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so Jackson is sponsored by the DSA. I'm assuming the people who get to appoint the replacement are also the kind of people that wanted Mills to run. So they wouldn't select a DSA guy?

so Jackson is sponsored by the DSA. I'm assuming the people who get to appoint the replacement are also the kind of people that wanted Mills to run. So they wouldn't select a DSA guy?

The Dems had time to do a quick primary. Or at least a convention election type thing. In Maine they have a week to be on the ballot at all, it’s understandable the party just have to do it

The Dems had time to do a quick primary. Or at least a convention election type thing. In Maine they have a week to be on the ballot at all, it’s understandable the party just have to do it

Dude is squeaky clean or otherwise they would. They tried to make it a scandal that he’s never been a “doctor” yet claims he is (he got the education and then went into public health advocacy as opposed to working at a hospital)

Dude is squeaky clean or otherwise they would. They tried to make it a scandal that he’s never been a “doctor” yet claims he is (he got the education and then went into public health advocacy as opposed to working at a hospital)

i2dt 2026-07-07 04:42:42 Kalshi

at some point you just have to pretend platner doesn't exist and put all your leftist power behind AES

at some point you just have to pretend platner doesn't exist and put all your leftist power behind AES

i2dt 2026-07-07 04:08:25 Kalshi

https://klipy.com/gifs/daddys-home2-daddys-home2gifs-23

https://klipy.com/gifs/daddys-home2-daddys-home2gifs-23

i2dt 2026-07-07 01:51:53 Kalshi

unfortunately for graham you need to be a billioniare two term president who was best friends with the world's most notorious pedophile to get away with this

unfortunately for graham you need to be a billioniare two term president who was best friends with the world's most notorious pedophile to get away with this

i2dt 2026-07-06 23:59:37 Kalshi

https://x.com/ryanjmccomb/status/2074151287583654025?s=20

https://x.com/ryanjmccomb/status/2074151287583654025?s=20

i2dt 2026-07-06 23:53:30 Kalshi

Not sure you can avoid seeing the next governor of California is for 4 years

Not sure you can avoid seeing the next governor of California is for 4 years

i2dt 2026-07-06 23:42:49 Kalshi

Thought I was gonna get a Bernard dox. Since I only know of two British people I’ll just have to keep assuming this is what you look like

Thought I was gonna get a Bernard dox. Since I only know of two British people I’ll just have to keep assuming this is what you look like

i2dt 2026-07-06 22:46:18 Kalshi

treat it like capital gains/losses rather than gambling income, but who knows, my tax guy didn't have a clue, i just told him the more convienent approach

treat it like capital gains/losses rather than gambling income, but who knows, my tax guy didn't have a clue, i just told him the more convienent approach

I need to look at the cross tabs of the polling. I just know the splits are huge between young (Sayed) and old (Stevens

I need to look at the cross tabs of the polling. I just know the splits are huge between young (Sayed) and old (Stevens

What is the evidence for this? I don’t disagree with the black voters but not sure about white working class (other than just not liking Muslims)

What is the evidence for this? I don’t disagree with the black voters but not sure about white working class (other than just not liking Muslims)

Sayed got 30% in 2018 vs Whitner, a strong establishment candidate, and Vs Shri who took some low income votes off him. And things are way more favorable now

Sayed got 30% in 2018 vs Whitner, a strong establishment candidate, and Vs Shri who took some low income votes off him. And things are way more favorable now

I expect Sayed to crush her in such a heads up debate format but if for some reason he doesn’t than I may change my view

I expect Sayed to crush her in such a heads up debate format but if for some reason he doesn’t than I may change my view

Yeah I’d buy him at 65-70 I think. There is a debate and it might be this week. This will get a lot of attention

Yeah I’d buy him at 65-70 I think. There is a debate and it might be this week. This will get a lot of attention

i2dt 2026-07-06 03:48:56 Kalshi

Can they get Mike Collins to 25 then?

Can they get Mike Collins to 25 then?

i2dt 2026-07-06 03:48:42 Kalshi

Good point

Good point

i2dt 2026-07-06 03:47:17 Kalshi

Unfortunately it appears they all went broke on Pratt

Unfortunately it appears they all went broke on Pratt

i2dt 2026-07-06 03:43:31 Kalshi

Goddamn I missed out on generational wealth yet again

Goddamn I missed out on generational wealth yet again

i2dt 2026-07-03 14:06:45 Polymarket

there's tons of markets where i could be the first real liquidity, but many times the price will be sub 10c/over 90c. when this is the case, you remove the rewards immediately after i place my bids. i no longer provide liquidity on these markets. i'm not sure what your theory is on those, but if you want people to bid for a 5% gain over 5 months, you're gonna have to give rewards

there's tons of markets where i could be the first real liquidity, but many times the price will be sub 10c/over 90c. when this is the case, you remove the rewards immediately after i place my bids. i no longer provide liquidity on these markets. i'm not sure what your theory is on those, but if you want people to bid for a 5% gain over 5 months, you're gonna have to give rewards

i2dt 2026-07-03 10:55:20 Kalshi

What’s he afraid of? https://x.com/PollTracker2024/status/2072863159698776076

What’s he afraid of? https://x.com/PollTracker2024/status/2072863159698776076

i2dt 2026-07-02 07:31:05 Kalshi

go to arizona and doorknock for jay feely

go to arizona and doorknock for jay feely

i2dt 2026-07-02 07:25:10 Kalshi

i guess they're just blessed

i guess they're just blessed

i2dt 2026-07-02 07:23:56 Kalshi

the real moses is actually in the polymarket discord

the real moses is actually in the polymarket discord

i2dt 2026-07-02 07:22:55 Kalshi

counterpoint: the guy in your pfp looks like moses. the pfp of holymoses, is, well its moses

counterpoint: the guy in your pfp looks like moses. the pfp of holymoses, is, well its moses

i2dt 2026-07-01 23:30:07 Kalshi

Man can you imagine the OJ verdict market. Would have been an all timer

Man can you imagine the OJ verdict market. Would have been an all timer

i2dt 2026-07-01 21:45:38 Kalshi

I know we all like to pretend that Arizona is not part of the union but they have a July primary

I know we all like to pretend that Arizona is not part of the union but they have a July primary

i2dt 2026-07-01 11:31:50 Kalshi

Anyone here a MAGA who lives in South Dakota

Anyone here a MAGA who lives in South Dakota

i2dt 2026-07-01 11:31:24 Kalshi

South Dakota runoff pretty competitive, could get a lot of interest since nothing else going on

South Dakota runoff pretty competitive, could get a lot of interest since nothing else going on

i2dt 2026-07-01 11:24:49 Kalshi

But August is action packed

But August is action packed

i2dt 2026-07-01 11:24:27 Kalshi

And the Arizona ones aren’t that fun

And the Arizona ones aren’t that fun

i2dt 2026-07-01 09:55:26 Kalshi

which is why I'm losing a hundred bucks

which is why I'm losing a hundred bucks

i2dt 2026-07-01 09:55:21 Kalshi

i mean you had a poll from last month where Marx was winning 42% to 13%

i mean you had a poll from last month where Marx was winning 42% to 13%

i2dt 2026-07-01 09:52:45 Kalshi

love the updated -80% under the comment

love the updated -80% under the comment

i2dt 2026-07-01 09:41:53 Kalshi

big miss for cygnal

big miss for cygnal

i2dt 2026-07-01 09:41:03 Kalshi

there was a poll from a couple months ago where he was just soulcrushing kirkmeyer

there was a poll from a couple months ago where he was just soulcrushing kirkmeyer

i2dt 2026-07-01 09:39:50 Kalshi

for some reason thought he got trump endorse

for some reason thought he got trump endorse

i2dt 2026-07-01 09:39:48 Kalshi

oh hmm i was wrong

oh hmm i was wrong

i2dt 2026-07-01 09:38:09 Kalshi

kinda crazy, antoher trump guy going down, this would be a big surprise

kinda crazy, antoher trump guy going down, this would be a big surprise

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