PolymarketGl if you tail tho
Gl if you tail tho
whamapajama参与话题 3消息总数 228
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共 228 条，显示第 1-50 条Fwiw I’ve bet this size on more than a few occasions for 10-15c edge 😂
Fwiw I’ve bet this size on more than a few occasions for 10-15c edge 😂
<@1503846101860487170> Can we get a Lebron next team announcement timing market? It's the leading NBA story every day: "Where will he go? And when will he announce?"
<@1503846101860487170> Can we get a Lebron next team announcement timing market? It's the leading NBA story every day: "Where will he go? And when will he announce?"
Can we get a "When will Lebron announce his next team?" market? Lebron's decision is ready made for a timing market. NBA waiting on him to announce his decision, it's a daily topic. He could easily announce tmw, or he might decide to take weeks. <@1212792946341183578> <@1402074242211643422> <@1272383282687905939>
Can we get a "When will Lebron announce his next team?" market? Lebron's decision is ready made for a timing market. NBA waiting on him to announce his decision, it's a daily topic. He could easily announce tmw, or he might decide to take weeks. <@1212792946341183578> <@1402074242211643422> <@1272383282687905939>
https://polymarket.com/event/nba-when-will-lebron-sign-20260701170840224/will-lebron-james-sign-his-next-nba-contract-on-july-7-or-after-20260701170840231 Can we add more dates? The last date expired <@1212792946341183578> <@1402074242211643422> <@1272383282687905939>
https://polymarket.com/event/nba-when-will-lebron-sign-20260701170840224/will-lebron-james-sign-his-next-nba-contract-on-july-7-or-after-20260701170840231 Can we add more dates? The last date expired <@1212792946341183578> <@1402074242211643422> <@1272383282687905939>
=== How long will Lebron's next contract be? Sub-markets: 1 year, 2 years, 3 years+
=== How long will Lebron's next contract be? Sub-markets: 1 year, 2 years, 3 years+
Will Lebron announce that the 26-27 NBA season will be his last? (i.e. Is this Lebron's last season?) Multiple expiries: July 15, July 31, Oct 31, Dec 31 Could easily miss opportunity to make market about this milestone, he's close to the end cc: <@941405798096076880> <@1212792946341183578> <@1402074242211643422>
Will Lebron announce that the 26-27 NBA season will be his last? (i.e. Is this Lebron's last season?) Multiple expiries: July 15, July 31, Oct 31, Dec 31 Could easily miss opportunity to make market about this milestone, he's close to the end cc: <@941405798096076880> <@1212792946341183578> <@1402074242211643422>
bc i'm being marked 😂 clearly the name changes aren't helping much and guy doesn't know the definition of a pump 'n dump; buying while staying silent, and then selling at a higher price while still staying silent /= pump 'n dump
bc i'm being marked 😂 clearly the name changes aren't helping much and guy doesn't know the definition of a pump 'n dump; buying while staying silent, and then selling at a higher price while still staying silent /= pump 'n dump
Will Lebron announce that the upcoming NBA season (26-27) is his last season? Deadline: Start of 26-27 NBA season <@941405798096076880> <@1212792946341183578>
Will Lebron announce that the upcoming NBA season (26-27) is his last season? Deadline: Start of 26-27 NBA season <@941405798096076880> <@1212792946341183578>
apparently the chart doesn't correctly account for losses due to expired worthless Yes shares acquired via conversion
apparently the chart doesn't correctly account for losses due to expired worthless Yes shares acquired via conversion
before that, it was inflated
before that, it was inflated
when i closed those losses, my PnL corrected (going down)
when i closed those losses, my PnL corrected (going down)
ya
ya
i forget by how much, but it was like 20-40k?
i forget by how much, but it was like 20-40k?
my pnl was off by a lot when i hadn't closed losses from Yes shares that had been converted from NO shares
my pnl was off by a lot when i hadn't closed losses from Yes shares that had been converted from NO shares
you have auto redeem on?
you have auto redeem on?
i have same thing, mine's off by $80 i think
i have same thing, mine's off by $80 i think
your just a hater boob
your just a hater boob
https://polymarket.com/event/nba-how-much-will-lebrons-next-contract-be-20260630183002758 Similar to this market, except "How long will Lebron's next contract be?" 1 year, 2 year, 3 year, Unsigned Deadline: Start of reg season <@941405798096076880> <@1212792946341183578>
https://polymarket.com/event/nba-how-much-will-lebrons-next-contract-be-20260630183002758 Similar to this market, except "How long will Lebron's next contract be?" 1 year, 2 year, 3 year, Unsigned Deadline: Start of reg season <@941405798096076880> <@1212792946341183578>
https://polymarket.com/event/nba-lebron-james-next-team there seems to be a contradiction in the rule set: “If LeBron James does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Los Angeles Lakers”.” “If LeBron James retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.” He’s a free agent, If he isn’t under contract, he won’t be on a team. The ruleset is saying that would resolve to “Other” and Lakers. Should resolve to Other <@941405798096076880> <@1212792946341183578>
https://polymarket.com/event/nba-lebron-james-next-team there seems to be a contradiction in the rule set: “If LeBron James does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Los Angeles Lakers”.” “If LeBron James retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.” He’s a free agent, If he isn’t under contract, he won’t be on a team. The ruleset is saying that would resolve to “Other” and Lakers. Should resolve to Other <@941405798096076880> <@1212792946341183578>
You guys placed "perps" where "new" used to appear. And now access to the "new" markets is buried in the menu. I now have to scroll to the right, then access a dropdown. It's hidden from sight. That's not good for driving volume to new markets. It's harder to navigate to, i used to check all the time bc it was just one click, but now i hardly check. If you don't want to place it in the "category menu bar", one solution is to create a dropdown when you hover over "trending" (or "breaking") and you can include categories like "new" in that dropdown
You guys placed "perps" where "new" used to appear. And now access to the "new" markets is buried in the menu. I now have to scroll to the right, then access a dropdown. It's hidden from sight. That's not good for driving volume to new markets. It's harder to navigate to, i used to check all the time bc it was just one click, but now i hardly check. If you don't want to place it in the "category menu bar", one solution is to create a dropdown when you hover over "trending" (or "breaking") and you can include categories like "new" in that dropdown
if it gets DQ'd, i think it will be bc of policy carveout, not bc it's not considered a public statement
if it gets DQ'd, i think it will be bc of policy carveout, not bc it's not considered a public statement
facts, facts; untested i think
facts, facts; untested i think
come on
come on
and that I must be arguing in bad faith
and that I must be arguing in bad faith
but to say that it's not plausible that an intentional statement to a reporter is considered a "public statement"
but to say that it's not plausible that an intentional statement to a reporter is considered a "public statement"
you can contend that you don't think it should count
you can contend that you don't think it should count
and i'm posting examples of on record statements to a reporter?
and i'm posting examples of on record statements to a reporter?
i accused bad faith only in response to arbguy accusing bad faith
i accused bad faith only in response to arbguy accusing bad faith
and saying someone has no judgement as a leader is a professional attack
and saying someone has no judgement as a leader is a professional attack
judgement is a leadership trait
judgement is a leadership trait
The rules give an example of something that does qualify: “He/She isn’t smart” And something that doesn't qualify via the policy carveout: “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy” Trump's comment "he has no fucking judgement" has no limiting phrase. There is no “about this attack,” “on this issue,” “in this instance,” “here,” etc. And they more closely follow the structure of the example that counts
The rules give an example of something that does qualify: “He/She isn’t smart” And something that doesn't qualify via the policy carveout: “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy” Trump's comment "he has no fucking judgement" has no limiting phrase. There is no “about this attack,” “on this issue,” “in this instance,” “here,” etc. And they more closely follow the structure of the example that counts
we can agree to disagree
we can agree to disagree
ya, he got pissed off at bibi, then made a general insult about his competence
ya, he got pissed off at bibi, then made a general insult about his competence
that's pretty common
that's pretty common
ya, someone can get pissed off at some1 for X, and then make a general insult
ya, someone can get pissed off at some1 for X, and then make a general insult
and arguments
and arguments
you want to keep slinging insults, or do you want to stick to facts?
you want to keep slinging insults, or do you want to stick to facts?
it's phrased as a generalized attack, maybe you're just being disingenous "he has no fucking judgement" is a general statement
it's phrased as a generalized attack, maybe you're just being disingenous "he has no fucking judgement" is a general statement
come on
come on
between the two of us, who is more hostile, and more likely to argue in bad faith
between the two of us, who is more hostile, and more likely to argue in bad faith
“he has no judgment” is phrased as a generalized attack on Netanyahu’s judgment/competence, not merely “he wasn’t being smart about this strike.”
“he has no judgment” is phrased as a generalized attack on Netanyahu’s judgment/competence, not merely “he wasn’t being smart about this strike.”
he got pissed off in reaction to X and made a broad insult, you never did that in your life?
he got pissed off in reaction to X and made a broad insult, you never did that in your life?
he says "he has no fucking judgement" with no limiting phrase
he says "he has no fucking judgement" with no limiting phrase
You're helping my case The market rules provide an example of something that DOES count: e.g., “He/She isn’t smart.” The market rules provide an example of something that DOESN’T count: e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy.” (under the policy carveout rule) In the non-qualifying “He isn’t being smart about this policy,” the phrase “about this policy” narrows the criticism. It tells us the criticism is limited to a particular subject. But in Trump’s statement of “He has no f**king judgement,” there is no equivalent limiting phrase. There is no “about this attack,” “on this issue,” “in this instance,” “here,” etc. Trump says “He has no f**king judgement” which follows the structure of the ruleset-provided example that DOES count. Again, there is no limiting phrase.
You're helping my case The market rules provide an example of something that DOES count: e.g., “He/She isn’t smart.” The market rules provide an example of something that DOESN’T count: e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy.” (under the policy carveout rule) In the non-qualifying “He isn’t being smart about this policy,” the phrase “about this policy” narrows the criticism. It tells us the criticism is limited to a particular subject. But in Trump’s statement of “He has no f**king judgement,” there is no equivalent limiting phrase. There is no “about this attack,” “on this issue,” “in this instance,” “here,” etc. Trump says “He has no f**king judgement” which follows the structure of the ruleset-provided example that DOES count. Again, there is no limiting phrase.
If you observe ice cream falling on Bibi’s face as he eats an ice cream cone upside down, when you say “why would you eat ice cream upside down? You have no fucking judgement” You’re making a broad statement that Bibi has “no fxxking judgement”, not a narrow statement about how he has “no f**king judgement” just when it comes to eating ice cream.
If you observe ice cream falling on Bibi’s face as he eats an ice cream cone upside down, when you say “why would you eat ice cream upside down? You have no fucking judgement” You’re making a broad statement that Bibi has “no fxxking judgement”, not a narrow statement about how he has “no f**king judgement” just when it comes to eating ice cream.
trigger event, broad insult
trigger event, broad insult
That is the Netanyahu structure. The Beirut strike is the triggering event. The insult is the claim that Netanyahu lacks judgment.
That is the Netanyahu structure. The Beirut strike is the triggering event. The insult is the claim that Netanyahu lacks judgment.
If a friend says, “That restaurant was a bad pick,” that is criticism of the choice. If the friend says, “You have no judgment,” that is a personal dig.
If a friend says, “That restaurant was a bad pick,” that is criticism of the choice. If the friend says, “You have no judgment,” that is a personal dig.
If a sports fan says, “That play call was bad,” that is about the play. If they say, “The coach has no judgment,” that is a professional attack on the coach.
If a sports fan says, “That play call was bad,” that is about the play. If they say, “The coach has no judgment,” that is a professional attack on the coach.
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