PolymarketFrench socialist party primary
French socialist party primary
Poivre参与话题 5消息总数 61
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共 61 条，显示第 1-50 条yes
yes
those moments are always scary af lol, you think of some scammer who logged into your account lol
those moments are always scary af lol, you think of some scammer who logged into your account lol
yeah it's increasing little by little now
yeah it's increasing little by little now
My folio value changed
My folio value changed
duly noted
duly noted
<@1212792946341183578> <@1434925821667180728> <@941405798096076880> <@1272383282687905939> <@1507445592320905239> Hi, three new election markets ⬆️
<@1212792946341183578> <@1434925821667180728> <@941405798096076880> <@1272383282687905939> <@1507445592320905239> Hi, three new election markets ⬆️
<@1402074242211643422>
<@1402074242211643422>
Thank you. I also submitted three new election markets (I've been suggesting them for weeks actually), might wanna take a look at them? I pinged you there
Thank you. I also submitted three new election markets (I've been suggesting them for weeks actually), might wanna take a look at them? I pinged you there
**Categories:** World, France, Politics 🗳️ Topic: 2026 French senatorial elections **Market Title** 2026 French Senate elections: which group will gain seats? **Outcomes** Senate Republicans Socialist, Ecologist and Republican group Centrist Union Rally of Democrats, Progressive and Independent group Communist, Republican, Citizen and Ecologist group The Independents – Republic and Territories group Ecologist group in the Senate European Democratic and Social Rally group **Market Description** Senate elections are scheduled to be held in France on September 27, 2026. 178 seats are up for renewal, corresponding to the senators elected in September 2020. This market resolves to the parties that gain seats compared to its results in the 2020 Senate elections. This market will resolve "Yes" to all groups that achieve a net gain in seats compared to their September 2020 results. Multiple outcomes may resolve "Yes" simultaneously. **Proposed Resolution Criteria** Net seat gain is calculated by comparing each party's seat count in the newly constituted Senate against the seats they won in the September 2020 elections across the same 178 constituencies. Only seats formally attributed following the September 27, 2026 elections count. Seats gained through post-election defections or group changes do not count. If no elections are held by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market resolves "No". **Resolution Source** Official information from the French Senate (senat.fr). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
**Categories:** World, France, Politics 🗳️ Topic: 2026 French senatorial elections **Market Title** 2026 French Senate elections: which group will gain seats? **Outcomes** Senate Republicans Socialist, Ecologist and Republican group Centrist Union Rally of Democrats, Progressive and Independent group Communist, Republican, Citizen and Ecologist group The Independents – Republic and Territories group Ecologist group in the Senate European Democratic and Social Rally group **Market Description** Senate elections are scheduled to be held in France on September 27, 2026. 178 seats are up for renewal, corresponding to the senators elected in September 2020. This market resolves to the parties that gain seats compared to its results in the 2020 Senate elections. This market will resolve "Yes" to all groups that achieve a net gain in seats compared to their September 2020 results. Multiple outcomes may resolve "Yes" simultaneously. **Proposed Resolution Criteria** Net seat gain is calculated by comparing each party's seat count in the newly constituted Senate against the seats they won in the September 2020 elections across the same 178 constituencies. Only seats formally attributed following the September 27, 2026 elections count. Seats gained through post-election defections or group changes do not count. If no elections are held by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market resolves "No". **Resolution Source** Official information from the French Senate (senat.fr). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
**Categories**: World, France, Politics 🗳️ Topic: 2026 French senatorial elections **Market Title** 2026 French Senate elections: Will National Rally form a parliamentary group? **Outcomes** YES / NO **Market Description** Senate elections are scheduled to be held in France on September 27, 2026. Under Senate rules, a political group requires a minimum of 10 senators. The Rassemblement National (RN) currently holds 3 seats in the Senate, having won those seats in the 2023 elections after being absent from the chamber since 2022. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Rassemblement National (RN) formally constitutes a parliamentary group (groupe politique) in the French Senate following the September 27, 2026 Senate elections. **Proposed Resolution Criteria** The RN must formally register a parliamentary group (groupe politique) with the Senate following the 2026 elections, in accordance with Article 5 of the Senate's Rules of Procedure (Règlement du Sénat), which requires a minimum of 10 senators. Senators elected under a different label but formally joining the RN group at constitution time will count toward the threshold. Senators affiliated with allied parties (e.g. UDR) who join an RN-led group will count, provided the group is formally registered under RN leadership or co-leadership. Any group constituted before the formal convening of the newly elected Senate will not count. If no parliamentary group is constituted by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market resolves "No". **Resolution Source** Official information from the French Senate (senat.fr). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
**Categories**: World, France, Politics 🗳️ Topic: 2026 French senatorial elections **Market Title** 2026 French Senate elections: Will National Rally form a parliamentary group? **Outcomes** YES / NO **Market Description** Senate elections are scheduled to be held in France on September 27, 2026. Under Senate rules, a political group requires a minimum of 10 senators. The Rassemblement National (RN) currently holds 3 seats in the Senate, having won those seats in the 2023 elections after being absent from the chamber since 2022. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Rassemblement National (RN) formally constitutes a parliamentary group (groupe politique) in the French Senate following the September 27, 2026 Senate elections. **Proposed Resolution Criteria** The RN must formally register a parliamentary group (groupe politique) with the Senate following the 2026 elections, in accordance with Article 5 of the Senate's Rules of Procedure (Règlement du Sénat), which requires a minimum of 10 senators. Senators elected under a different label but formally joining the RN group at constitution time will count toward the threshold. Senators affiliated with allied parties (e.g. UDR) who join an RN-led group will count, provided the group is formally registered under RN leadership or co-leadership. Any group constituted before the formal convening of the newly elected Senate will not count. If no parliamentary group is constituted by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market resolves "No". **Resolution Source** Official information from the French Senate (senat.fr). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
**Categories**: World, France, Politics 🗳️ Topic: 2026 French senatorial elections **Market Title** 2027 French Presidential Election: How many candidates will appear on the first-round ballot? **Outcomes** 8 or fewer / 9 / 10 / 11 / 12 / 13 / 14 or more **Market Description** The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. **Proposed Resolution Criteria** This market will resolve based on the total number of candidates included on the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election, expected to be held in April 2027. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the number of candidates who actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". **Resolution Source** The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
**Categories**: World, France, Politics 🗳️ Topic: 2026 French senatorial elections **Market Title** 2027 French Presidential Election: How many candidates will appear on the first-round ballot? **Outcomes** 8 or fewer / 9 / 10 / 11 / 12 / 13 / 14 or more **Market Description** The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. **Proposed Resolution Criteria** This market will resolve based on the total number of candidates included on the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election, expected to be held in April 2027. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the number of candidates who actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". **Resolution Source** The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Okay, is there something prerequired to get the mention role btw? Can I be added?
Okay, is there something prerequired to get the mention role btw? Can I be added?
why not both?
why not both?
**Categories:** Sports, Football, World Cup ⚽ **Topic:** 2026 FIFA World Cup **Market Title** Will Michael Olise's yellow card be lifted? **Market Description** Michael Olise received a yellow card in the 97th minute of France's 1-0 win over Paraguay in the Round of 16 of the 2026 World Cup, following an altercation with Matías Galarza. The French Football Federation (FFF) has requested that FIFA cancel this booking, arguing that Olise made no punishable contact with his opponent. This market resolves based on whether FIFA officially agrees to rescind the yellow card before France's quarterfinal match against Morocco, scheduled for Thursday. **Outcomes** Yes No **Proposed Resolution Criteria** This market will resolve "Yes" if FIFA officially announces, before kickoff of the France vs. Morocco quarterfinal (scheduled for July 9, 2026), that Michael Olise's yellow card from the Paraguay match has been cancelled or rescinded. This market will resolve "No" if FIFA rejects the request, does not issue a ruling before kickoff, or if no official decision is communicated by then. If there is no such match before July 11, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to "No". **Resolution Source** Official FIFA announcements (fifa.com, FIFA Disciplinary Committee statements) or reporting from reputable sports outlets (L'Équipe, RMC Sport, AFP, ESPN) confirming an official FIFA decision. **Rationale** Olise is the first player in terms of assist, France is one of the favorite team if not the favorite of this competition, there was a similar market with Ballogun whose red card was lifted by FIFA.
**Categories:** Sports, Football, World Cup ⚽ **Topic:** 2026 FIFA World Cup **Market Title** Will Michael Olise's yellow card be lifted? **Market Description** Michael Olise received a yellow card in the 97th minute of France's 1-0 win over Paraguay in the Round of 16 of the 2026 World Cup, following an altercation with Matías Galarza. The French Football Federation (FFF) has requested that FIFA cancel this booking, arguing that Olise made no punishable contact with his opponent. This market resolves based on whether FIFA officially agrees to rescind the yellow card before France's quarterfinal match against Morocco, scheduled for Thursday. **Outcomes** Yes No **Proposed Resolution Criteria** This market will resolve "Yes" if FIFA officially announces, before kickoff of the France vs. Morocco quarterfinal (scheduled for July 9, 2026), that Michael Olise's yellow card from the Paraguay match has been cancelled or rescinded. This market will resolve "No" if FIFA rejects the request, does not issue a ruling before kickoff, or if no official decision is communicated by then. If there is no such match before July 11, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to "No". **Resolution Source** Official FIFA announcements (fifa.com, FIFA Disciplinary Committee statements) or reporting from reputable sports outlets (L'Équipe, RMC Sport, AFP, ESPN) confirming an official FIFA decision. **Rationale** Olise is the first player in terms of assist, France is one of the favorite team if not the favorite of this competition, there was a similar market with Ballogun whose red card was lifted by FIFA.
Will Micheal Olise yellow card be lifted?
Will Micheal Olise yellow card be lifted?
This is a pointless market, the French Constitutional Council never strips MPs of their seat even if they become ineligible, it's a precedent that has been set and always applied.
This is a pointless market, the French Constitutional Council never strips MPs of their seat even if they become ineligible, it's a precedent that has been set and always applied.
Will Micheal Olise yellow card be lifted?
Will Micheal Olise yellow card be lifted?
works now
works now
still can't
still can't
can't redeem, can't place an order, can't trade
can't redeem, can't place an order, can't trade
can't redeem, can't place an order, can't trade
can't redeem, can't place an order, can't trade
can't redeem, can't place an order, can't trade
can't redeem, can't place an order, can't trade
can't redeem, can't place an order, can't trade
can't redeem, can't place an order, can't trade
can't redeem, can't place an order, can't trade
can't redeem, can't place an order, can't trade
orders don't go through
orders don't go through
**Market Title** 2027 French Presidential Election: How many candidates will appear on the first-round ballot? **Outcomes** 8 or fewer / 9 / 10 / 11 / 12 / 13 / 14 or more **Market Description** The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. **Proposed Resolution Criteria** This market will resolve based on the total number of candidates included on the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election, expected to be held in April 2027. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the number of candidates who actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". **Resolution Source** The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
**Market Title** 2027 French Presidential Election: How many candidates will appear on the first-round ballot? **Outcomes** 8 or fewer / 9 / 10 / 11 / 12 / 13 / 14 or more **Market Description** The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. **Proposed Resolution Criteria** This market will resolve based on the total number of candidates included on the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election, expected to be held in April 2027. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the number of candidates who actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". **Resolution Source** The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
I logged back in on another browser and it worked
I logged back in on another browser and it worked
Has anyone else been logged out and can't log in again?
Has anyone else been logged out and can't log in again?
can't log in what the fuck is wrong
can't log in what the fuck is wrong
Prediction markets are a new thing
Prediction markets are a new thing
Not now unfortunatly
Not now unfortunatly
Kalshi is also crap
Kalshi is also crap
transaction failed
transaction failed
Fucking British kid
Fucking British kid
Anyone hasn't still blocked him. Crazy he's still not banned permanently
Anyone hasn't still blocked him. Crazy he's still not banned permanently
https://youtu.be/CTrzuKEimA8?is=0mTd0hF_mGur1N78
https://youtu.be/CTrzuKEimA8?is=0mTd0hF_mGur1N78
Like he lost all his profits
Like he lost all his profits
Isn't Billy completely down last weeks?
Isn't Billy completely down last weeks?
^ All the more so as automatic translations are COMPLETE GARBAGE and confusing to read. Let us set ENGLISH as default language.
^ All the more so as automatic translations are COMPLETE GARBAGE and confusing to read. Let us set ENGLISH as default language.
yeah I guess it's the thing to do
yeah I guess it's the thing to do
Please <@&1485393752645173399> just mute him he's just being toxic
Please <@&1485393752645173399> just mute him he's just being toxic
I keep getting logged out
I keep getting logged out
done
done
are fees deducted from PnL curve calculation?
are fees deducted from PnL curve calculation?
thx
thx
I wasn't even aware about this program, what it consists of?
I wasn't even aware about this program, what it consists of?
some bronze medal
some bronze medal
what does it mean?
what does it mean?
I just noticed there was a badge on my polymarket profile from today's on
I just noticed there was a badge on my polymarket profile from today's on
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