moment is when the transaction becomes official as reported by Source Agencies"** and the transaction of Rodgers' contract becoming official has been reported by multiple source agencies. From original post: > "The following do NOT constitute joining a new team: ... I'm not asking to resolve this based on him showing up at OTAs, but the explicit signing of his 1-year contract with the Pittsburgh Steelers made official on 5/18, which does constitute joining a new team, according to the Payout Criterion."
Gonna post this now to link it if/when ppl say I should cash out at 99 w/o actually reading my post (I don't blame u tbf, I had to squeeze that thing under the Discord char limit and it took me like 5 mins) 1. I'm bonding it. 99c would mean I'd lose a lot due to slippage/fees 2. Why should I cash out at 99c when the market is completely determined? This isn't a thing of "oh, the chance it'll happen is 99.5%, so buying at 99c is +EV", it literally already happened. Unless someone has a secret time machine(in which case there's prob better things to do), the contract/transaction was made official on 5/18. 3. According to the Payout Criterion in the contract, **the market does NOT resolve off Rodgers playing in an official capacity, the "determining moment is when the transaction becomes official as reported by Source Agencies"** and the transaction of Rodgers' contract becoming official has been reported by multiple source agencies. From original post: > "The following do NOT constitute joining a new team: ... I'm not asking to resolve this based on him showing up at OTAs, but the explicit signing of his 1-year contract with the Pittsburgh Steelers made official on 5/18, which does constitute joining a new team, according to the Payout Criterion."
There were some juicy liquidity rewards too 😉
There were some juicy liquidity rewards too 😉
<:owoShrug:356735628110594048>
<:owoShrug:356735628110594048>
Should've paid out 5/18
Should've paid out 5/18
I'm losing money if I'm selling at 99
I'm losing money if I'm selling at 99
I'm the bonder bro
I'm the bonder bro
If anyone thinks Rodgers's next team is not resolvable/should not resolve to Pittsburgh, I'm be happy to hear ur argument and debate
If anyone thinks Rodgers's next team is not resolvable/should not resolve to Pittsburgh, I'm be happy to hear ur argument and debate
Kalshi team has not given me any responses and no one has objected afaik
Kalshi team has not given me any responses and no one has objected afaik
I would not know
I would not know
<@975124941605335061>
<@975124941605335061>
I vaguely remember smth about German goalies doing smth
I vaguely remember smth about German goalies doing smth
Was it the German one
Was it the German one
<#927682094719701032>
<#927682094719701032>
<a:dance3:1184295585478611055>
<a:dance3:1184295585478611055>
👀 Yippee! Fellow CN enjoyer!
👀 Yippee! Fellow CN enjoyer!
谢谢，我也很喜欢你！ ❤️
<:flushed_zoomed:1217832247286038580>
<:flushed_zoomed:1217832247286038580>
😂
😂
<:polisip:1199193664157659236> idk about that one
<:polisip:1199193664157659236> idk about that one
Adding some information to this market as I've been looking at it quite a bit. I believe this market is 100% determined as I will explain below, and frankly am not sure why there's a hold up w/ resolutions + payouts. ## Reasoning for Pittsburgh Y, All Others N: First, let's examine the NEXTTEAM contract itself. The Underlying of the contract states: > The Underlying for this Contract is the next professional sports team that <player> officially joins after Issuance, as documented by Source Agencies. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. The Payout Criterion states: > The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values of the first new team that <player> officially joins after Issuance, where "officially joins" means any of the following events as reported by a Source Agency: > 1. **Signing of a contract** (of any duration, including 10-day, two-way, or exhibit 10 contracts) > ... > The determining moment is when the transaction becomes official as reported by Source > Agencies, **not when the player physically reports, plays, or passes a physical.** Note that the market opened on 5/7/2026, 1:40 PM EDT. Therefore, all qualifying transactions after this time should be deemed valid/acceptable. On 5/18/2026, the Pittsburgh Steelers **officially** signed Aaron Rodgers. This contract signing is documented by multiple source agencies listed in the rules summary and contract itself, namely including but not limited to the governing league (NFL), official team website, official team social media, ESPN, and The Athletic linked in my previous post here https://discord.com/channels/871819895443189862/1408942496045863042/1512486509305921607. Additional source from [Spotrac](https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/player/_/id/3745/aaron-rodgers) (not included for source agency, but maybe should be) that shows this is an official contract. Note that according to the Payout Criterion, he does NOT have to play a snap for the Steelers (though he has reported to OTAs already), and, since his contract/signing is an official signing, means this market should be able to be resolved. As this is a mutually exclusive market, naturally this means that all other strikes should go N. ## **But What About Special Provisions?** > Sign-and-trade? Multi-team trades? Loan deals? Rights trades? As there were no trades involved in this contract, I think these clauses can be dismissed as irrelevant for our situation. > Voided transaction? Overall, his contract signing is complete. As mentioned above, Rodgers' 1-year contract being official is documented by multiple sources included in the list of Source Agencies. Moreover, Rodgers playing at OTAs means he has cleared his physical with the Steelers, since players are generally required to be medically cleared before taking part in on-field offseason activities > Retirement? The retirement clause only applies if Rodgers does not join a team. As shown above, he has. His previous contract officially ended on 3/11/2026. This means at the time the market opened, Rodgers was NOT a Pittsburgh Steeler. The signing of this new contract on 5/18/2026 indicates the Pittsburgh Steelers are the next profession team Aaron Rodgers officially joined after the market opened. > The following do NOT constitute joining a new team: ... I'm not asking to resolve this based on him showing up at OTAs, but the explicit signing of his 1-year contract with the Pittsburgh Steelers made official on 5/18, which does constitute joining a new team, according to the Payout Criterion. If there's any questions, I'd be happy to discuss/explain my thoughts.
Adding some information to this market as I've been looking at it quite a bit. I believe this market is 100% determined as I will explain below, and frankly am not sure why there's a hold up w/ resolutions + payouts. ## Reasoning for Pittsburgh Y, All Others N: First, let's examine the NEXTTEAM contract itself. The Underlying of the contract states: > The Underlying for this Contract is the next professional sports team that <player> officially joins after Issuance, as documented by Source Agencies. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. The Payout Criterion states: > The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values of the first new team that <player> officially joins after Issuance, where "officially joins" means any of the following events as reported by a Source Agency: > 1. **Signing of a contract** (of any duration, including 10-day, two-way, or exhibit 10 contracts) > ... > The determining moment is when the transaction becomes official as reported by Source > Agencies, **not when the player physically reports, plays, or passes a physical.** Note that the market opened on 5/7/2026, 1:40 PM EDT. Therefore, all qualifying transactions after this time should be deemed valid/acceptable. On 5/18/2026, the Pittsburgh Steelers **officially** signed Aaron Rodgers. This contract signing is documented by multiple source agencies listed in the rules summary and contract itself, namely including but not limited to the governing league (NFL), official team website, official team social media, ESPN, and The Athletic linked in my previous post here https://discord.com/channels/871819895443189862/1408942496045863042/1512486509305921607. Additional source from [Spotrac](https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/player/_/id/3745/aaron-rodgers) (not included for source agency, but maybe should be) that shows this is an official contract. Note that according to the Payout Criterion, he does NOT have to play a snap for the Steelers (though he has reported to OTAs already), and, since his contract/signing is an official signing, means this market should be able to be resolved. As this is a mutually exclusive market, naturally this means that all other strikes should go N. ## **But What About Special Provisions?** > Sign-and-trade? Multi-team trades? Loan deals? Rights trades? As there were no trades involved in this contract, I think these clauses can be dismissed as irrelevant for our situation. > Voided transaction? Overall, his contract signing is complete. As mentioned above, Rodgers' 1-year contract being official is documented by multiple sources included in the list of Source Agencies. Moreover, Rodgers playing at OTAs means he has cleared his physical with the Steelers, since players are generally required to be medically cleared before taking part in on-field offseason activities > Retirement? The retirement clause only applies if Rodgers does not join a team. As shown above, he has. His previous contract officially ended on 3/11/2026. This means at the time the market opened, Rodgers was NOT a Pittsburgh Steeler. The signing of this new contract on 5/18/2026 indicates the Pittsburgh Steelers are the next profession team Aaron Rodgers officially joined after the market opened. > The following do NOT constitute joining a new team: ... I'm not asking to resolve this based on him showing up at OTAs, but the explicit signing of his 1-year contract with the Pittsburgh Steelers made official on 5/18, which does constitute joining a new team, according to the Payout Criterion. If there's any questions, I'd be happy to discuss/explain my thoughts.
only real staff are the ppl in here w/ green names
only real staff are the ppl in here w/ green names
<@418258891260821506> the Meena guy is a scammer btw
<@418258891260821506> the Meena guy is a scammer btw
<#927682094719701032>
<#927682094719701032>
<@1511711925745090760> can u help me withdraws as well? my money is a bit stuck
<@1511711925745090760> can u help me withdraws as well? my money is a bit stuck
all my money locked up in Rodgers' Next Team market, srry 😭
all my money locked up in Rodgers' Next Team market, srry 😭
my goal is to have this Aaron Rodgers market paid out <:ded:769457698411511839>
my goal is to have this Aaron Rodgers market paid out <:ded:769457698411511839>
gl all
gl all
ik bru
ik bru
if i had to deal w/ politics bs, I'd rather sleep
if i had to deal w/ politics bs, I'd rather sleep
sports > politics
sports > politics
why wouldn't he
why wouldn't he
<:polisip:1199193664157659236>
<:polisip:1199193664157659236>
rip
rip
oof
oof
<:worry_pat:1155316902952960131>
<:worry_pat:1155316902952960131>
refs be doing ref things
refs be doing ref things