PolymarketIs it possible for ghosts to never be completely fixed?
Is it possible for ghosts to never be completely fixed?
FixedStar参与话题 2消息总数 25
该用户的聊天记录定位。
聊天记录
共 25 条，显示第 1-25 条Shit, I want to close my position.
Shit, I want to close my position.
Should the team upgrade to the fable model?
Should the team upgrade to the fable model?
Oops?
Oops?
What happened?
What happened?
I've observed that liquidity in less popular markets seems to have increased.
I've observed that liquidity in less popular markets seems to have increased.
In fact, according to my data, the refund issue is already resolved.
In fact, according to my data, the refund issue is already resolved.
Maybe so, let's see how it goes.
Maybe so, let's see how it goes.
However, the number of betting options available to me has decreased; I wonder if the market has become more efficient.
However, the number of betting options available to me has decreased; I wonder if the market has become more efficient.
Betting liquidity seems to have improved today.
Betting liquidity seems to have improved today.
Of course, it might be better to conduct some beneficial explorations; who knows?
Of course, it might be better to conduct some beneficial explorations; who knows?
I believe the right direction to improve liquidity is to enhance externalities. For example, cultivating a stable and active community for each market segment, providing attentive and consistent services to attract people away from Kalshi, etc. These require long-term efforts, just like growing flowers. A company only needs to consider internal reforms and draw strength from within when it's declining. We're far from reaching that point where we absolutely need to draw strength from internal reforms.
I believe the right direction to improve liquidity is to enhance externalities. For example, cultivating a stable and active community for each market segment, providing attentive and consistent services to attract people away from Kalshi, etc. These require long-term efforts, just like growing flowers. A company only needs to consider internal reforms and draw strength from within when it's declining. We're far from reaching that point where we absolutely need to draw strength from internal reforms.
While it shouldn't significantly affect my playstyle, I'll adopt a more conservative approach for the next few days to observe its impact.
While it shouldn't significantly affect my playstyle, I'll adopt a more conservative approach for the next few days to observe its impact.
I will surpass you soon.
I will surpass you soon.
After some consideration, I think it's best to minimize changes of this magnitude. The D+2 market will eventually become the D+1 market, which will also affect those playing in the D+1 market, as the distribution of tokens may change. Whenever this level of change occurs, market liquidity will inevitably decrease, because people may need time to observe whether their strategies are effective.
After some consideration, I think it's best to minimize changes of this magnitude. The D+2 market will eventually become the D+1 market, which will also affect those playing in the D+1 market, as the distribution of tokens may change. Whenever this level of change occurs, market liquidity will inevitably decrease, because people may need time to observe whether their strategies are effective.
You make a good point.
You make a good point.
I also have a compromise suggestion: we can retain the D+2 market, as some people prefer a more distant market.
I also have a compromise suggestion: we can retain the D+2 market, as some people prefer a more distant market.
However, I also agree with the administrator's statement, because these people and the money won't disappear; they will continue to use other strategies and remain in the market.
However, I also agree with the administrator's statement, because these people and the money won't disappear; they will continue to use other strategies and remain in the market.
However, after consideration, I agree with the comments above. Essentially, this reduces the number of betting options, and different people have different playstyles. Removing one option doesn't necessarily mean squeezing liquidity into other options.
However, after consideration, I agree with the comments above. Essentially, this reduces the number of betting options, and different people have different playstyles. Removing one option doesn't necessarily mean squeezing liquidity into other options.
Because of the ability to accurately predict in the D+2 market, it is also possible to accurately predict in the D+1 market.
Because of the ability to accurately predict in the D+2 market, it is also possible to accurately predict in the D+1 market.
I don't believe anyone can profit from D+2.
I don't believe anyone can profit from D+2.
Modifying the strike mechanism is indeed a good one.
Modifying the strike mechanism is indeed a good one.
I've been secretly looking down on the D+2 market for a long time; every time I see it, I wonder what the point is.
I've been secretly looking down on the D+2 market for a long time; every time I see it, I wonder what the point is.
Based on my six months of trading experience, I've concluded that there's absolutely no possibility of accurately predicting the market temperature 1 degree Celsius or 2 degrees Fahrenheit 48 hours from now. Even God could only guess.
Based on my six months of trading experience, I've concluded that there's absolutely no possibility of accurately predicting the market temperature 1 degree Celsius or 2 degrees Fahrenheit 48 hours from now. Even God could only guess.
This is a great decision that will concentrate liquidity.
This is a great decision that will concentrate liquidity.