该用户的聊天记录定位。
I’m saying the market design is weak: a brief public release can technically satisfy the rules, even if access disappears right after. That may be a correct YES resolution under the wording, but it still feels like a bad market.
I’m saying the market design is weak: a brief public release can technically satisfy the rules, even if access disappears right after. That may be a correct YES resolution under the wording, but it still feels like a bad market.
This feels like the Strategy one but flipped. MSTR actually sold the BTC before the deadline, but Polymarket settled NO because the 8-K confirmation came after cutoff ("confirmation outside the timeframe doesn't count"). Here the model was released and publicly available for days, but now it's completely suspended for everyone due to the US gov export control order. The market says "publicly accessible" — it wasn't really, long-term.
This feels like the Strategy one but flipped. MSTR actually sold the BTC before the deadline, but Polymarket settled NO because the 8-K confirmation came after cutoff ("confirmation outside the timeframe doesn't count"). Here the model was released and publicly available for days, but now it's completely suspended for everyone due to the US gov export control order. The market says "publicly accessible" — it wasn't really, long-term.
🤣 I think the following market should be refunded; the settlement is too fast, but that isn’t fair to the people who bought No https://polymarket.com/event/claude-mythos-released-by https://polymarket.com/event/claude-5-released-by
🤣 I think the following market should be refunded; the settlement is too fast, but that isn’t fair to the people who bought No https://polymarket.com/event/claude-mythos-released-by https://polymarket.com/event/claude-5-released-by
Polymarket