Polymarketno harm shorting a tiny amount tho
no harm shorting a tiny amount tho
Samarth参与话题 1消息总数 17
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共 17 条，显示第 1-17 条yeah honestly it would be the better future precedent if these resolve
yeah honestly it would be the better future precedent if these resolve
even if the technicality is true, it doesn't default till 2027
even if the technicality is true, it doesn't default till 2027
nah not gonna risk too much, I put in my $8 already
nah not gonna risk too much, I put in my $8 already
best time to short, NO already going up
best time to short, NO already going up
https://polymarket.com/event/next-grok-model-text-arena-debut-20260708011851337 this one is past due as well lmao, i sold already
https://polymarket.com/event/next-grok-model-text-arena-debut-20260708011851337 this one is past due as well lmao, i sold already
actually hollup nobody has proposed for those either 😭
actually hollup nobody has proposed for those either 😭
Markets are interpreted according to their intended subject, not by exploiting unrelated technicalities
Markets are interpreted according to their intended subject, not by exploiting unrelated technicalities
you could also argue that the grok by xAI markets were not eligible because they renamed to SpaceXAI but they resolved anyways
you could also argue that the grok by xAI markets were not eligible because they renamed to SpaceXAI but they resolved anyways
unresolved ones still make most sense to resolve on 5.6 scores imo
unresolved ones still make most sense to resolve on 5.6 scores imo
ohh I see what's going on, you're right the resolved strikes may be legit
ohh I see what's going on, you're right the resolved strikes may be legit
1450+ created May 5, 2026, 7:38 PM ET
1450+ created May 5, 2026, 7:38 PM ET
the market specifically says "the next model released by OpenAI"
the market specifically says "the next model released by OpenAI"
yes I know it arrived late on arena.ai, but the model was released before the market
yes I know it arrived late on arena.ai, but the model was released before the market
the next model that qualifies is gpt-5.6-sol-xhigh, the voice model is not a text model
the next model that qualifies is gpt-5.6-sol-xhigh, the voice model is not a text model
the previous proposals in may were incorrect. GPT 5.5 instant was already out a few hours before the market was created
the previous proposals in may were incorrect. GPT 5.5 instant was already out a few hours before the market was created
https://polymarket.com/event/claude-sonnet-5-text-arena-debut-20260630195126941 should have resolved a few hours ago, it's past the 12PM ET deadline
https://polymarket.com/event/claude-sonnet-5-text-arena-debut-20260630195126941 should have resolved a few hours ago, it's past the 12PM ET deadline