秋田预测市场 · Discord 审计

CS2 比赛市场因负风险配置错误被紧急归档引发退款争议

2026-07-13 · Polymarket · 175 条相关讨论

CorralPeltzer 2026-07-12 23:40:04

Hey guys, wrongly deployed event, it allows 8 markets to resolve to YES, but it's deployed as neg-risk, so only 1 winner allowed. Already 2 million volume, you should take it down ASAP: https://polymarket.com/event/blast-bounty-2026-season-2-qualify-to-stage-2-lan-20260709151942745

Hey guys, wrongly deployed event, it allows 8 markets to resolve to YES, but it's deployed as neg-risk, so only 1 winner allowed. Already 2 million volume, you should take it down ASAP: https://polymarket.com/event/blast-bounty-2026-season-2-qualify-to-stage-2-lan-20260709151942745

CorralPeltzer 2026-07-12 23:40:24

Hey wrongly deployed event, it allows 8 markets to resolve to YES, but it's deployed as neg-risk, so only 1 winner allowed. Already 2 million volume, you should take it down ASAP: https://polymarket.com/event/blast-bounty-2026-season-2-qualify-to-stage-2-lan-20260709151942745

Hey wrongly deployed event, it allows 8 markets to resolve to YES, but it's deployed as neg-risk, so only 1 winner allowed. Already 2 million volume, you should take it down ASAP: https://polymarket.com/event/blast-bounty-2026-season-2-qualify-to-stage-2-lan-20260709151942745

CorralPeltzer 2026-07-12 23:42:04

Hey wrongly deployed event, it allows 8 markets to resolve to YES, but it's deployed as neg-risk, so only 1 winner allowed. Already 2 million volume, you should take it down ASAP: https://polymarket.com/event/blast-bounty-2026-season-2-qualify-to-stage-2-lan-20260709151942745

Hey wrongly deployed event, it allows 8 markets to resolve to YES, but it's deployed as neg-risk, so only 1 winner allowed. Already 2 million volume, you should take it down ASAP: https://polymarket.com/event/blast-bounty-2026-season-2-qualify-to-stage-2-lan-20260709151942745

tsmultra 2026-07-12 23:47:13

All 32 markets here seem to be negrisk, no?

All 32 markets here seem to be negrisk, no?

Abhi 2026-07-12 23:49:29

Take it down 8 markets need to go Y but this is neg-risk so only 1 can go

Take it down 8 markets need to go Y but this is neg-risk so only 1 can go

CorralPeltzer 2026-07-12 23:49:42

The event itself is negrisk, which allows conversions, etc. https://docs.polymarket.com/advanced/neg-risk But this contradicts the wording in the event itself, which states 8 markets can resolve to YES

The event itself is negrisk, which allows conversions, etc. https://docs.polymarket.com/advanced/neg-risk But this contradicts the wording in the event itself, which states 8 markets can resolve to YES

Abhi 2026-07-12 23:52:05

ok its being archived...

ok its being archived...

ahwesQ 2026-07-12 23:54:00

my positions disappeared?

my positions disappeared?

dog32 2026-07-12 23:54:03

now the orderbook for the blast thing is not loading

now the orderbook for the blast thing is not loading

Arman 2026-07-12 23:54:13

They archived a negrisk market

They archived a negrisk market

dog32 2026-07-12 23:54:17

oh same

oh same

amtee 2026-07-12 23:54:27

What happens now? Full refund?

What happens now? Full refund?

Arman 2026-07-12 23:54:28

Which wasn’t supposed to be negrisk

Which wasn’t supposed to be negrisk

Arman 2026-07-12 23:54:33

Wait for announcement

Wait for announcement

KristianG 2026-07-12 23:54:49

What happened with the Blast qualified market my positions dissapeared

What happened with the Blast qualified market my positions dissapeared

Arman 2026-07-12 23:54:54

Archived

Archived

Arman 2026-07-12 23:54:57

Wait for announcement

Wait for announcement

amtee 2026-07-12 23:55:08

Where should I expect the announcement?

Where should I expect the announcement?

hydro 2026-07-12 23:55:21

they took down the market, it was bugged. they will refund

they took down the market, it was bugged. they will refund

ahwesQ 2026-07-12 23:55:23

https://polymarket.com/event/blast-bounty-2026-season-2-qualify-to-stage-2-lan-20260709151942745/will-faze-win-blast-bounty-2026-season-2-20260709150231163

https://polymarket.com/event/blast-bounty-2026-season-2-qualify-to-stage-2-lan-20260709151942745/will-faze-win-blast-bounty-2026-season-2-20260709150231163

ahwesQ 2026-07-12 23:55:24

this one

this one

ahwesQ 2026-07-12 23:55:41

bugged cause bots were bidding the no?

bugged cause bots were bidding the no?

Arman 2026-07-12 23:55:47

Clarifications will be posted

Clarifications will be posted

stradiveri 2026-07-12 23:55:48

yeah it should get refunded

yeah it should get refunded

Arman 2026-07-12 23:55:58

It was neg risk

It was neg risk

Roundfaced 2026-07-12 23:56:03

hello what will be done about the archived csgo market

hello what will be done about the archived csgo market

Arman 2026-07-12 23:56:37

It was taken down quickly

It was taken down quickly

Arman 2026-07-12 23:56:52

I wonder how many ppl wash traded

I wonder how many ppl wash traded

stradiveri 2026-07-12 23:57:01

I see plenty of volume on betmoar

I see plenty of volume on betmoar

stradiveri 2026-07-12 23:57:04

https://www.betmoar.fun/event/blast-bounty-2026-season-2-qualify-to-stage-2-lan-20260709151942745

https://www.betmoar.fun/event/blast-bounty-2026-season-2-qualify-to-stage-2-lan-20260709151942745

stradiveri 2026-07-12 23:57:10

in the last couple of minutes

in the last couple of minutes

ahwesQ 2026-07-12 23:57:16

wdym under wash trade

wdym under wash trade

ahwesQ 2026-07-12 23:57:26

whats the point

whats the point

ahwesQ 2026-07-12 23:57:38

i assume refunds are happening at the buying price

i assume refunds are happening at the buying price

sharko 2026-07-12 23:58:11

whats this mean

whats this mean

KristianG 2026-07-12 23:58:20

not sure how are refunds processed

not sure how are refunds processed

Roundfaced 2026-07-12 23:58:57

I just spent $200 in fees on it will that be reimbursed if the market is refunded asking because Idk what has been done in the post on refunded markets that had FEES enabled

I just spent $200 in fees on it will that be reimbursed if the market is refunded asking because Idk what has been done in the post on refunded markets that had FEES enabled

sharko 2026-07-12 23:58:58

so "no" for all of them wins or

so "no" for all of them wins or

KristianG 2026-07-12 23:59:22

no chance that will force a loss for a lot of users

no chance that will force a loss for a lot of users

sharko 2026-07-12 23:59:47

I bought yes on a bunch

I bought yes on a bunch

ahwesQ 2026-07-13 00:01:53

that would be illegal, both the title and description was corrent for 8 winners, its not our problem they cant set up the backend

that would be illegal, both the title and description was corrent for 8 winners, its not our problem they cant set up the backend

KristianG 2026-07-13 00:02:17

Hope we get some explanation on what is happening next for this market

Hope we get some explanation on what is happening next for this market

stradiveri 2026-07-13 00:02:47

well the normal way they handle this is, they just pick 1 bracket for yes and resolve every other bracket to no. Yes side on these brackets get refunded

well the normal way they handle this is, they just pick 1 bracket for yes and resolve every other bracket to no. Yes side on these brackets get refunded

stradiveri 2026-07-13 00:02:55

but it does feel unfair for yes holders here

but it does feel unfair for yes holders here

Roundfaced 2026-07-13 00:05:09

if its refunded I hope they also refund the fees but I doubt it honestly

if its refunded I hope they also refund the fees but I doubt it honestly

hydro 2026-07-13 00:05:26

that's definitely something they should do but not enough people complain about it

that's definitely something they should do but not enough people complain about it

BLACKJACK7 2026-07-13 00:05:51

lmao what happened

lmao what happened

sharko 2026-07-13 00:05:56

if they dont refund the fees thats terrible

if they dont refund the fees thats terrible

BLACKJACK7 2026-07-13 00:06:23

how long they will take?

how long they will take?

ahwesQ 2026-07-13 00:06:27

i'd be surprised if they do tbh

i'd be surprised if they do tbh

BLACKJACK7 2026-07-13 00:06:35

no shares no money either

no shares no money either

Roundfaced 2026-07-13 00:07:58

mm saved avg user fkd over and in this case polymarket was prob the mm

mm saved avg user fkd over and in this case polymarket was prob the mm

45trinity 2026-07-13 00:09:14

If they let yes holder keep their human language market definition value, they will probably have to refund the NO arbers. But since 2M has been traded that is roughly 7 * 2 000 000$ = 14 000 000$ for refund. 😱 🤯

If they let yes holder keep their human language market definition value, they will probably have to refund the NO arbers. But since 2M has been traded that is roughly 7 * 2 000 000$ = 14 000 000$ for refund. 😱 🤯

45trinity 2026-07-13 00:10:27

PM archived the market a few minutes after your call out. (possibly, could be trhough other channel)

PM archived the market a few minutes after your call out. (possibly, could be trhough other channel)

ahwesQ 2026-07-13 00:10:46

appreciate you man

appreciate you man

Breezy 4L 2026-07-13 00:37:33

I had a lot of positions on that market

I had a lot of positions on that market

KristianG 2026-07-13 00:47:38

Does NegRisk resolve at 50-50?

Does NegRisk resolve at 50-50?

PlushyDragoon14 2026-07-13 00:54:15

Will the wrongly deployed CS2 event (https://polymarket.com/event/blast-bounty-2026-season-2-qualify-to-stage-2-lan-20260709151942745) be refunded?

Will the wrongly deployed CS2 event (https://polymarket.com/event/blast-bounty-2026-season-2-qualify-to-stage-2-lan-20260709151942745) be refunded?

ahwesQ 2026-07-13 00:54:41

i doubt, this bot wouldnt bet that way

i doubt, this bot wouldnt bet that way

stradiveri 2026-07-13 00:55:58

negrisk cannot resolve 50-50

negrisk cannot resolve 50-50

stradiveri 2026-07-13 00:56:17

it wouldnt be able to payout, negrisk must always be 1 YES everything else NO

it wouldnt be able to payout, negrisk must always be 1 YES everything else NO

KristianG 2026-07-13 00:59:01

yes but in a market where everyone was buying yes on multiple positions due to the terms it's not possible to resolve to 1 YES

yes but in a market where everyone was buying yes on multiple positions due to the terms it's not possible to resolve to 1 YES

stradiveri 2026-07-13 01:02:02

on chain it must resolve like that, so polymarket must issue refunds manually

on chain it must resolve like that, so polymarket must issue refunds manually

Abhi 2026-07-13 01:39:29

They don't refund the fees.

They don't refund the fees.

Dream12345 2026-07-13 02:10:54

I sent them an email yesterday, but they haven't replied to me.

I sent them an email yesterday, but they haven't replied to me.

Dream12345 2026-07-13 02:12:00

I don't know if it's because of their arrogance or if they simply don't have a department to check emails.

I don't know if it's because of their arrogance or if they simply don't have a department to check emails.

Breezy 4L 2026-07-13 04:36:45

Hope for the refund

Hope for the refund

T4jr 2026-07-13 09:24:43

I don’t understand why they archived that market ?

I don’t understand why they archived that market ?

T4jr 2026-07-13 09:25:09

Their fault if they loose money on this market

Their fault if they loose money on this market

T4jr 2026-07-13 09:25:27

We should at least have compensation

We should at least have compensation

T4jr 2026-07-13 09:27:12

We each of us put money on that market instead of an other and now we are getting forced to be reimbursed just because of an error from Polymarket ?

We each of us put money on that market instead of an other and now we are getting forced to be reimbursed just because of an error from Polymarket ?

T4jr 2026-07-13 09:27:34

Totally unfair

Totally unfair

T4jr 2026-07-13 09:27:55

There 1,6 millions on volume

There 1,6 millions on volume

T4jr 2026-07-13 09:28:19

And they realised just 1-3 days after its open lol

And they realised just 1-3 days after its open lol

T4jr 2026-07-13 09:29:27

Insane

Insane

Dream12345 2026-07-13 09:30:04

I believe that was their own mistake; they should have shifted our contributions to the new, correct market. Furthermore, I had already alerted them when the trading volume in this market was only 100,000, yet they failed to take action—so the responsibility lies entirely with them.

I believe that was their own mistake; they should have shifted our contributions to the new, correct market. Furthermore, I had already alerted them when the trading volume in this market was only 100,000, yet they failed to take action—so the responsibility lies entirely with them.

T4jr 2026-07-13 09:33:58

But I don’t understand really why they did this basically?

But I don’t understand really why they did this basically?

T4jr 2026-07-13 09:34:05

They were about to lose money ?

They were about to lose money ?

T4jr 2026-07-13 09:34:12

The rules were clear

The rules were clear

T4jr 2026-07-13 09:34:29

Who are the 8 teams to qualify for the LAN

Who are the 8 teams to qualify for the LAN

T4jr 2026-07-13 09:34:31

Simple

Simple

Dream12345 2026-07-13 09:35:18

It was only after I had invested $3,000 and bought in at a high price that I realized the market allowed for splits and conversions. If they were to refund me only the value of 1,000 shares, I would lose $3,000 due to their error—which is unfair to me.

It was only after I had invested $3,000 and bought in at a high price that I realized the market allowed for splits and conversions. If they were to refund me only the value of 1,000 shares, I would lose $3,000 due to their error—which is unfair to me.

T4jr 2026-07-13 09:36:29

They should just reimburse the ones that did that and let the other with their position wtf

They should just reimburse the ones that did that and let the other with their position wtf

T4jr 2026-07-13 09:36:41

Dunno if it’s possible tho

Dunno if it’s possible tho

Dream12345 2026-07-13 09:36:46

Yes, I double-checked with my AI multiple times; this is a market with eight possible outcomes, but due to an error on their part, it was set up to allow for only one result.

Yes, I double-checked with my AI multiple times; this is a market with eight possible outcomes, but due to an error on their part, it was set up to allow for only one result.

Dream12345 2026-07-13 09:38:37

By the time I went to check if the convert was possible, it was already too late.

By the time I went to check if the convert was possible, it was already too late.

Dream12345 2026-07-13 09:39:21

I could have converted 4,000 shares, but I only managed to buy 1,000.

I could have converted 4,000 shares, but I only managed to buy 1,000.

Dream12345 2026-07-13 09:40:49

I have saved a lot of screenshot evidence, including chat logs with their online customer service; the representative told me the matter had been submitted to the relevant department, yet I received no response within 24 hours.

I have saved a lot of screenshot evidence, including chat logs with their online customer service; the representative told me the matter had been submitted to the relevant department, yet I received no response within 24 hours.

Dream12345 2026-07-13 09:42:33

I also sent a message about this issue to their official CS Twitter account; they sent out other information but didn't reply to me, which made me very angry.

I also sent a message about this issue to their official CS Twitter account; they sent out other information but didn't reply to me, which made me very angry.

Dream12345 2026-07-13 09:44:08

Moreover, they still haven't issued any announcements regarding this market, which is even more unfair to those unable to access Discord.

Moreover, they still haven't issued any announcements regarding this market, which is even more unfair to those unable to access Discord.

T4jr 2026-07-13 09:44:46

Did you post this in discord also ?

Did you post this in discord also ?

Dream12345 2026-07-13 09:46:36

I couldn't access Discord earlier because of issues with my old account, and it took a huge effort just to get in last night. I feel that if they don't reply to me—even when I reach out via the website, the official Twitter, and email—then Discord is pointless too.

I couldn't access Discord earlier because of issues with my old account, and it took a huge effort just to get in last night. I feel that if they don't reply to me—even when I reach out via the website, the official Twitter, and email—then Discord is pointless too.

T4jr 2026-07-13 09:47:03

Ok…

Ok…

NG 2026-07-13 09:47:03

Team is aware of it, we have helped to escalate it with the relevant team

Team is aware of it, we have helped to escalate it with the relevant team

NG 2026-07-13 09:47:13

已经通知相关部门了 🫡

NG 2026-07-13 09:47:22

希望很快有更新

T4jr 2026-07-13 09:47:37

<@238266984297529345> don’t you have any idea how this could resolve ?

<@238266984297529345> don’t you have any idea how this could resolve ?

T4jr 2026-07-13 09:47:59

Is this kind of problem already happened in the past.?

Is this kind of problem already happened in the past.?

NG 2026-07-13 09:48:16

I will leave it to the team in charge 👍

I will leave it to the team in charge 👍

Dream12345 2026-07-13 09:49:11

I never received a reply after that.

I never received a reply after that.

Dream12345 2026-07-13 09:53:00

You should accept the losses now, instead of making us bear them for you.

You should accept the losses now, instead of making us bear them for you.

Dream12345 2026-07-13 09:53:23

This is the price you ought to pay.

This is the price you ought to pay.

Abhi 2026-07-13 12:46:20

It'll take time but each holder will be refunded.

It'll take time but each holder will be refunded.

Dream12345 2026-07-13 12:52:46

how much and when

how much and when

Abhi 2026-07-13 12:56:18

1 strike will go Y and rest will go N. Losses will be refunded.

1 strike will go Y and rest will go N. Losses will be refunded.

Dream12345 2026-07-13 12:57:39

So, who would be designated as "Yes"? It would be unfair to anyone who doesn't hold this position. I think the best approach is to synchronize all shares to the new market; that way, no one would have any objections.

So, who would be designated as "Yes"? It would be unfair to anyone who doesn't hold this position. I think the best approach is to synchronize all shares to the new market; that way, no one would have any objections.

Abhi 2026-07-13 12:58:56

Let's wait for the announcement.

Let's wait for the announcement.

Dream12345 2026-07-13 12:59:32

All I can do is wait for them to handle it; if they had seen the email I sent them sooner, none of this would have happened.

All I can do is wait for them to handle it; if they had seen the email I sent them sooner, none of this would have happened.

Dream12345 2026-07-13 17:02:28

Misconfigured neg-risk event — corralpeltzer flagged a Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2 event deployed as neg-risk (only 1 winner allowed) but structured to allow 8 YES resolutions, with ~$2M in volume. Market was archived shortly after. Resolution unclear — potential exposure estimated at ~$14M if YES holders are made whole and NO arbitrageurs refunded. 14M ?

Misconfigured neg-risk event — corralpeltzer flagged a Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2 event deployed as neg-risk (only 1 winner allowed) but structured to allow 8 YES resolutions, with ~$2M in volume. Market was archived shortly after. Resolution unclear — potential exposure estimated at ~$14M if YES holders are made whole and NO arbitrageurs refunded. 14M ?

Butl 2026-07-13 17:22:54

Rich

Rich

Butl 2026-07-13 17:22:57

<:PepeSuit:1040246863145730119>

<:PepeSuit:1040246863145730119>

45trinity 2026-07-13 18:10:57

Yeah, I actually feel really sorry for PM. On one side, not making typos on market configuration is their job. But a typo error worth potentially 14M $ feels like a lot. On the other hand, it may serve as another mirror warning for the CEO, that some part of his company culture he is responsible for is yielding this result. I hope at least one of the PM employees will have the balls to actually say it to Coplan directly in the office space, that these are the fruits of seeds he made grow.

Yeah, I actually feel really sorry for PM. On one side, not making typos on market configuration is their job. But a typo error worth potentially 14M $ feels like a lot. On the other hand, it may serve as another mirror warning for the CEO, that some part of his company culture he is responsible for is yielding this result. I hope at least one of the PM employees will have the balls to actually say it to Coplan directly in the office space, that these are the fruits of seeds he made grow.

45trinity 2026-07-13 18:12:02

To give him the oportunity to change this for the longterm good of the exchange.

To give him the oportunity to change this for the longterm good of the exchange.

45trinity 2026-07-13 18:14:23

Typos happen, its just that these blunders exchange side are too frequent to not be caused by work place culture systematic drive.

Typos happen, its just that these blunders exchange side are too frequent to not be caused by work place culture systematic drive.

Dream12345 2026-07-13 18:14:53

I believe the best approach is to replicate all holdings in the new market; while this would still result in some losses, the impact shouldn't reach the 14 million mark, and it would be fair to everyone. When I emailed them, the market volume was only 200,000, so I feel they really ought to listen more.

I believe the best approach is to replicate all holdings in the new market; while this would still result in some losses, the impact shouldn't reach the 14 million mark, and it would be fair to everyone. When I emailed them, the market volume was only 200,000, so I feel they really ought to listen more.

Dream12345 2026-07-13 18:18:30

Before the market closed, I estimated that at most around 3 million shares had been sold. If all those shares were transferred to the new market, they would only need to pay out on the eight correct outcomes—amounting to roughly 800,000. My estimate might be off, but this would be the fairest approach.

Before the market closed, I estimated that at most around 3 million shares had been sold. If all those shares were transferred to the new market, they would only need to pay out on the eight correct outcomes—amounting to roughly 800,000. My estimate might be off, but this would be the fairest approach.

Dream12345 2026-07-13 18:19:40

Besides, many of them were involved in a split; they received some USD during that process, so their losses should be smaller.

Besides, many of them were involved in a split; they received some USD during that process, so their losses should be smaller.

45trinity 2026-07-13 18:20:00

But you are only solving the yes side issue. How about the arber that acted on the negrisk markets configuration who was by this setting forced to think he can by the NOs all combined at price (events numbers of markets - 1 ) * 100 cents ?

But you are only solving the yes side issue. How about the arber that acted on the negrisk markets configuration who was by this setting forced to think he can by the NOs all combined at price (events numbers of markets - 1 ) * 100 cents ?

45trinity 2026-07-13 18:21:13

I think he has line of argument as well. He may have been trading against the human definition of the market, but he traded guided by the PM confiration negrisk, which by defintion means only one market get a YES resolution.

I think he has line of argument as well. He may have been trading against the human definition of the market, but he traded guided by the PM confiration negrisk, which by defintion means only one market get a YES resolution.

Dream12345 2026-07-13 18:21:25

Yes, I overlooked that point; they also deserve the reward they are given.

Yes, I overlooked that point; they also deserve the reward they are given.

Dream12345 2026-07-13 18:22:00

It is indeed a difficult problem to solve.

It is indeed a difficult problem to solve.

45trinity 2026-07-13 18:22:03

For the record my hodling are only 776 yes shares as I discovered the oportunity last minute. So I really have no personal gain in any side. Just really curious about what the theory appraoch is here, since I assume it is unprecedented?

For the record my hodling are only 776 yes shares as I discovered the oportunity last minute. So I really have no personal gain in any side. Just really curious about what the theory appraoch is here, since I assume it is unprecedented?

Dream12345 2026-07-13 18:23:46

I identified this market early on and invested $3,000 to acquire 1,000 shares of the outcome; I would be furious if I were paid out based on only those 1,000 shares. By the same token, the "No" arbitrageurs should also be paid out, as we were all misled by the rules.

I identified this market early on and invested $3,000 to acquire 1,000 shares of the outcome; I would be furious if I were paid out based on only those 1,000 shares. By the same token, the "No" arbitrageurs should also be paid out, as we were all misled by the rules.

45trinity 2026-07-13 18:25:03

Haha, nice early discovery. I would have had way more volume too.

Haha, nice early discovery. I would have had way more volume too.

Dream12345 2026-07-13 18:26:24

Because after I invested, I realized that this market was a negrisk.

Because after I invested, I realized that this market was a negrisk.

Dream12345 2026-07-13 18:26:45

I immediately contacted the official team afterwards, but received no response.

I immediately contacted the official team afterwards, but received no response.

45trinity 2026-07-13 18:27:16

Right, but than still the archivation outcome was certain. Since obv config error on exhcange side leads to corrupted price discovery process.

Right, but than still the archivation outcome was certain. Since obv config error on exhcange side leads to corrupted price discovery process.

Dream12345 2026-07-13 18:27:27

I didn't want to lose my money; I thought I'd discovered a treasure, but it turned out like this.

I didn't want to lose my money; I thought I'd discovered a treasure, but it turned out like this.

45trinity 2026-07-13 18:27:45

Curious to see how the exchange reacts. They have multiple options.

Curious to see how the exchange reacts. They have multiple options.

Dream12345 2026-07-13 18:28:32

Regardless of the circumstances, we should not be made to bear the losses on their behalf.

Regardless of the circumstances, we should not be made to bear the losses on their behalf.

45trinity 2026-07-13 18:28:34

This depends on what PM will decide. Some of their options are taking responsiblity and refunding, some of their options are anulation.

This depends on what PM will decide. Some of their options are taking responsiblity and refunding, some of their options are anulation.

45trinity 2026-07-13 18:29:09

I would not expect PM to take the option of creating losses for anyone.

I would not expect PM to take the option of creating losses for anyone.

stradiveri 2026-07-13 18:29:37

dont feel bad for polymarket, they were aware of this issue of negrisk markets being created where they shouldnt - they issued refunds on more than one occasion in the last few months/weeks. They should have manually verified existing negrisk markets and review their market creation process.

dont feel bad for polymarket, they were aware of this issue of negrisk markets being created where they shouldnt - they issued refunds on more than one occasion in the last few months/weeks. They should have manually verified existing negrisk markets and review their market creation process.

45trinity 2026-07-13 18:29:41

Exchange reputation is important for them, but well see what they say.

Exchange reputation is important for them, but well see what they say.

Dream12345 2026-07-13 18:29:51

It’s not a huge amount for them; their daily income is 2 million.

It’s not a huge amount for them; their daily income is 2 million.

45trinity 2026-07-13 18:30:37

Wow, this is NOT the first time??

Wow, this is NOT the first time??

stradiveri 2026-07-13 18:30:58

no, it started happening like 2 months ago

no, it started happening like 2 months ago

45trinity 2026-07-13 18:31:32

😆 yeah, there goes my "I feel bad for them". Puts it to another perspective. I thought this was the first time.

😆 yeah, there goes my "I feel bad for them". Puts it to another perspective. I thought this was the first time.

Abhi 2026-07-13 18:31:46

First time on a $2M volume market tho

First time on a $2M volume market tho

Abhi 2026-07-13 18:31:50

it was much more ig

it was much more ig

stradiveri 2026-07-13 18:31:58

yep this is by far the biggest one

yep this is by far the biggest one

45trinity 2026-07-13 18:32:00

What other markets happened this on before?

What other markets happened this on before?

Dream12345 2026-07-13 18:32:24

They could actually handle payouts differently based on whether a position is held: "YES" positions could be transferred to the new market, while "NO" positions could be settled at $1 per share—since I noticed there aren't many "NO" shares outstanding.

They could actually handle payouts differently based on whether a position is held: "YES" positions could be transferred to the new market, while "NO" positions could be settled at $1 per share—since I noticed there aren't many "NO" shares outstanding.

Dream12345 2026-07-13 18:33:39

If they had taken my message seriously right from the start, this wouldn't have happened; at the time, I held the largest position—though it was only 1,000 contracts.

If they had taken my message seriously right from the start, this wouldn't have happened; at the time, I held the largest position—though it was only 1,000 contracts.

45trinity 2026-07-13 18:34:06

That doesnt work. There were over 20 markets? At most 8 can resolve to yes, either you are a big NO holder hoping for something like 100x on your position or it just doesnt make sense.

That doesnt work. There were over 20 markets? At most 8 can resolve to yes, either you are a big NO holder hoping for something like 100x on your position or it just doesnt make sense.

45trinity 2026-07-13 18:34:59

My point is , 1 no share from all markets can equal at most 8$, your proposal is moving to 60$ ish area

My point is , 1 no share from all markets can equal at most 8$, your proposal is moving to 60$ ish area

Dream12345 2026-07-13 18:35:07

I do not hold any "No" positions.

I do not hold any "No" positions.

45trinity 2026-07-13 18:35:28

Sure np, I just wanted to point out, why I dont think giving 1$ for every no share works.

Sure np, I just wanted to point out, why I dont think giving 1$ for every no share works.

Dream12345 2026-07-13 18:36:09

It’s a complex issue, and everyone is discussing how it should be resolved.

It’s a complex issue, and everyone is discussing how it should be resolved.

Dream12345 2026-07-13 18:36:54

When I sent them the email, I was wondering if they would award me a bounty for it.

When I sent them the email, I was wondering if they would award me a bounty for it.

T4jr 2026-07-13 18:47:32

Does anyone with a bit of visibility tweeted about this matter

Does anyone with a bit of visibility tweeted about this matter

T4jr 2026-07-13 18:47:41

Not that it will change anything

Not that it will change anything

T4jr 2026-07-13 18:48:17

But just bring attention to people like us that thought finding a gold gem

But just bring attention to people like us that thought finding a gold gem

T4jr 2026-07-13 18:48:38

I won’t stop using pm for this but really it’s unprofessional

I won’t stop using pm for this but really it’s unprofessional

Breezy 4L 2026-07-13 18:51:10

Shares holders got refunds for that?

Shares holders got refunds for that?

stradiveri 2026-07-13 18:52:55

it was just 2 brackets, so 1 went yes, the other one no

it was just 2 brackets, so 1 went yes, the other one no

Dream12345 2026-07-13 18:57:32

There are a full 32 options this time—how should they handle them?

There are a full 32 options this time—how should they handle them?

45trinity 2026-07-13 19:05:37

The price of 1 no shares of each market is (total number of options - 8) * 1$

The price of 1 no shares of each market is (total number of options - 8) * 1$

45trinity 2026-07-13 19:06:03

Based on the market def, based on the negrisk def its (total number of options - 1) * 1$

Based on the market def, based on the negrisk def its (total number of options - 1) * 1$

Abhi 2026-07-13 19:13:05

31 brackets go N 1 go Y with refund for losing shares or a new market as you suggested!

31 brackets go N 1 go Y with refund for losing shares or a new market as you suggested!

Dream12345 2026-07-13 19:18:50

We can only wait for the outcome. As a holder, I naturally hope they settle all markets at 1, but that’s highly unlikely—haha.

We can only wait for the outcome. As a holder, I naturally hope they settle all markets at 1, but that’s highly unlikely—haha.

Dream12345 2026-07-13 19:21:50

But the question is, which one should be selected as "yes"? It wouldn't be fair to the other holders.

But the question is, which one should be selected as "yes"? It wouldn't be fair to the other holders.

menedrow 2026-07-13 19:22:08

Anyone know if this will be refunded?

Anyone know if this will be refunded?

menedrow 2026-07-13 19:22:46

Is that good? I’m not too familiar

Is that good? I’m not too familiar