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Nate 2026-06-14 02:43:34 Kalshi

yeah not relevant to group stage games, but def will be confusing if not fixed before knockout

yeah not relevant to group stage games, but def will be confusing if not fixed before knockout

Nate 2026-06-14 02:04:26 Kalshi

if it was kalshi they could invoke the 7 day rule to wait for evidence but i don't think poly has that. on poly if the end date hits and there's no proof of Y, market gets resolved N

if it was kalshi they could invoke the 7 day rule to wait for evidence but i don't think poly has that. on poly if the end date hits and there's no proof of Y, market gets resolved N

Nate 2026-06-14 01:58:19 Kalshi

the rules should have been written to allow time for a SEC filing confirming the sale to come after the fact, but without that in the rules how long are they expected to keep the market open waiting for a filing that may or may not exist?

the rules should have been written to allow time for a SEC filing confirming the sale to come after the fact, but without that in the rules how long are they expected to keep the market open waiting for a filing that may or may not exist?

Nate 2026-06-14 01:57:15 Kalshi

i dont even hate the resolution. its unintuitive but allowing new evidence from after market close when there's no clause in the rules explicitly allowing that makes every N market unresolvable due to potential of new evidence yet to come out

i dont even hate the resolution. its unintuitive but allowing new evidence from after market close when there's no clause in the rules explicitly allowing that makes every N market unresolvable due to potential of new evidence yet to come out

Nate 2026-06-14 01:05:03 Kalshi

yes, FOX US english broadcast only for mentions

yes, FOX US english broadcast only for mentions

Nate 2026-06-14 00:22:11 Kalshi

Spanish announcer "gooooooooooooooal" length market

Spanish announcer "gooooooooooooooal" length market

Nate 2026-06-13 13:25:25 Kalshi

what's the popular support tcket tonight? mentions or other?

what's the popular support tcket tonight? mentions or other?

Nate 2026-06-13 10:01:25 Kalshi

find markets that you know stuff about

find markets that you know stuff about

Nate 2026-06-13 10:00:41 Kalshi

and only play what you can afford

and only play what you can afford

Nate 2026-06-13 10:00:26 Kalshi

don't click links from scammers in this server who DM you

don't click links from scammers in this server who DM you

Nate 2026-06-13 05:39:06 Kalshi

same thing with steve kerr, alec peice and rasheed shaheed

same thing with steve kerr, alec peice and rasheed shaheed

i'm sure they acknowledge the contract but believe a new contract with his former team doesn't meet the "new team" part of the rules. I disagree with this interpretation but i think that's the angle

i'm sure they acknowledge the contract but believe a new contract with his former team doesn't meet the "new team" part of the rules. I disagree with this interpretation but i think that's the angle

Nate 2026-06-13 05:31:02 Kalshi

but if they're insistent on being wrong they need to greenbox it

but if they're insistent on being wrong they need to greenbox it

Nate 2026-06-13 05:30:52 Kalshi

i think they're wrong

i think they're wrong

Nate 2026-06-13 05:30:34 Kalshi

i know. dont' shoot the messenger

i know. dont' shoot the messenger

Nate 2026-06-13 05:29:56 Kalshi

has to be signing a contract with a new team apparently

has to be signing a contract with a new team apparently

Nate 2026-06-13 05:29:27 Kalshi

i told him to green box it since that's not how people are reading it

i told him to green box it since that's not how people are reading it

Nate 2026-06-13 05:28:57 Kalshi

if he's still on pittsburgh Dec 1st it'll pay

if he's still on pittsburgh Dec 1st it'll pay

Nate 2026-06-13 04:11:36 Kalshi

Yeah depends if you consider the Chinese broadcast clip as "official", but it's basically impossible to verify

Yeah depends if you consider the Chinese broadcast clip as "official", but it's basically impossible to verify

Nate 2026-06-13 04:09:03 Kalshi

Did they finally grade it?

Did they finally grade it?

Nate 2026-06-12 17:11:07 Kalshi

yes both of those can happen, which doesn't really matter and isn't shown to you. when you buy Y share, you get a Y share. Whether its someone selling you their old Y share or creating a new Y share by matching someone's N bib doesn't really matter

yes both of those can happen, which doesn't really matter and isn't shown to you. when you buy Y share, you get a Y share. Whether its someone selling you their old Y share or creating a new Y share by matching someone's N bib doesn't really matter

Nate 2026-06-11 23:08:08 Kalshi

Resting=making yes

Resting=making yes

Nate 2026-06-11 23:07:16 Kalshi

A resting bid is an order that sits on the book without being filled immediately as a taker. The resting only check box is a safeguard you can turn on to ensure your bid goes as a valid resting and not executed as a taker

A resting bid is an order that sits on the book without being filled immediately as a taker. The resting only check box is a safeguard you can turn on to ensure your bid goes as a valid resting and not executed as a taker

Nate 2026-06-11 23:00:54 Kalshi

I would be surprised if post was N in any prior soccer games we've had (but I'm too lazy to check them all). It would be NFL safety level bond, which I guess is something people played

I would be surprised if post was N in any prior soccer games we've had (but I'm too lazy to check them all). It would be NFL safety level bond, which I guess is something people played

Nate 2026-06-11 22:58:26 Kalshi

Post is too easy. Near post, far post, off the post, inside/outside the post. If the ball goes near the goal there's a good chance an announcer describes it's location relative to a post

Post is too easy. Near post, far post, off the post, inside/outside the post. If the ball goes near the goal there's a good chance an announcer describes it's location relative to a post

Nate 2026-06-11 22:25:03 Kalshi

Guess we'll learn if Willy is face blind or not

Guess we'll learn if Willy is face blind or not

Nate 2026-06-11 22:21:21 Kalshi

I went and found a comparable angle to do side by side

I went and found a comparable angle to do side by side

Nate 2026-06-11 22:20:53 Kalshi

Hair is covering more face on the right but otherwise

Hair is covering more face on the right but otherwise

Nate 2026-06-11 22:20:25 Kalshi

Putting these side by side I don't see a jaw line diff, that's the same person

Putting these side by side I don't see a jaw line diff, that's the same person

Nate 2026-06-11 22:14:13 Kalshi

But that's Tina fey

But that's Tina fey

Nate 2026-06-11 22:14:07 Kalshi

If it was ambiguous I'd be on the side arguing N without confirmation

If it was ambiguous I'd be on the side arguing N without confirmation

Nate 2026-06-11 22:09:59 Kalshi

A majority don't think it looks like her

A majority don't think it looks like her

Nate 2026-06-11 22:09:38 Kalshi

You're still mischaracterizing

You're still mischaracterizing

Nate 2026-06-11 22:08:23 Kalshi

Not a good handicap to have in a market on identifying celebrities

Not a good handicap to have in a market on identifying celebrities

Nate 2026-06-11 22:07:54 Kalshi

It's not his fault

It's not his fault

Nate 2026-06-11 22:07:42 Kalshi

Face blindness is a real affliction

Face blindness is a real affliction

Nate 2026-06-11 22:06:22 Kalshi

"vaguely like" is an insane description

"vaguely like" is an insane description

Just a handful of face blind people in here. Market knows it's her just very slightly uncertain on proof standard for resolution

Just a handful of face blind people in here. Market knows it's her just very slightly uncertain on proof standard for resolution

Nate 2026-06-11 21:58:31 Kalshi

That's Tina fey

That's Tina fey

Nate 2026-06-11 21:56:45 Kalshi

My eyes

My eyes

Nate 2026-06-11 21:56:42 Kalshi

<person>

<person>

Nate 2026-06-11 21:55:16 Kalshi

I have plenty of Y. Just because I'm sure it's her doesn't mean I'm sure in kalshi resolution process

I have plenty of Y. Just because I'm sure it's her doesn't mean I'm sure in kalshi resolution process

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