秋田预测市场 · Discord 审计

Dream12345参与话题 1消息总数 38

该用户的聊天记录定位。

Reset

聊天记录

共 38 条,显示第 1-38 条

We can only wait for the outcome. As a holder, I naturally hope they settle all markets at 1, but that’s highly unlikely—haha.

We can only wait for the outcome. As a holder, I naturally hope they settle all markets at 1, but that’s highly unlikely—haha.

If they had taken my message seriously right from the start, this wouldn't have happened; at the time, I held the largest position—though it was only 1,000 contracts.

If they had taken my message seriously right from the start, this wouldn't have happened; at the time, I held the largest position—though it was only 1,000 contracts.

They could actually handle payouts differently based on whether a position is held: "YES" positions could be transferred to the new market, while "NO" positions could be settled at $1 per share—since I noticed there aren't many "NO" shares outstanding.

They could actually handle payouts differently based on whether a position is held: "YES" positions could be transferred to the new market, while "NO" positions could be settled at $1 per share—since I noticed there aren't many "NO" shares outstanding.

I identified this market early on and invested $3,000 to acquire 1,000 shares of the outcome; I would be furious if I were paid out based on only those 1,000 shares. By the same token, the "No" arbitrageurs should also be paid out, as we were all misled by the rules.

I identified this market early on and invested $3,000 to acquire 1,000 shares of the outcome; I would be furious if I were paid out based on only those 1,000 shares. By the same token, the "No" arbitrageurs should also be paid out, as we were all misled by the rules.

Before the market closed, I estimated that at most around 3 million shares had been sold. If all those shares were transferred to the new market, they would only need to pay out on the eight correct outcomes—amounting to roughly 800,000. My estimate might be off, but this would be the fairest approach.

Before the market closed, I estimated that at most around 3 million shares had been sold. If all those shares were transferred to the new market, they would only need to pay out on the eight correct outcomes—amounting to roughly 800,000. My estimate might be off, but this would be the fairest approach.

I believe the best approach is to replicate all holdings in the new market; while this would still result in some losses, the impact shouldn't reach the 14 million mark, and it would be fair to everyone. When I emailed them, the market volume was only 200,000, so I feel they really ought to listen more.

I believe the best approach is to replicate all holdings in the new market; while this would still result in some losses, the impact shouldn't reach the 14 million mark, and it would be fair to everyone. When I emailed them, the market volume was only 200,000, so I feel they really ought to listen more.

Misconfigured neg-risk event — corralpeltzer flagged a Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2 event deployed as neg-risk (only 1 winner allowed) but structured to allow 8 YES resolutions, with ~$2M in volume. Market was archived shortly after. Resolution unclear — potential exposure estimated at ~$14M if YES holders are made whole and NO arbitrageurs refunded. 14M ?

Misconfigured neg-risk event — corralpeltzer flagged a Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2 event deployed as neg-risk (only 1 winner allowed) but structured to allow 8 YES resolutions, with ~$2M in volume. Market was archived shortly after. Resolution unclear — potential exposure estimated at ~$14M if YES holders are made whole and NO arbitrageurs refunded. 14M ?

So, who would be designated as "Yes"? It would be unfair to anyone who doesn't hold this position. I think the best approach is to synchronize all shares to the new market; that way, no one would have any objections.

So, who would be designated as "Yes"? It would be unfair to anyone who doesn't hold this position. I think the best approach is to synchronize all shares to the new market; that way, no one would have any objections.

I couldn't access Discord earlier because of issues with my old account, and it took a huge effort just to get in last night. I feel that if they don't reply to me—even when I reach out via the website, the official Twitter, and email—then Discord is pointless too.

I couldn't access Discord earlier because of issues with my old account, and it took a huge effort just to get in last night. I feel that if they don't reply to me—even when I reach out via the website, the official Twitter, and email—then Discord is pointless too.

Moreover, they still haven't issued any announcements regarding this market, which is even more unfair to those unable to access Discord.

Moreover, they still haven't issued any announcements regarding this market, which is even more unfair to those unable to access Discord.

I also sent a message about this issue to their official CS Twitter account; they sent out other information but didn't reply to me, which made me very angry.

I also sent a message about this issue to their official CS Twitter account; they sent out other information but didn't reply to me, which made me very angry.

I have saved a lot of screenshot evidence, including chat logs with their online customer service; the representative told me the matter had been submitted to the relevant department, yet I received no response within 24 hours.

I have saved a lot of screenshot evidence, including chat logs with their online customer service; the representative told me the matter had been submitted to the relevant department, yet I received no response within 24 hours.

Yes, I double-checked with my AI multiple times; this is a market with eight possible outcomes, but due to an error on their part, it was set up to allow for only one result.

Yes, I double-checked with my AI multiple times; this is a market with eight possible outcomes, but due to an error on their part, it was set up to allow for only one result.

It was only after I had invested $3,000 and bought in at a high price that I realized the market allowed for splits and conversions. If they were to refund me only the value of 1,000 shares, I would lose $3,000 due to their error—which is unfair to me.

It was only after I had invested $3,000 and bought in at a high price that I realized the market allowed for splits and conversions. If they were to refund me only the value of 1,000 shares, I would lose $3,000 due to their error—which is unfair to me.

I believe that was their own mistake; they should have shifted our contributions to the new, correct market. Furthermore, I had already alerted them when the trading volume in this market was only 100,000, yet they failed to take action—so the responsibility lies entirely with them.

I believe that was their own mistake; they should have shifted our contributions to the new, correct market. Furthermore, I had already alerted them when the trading volume in this market was only 100,000, yet they failed to take action—so the responsibility lies entirely with them.