Polymarket<@1361217824776786031> not sure why the strike fix and the shorter deployment got bundled together — those feel like two separate levers if strikes are actually better now, great. but cutting T-2 just removes the only window where these markets are actually tradeable imo T-3→T-2 is when forecast views still move, you can work limits, and books have time to build before everyone piles in on T-1. T-1-only is basically the repricing rush — tighter spreads, less time to scale, harder to get out clean if you're wrong throwing rewards at T-1 might bump volume short term but it doesn't replace losing a full day of entry. feels like optimizing for activity over actual liquidity/edge imo if the new data source is really that much better, keep T-2 (or bring T-3 back) and let the quality show up in tighter markets + better fills. cutting lead time fixes a different problem
<@1361217824776786031> not sure why the strike fix and the shorter deployment got bundled together — those feel like two separate levers if strikes are actually better now, great. but cutting T-2 just removes the only window where these markets are actually tradeable imo T-3→T-2 is when forecast views still move, you can work limits, and books have time to build before everyone piles in on T-1. T-1-only is basically the repricing rush — tighter spreads, less time to scale, harder to get out clean if you're wrong throwing rewards at T-1 might bump volume short term but it doesn't replace losing a full day of entry. feels like optimizing for activity over actual liquidity/edge imo if the new data source is really that much better, keep T-2 (or bring T-3 back) and let the quality show up in tighter markets + better fills. cutting lead time fixes a different problem