Kalshi<:lbu:1413610570938191882>
<:lbu:1413610570938191882>
nonsenseking参与话题 22消息总数 481
该用户的聊天记录定位。
聊天记录
共 481 条，显示第 51-100 条this is the correct response
this is the correct response
how many bluechecks will claim to know what the scandal is
how many bluechecks will claim to know what the scandal is
🔴 Susan Collins 50% 🔵 Graham Platner 46%
🔴 Susan Collins 50% 🔵 Graham Platner 46%
i am hearing that hte wedgewood poll IS the scandal
i am hearing that hte wedgewood poll IS the scandal
americas best pollster has it first
americas best pollster has it first
https://fixupx.com/TPSIOfficial/status/2074183296192250330?s=20
https://fixupx.com/TPSIOfficial/status/2074183296192250330?s=20
if the rumor is true.... <:pog:1373528315553386496>
if the rumor is true.... <:pog:1373528315553386496>
atlast intel gave up
atlast intel gave up
they expalined their methodology
they expalined their methodology
<:polarcry:1437994645010514060> <a:goose:676492746239770700>
<:polarcry:1437994645010514060> <a:goose:676492746239770700>
<:SkullE:1450451427066646649>
<:SkullE:1450451427066646649>
are you <@790654034112544799>
are you <@790654034112544799>
wait a sec
wait a sec
good bet
good bet
is this the kind of thing tha ti write
is this the kind of thing tha ti write
nally turned my $1 into $100,000 on Polymarket. It all started just a year ago, in November last year. Starting as a hobby of playing markets related to elections and the Middle East, today I make much more on Polymarket than I do at my actual job. That's not even all of it, I made an additional ~$1k by participating in UMA proposals and disputes (not recommended for new users), and another ~$5-6k running and investing in my own polyfunds. That all sums up to about $107,000 in total profit made on Polymarket. My initial goal was to turn $1 into $1M, and I've finally reached 10% of that goal in a single year. Not going to give up before I reach that. You can see a link to the account I am using today in my profile.
nally turned my $1 into $100,000 on Polymarket. It all started just a year ago, in November last year. Starting as a hobby of playing markets related to elections and the Middle East, today I make much more on Polymarket than I do at my actual job. That's not even all of it, I made an additional ~$1k by participating in UMA proposals and disputes (not recommended for new users), and another ~$5-6k running and investing in my own polyfunds. That all sums up to about $107,000 in total profit made on Polymarket. My initial goal was to turn $1 into $1M, and I've finally reached 10% of that goal in a single year. Not going to give up before I reach that. You can see a link to the account I am using today in my profile.
my picture is plato lol
my picture is plato lol
no what
no what
oh lol
oh lol
wha
wha
fraud
fraud
communists stealing another election
communists stealing another election
fraud?
fraud?
the pricing if ed looked like this
the pricing if ed looked like this
court is rigged unfortunately
court is rigged unfortunately
<@252618777697452042>
<@252618777697452042>
yep
yep
this sounds like a case for bill pulte
this sounds like a case for bill pulte
combos
combos
the florida establishment is so scared theyre trying to get fishback off the ballot
the florida establishment is so scared theyre trying to get fishback off the ballot
letlow is a lib she could only win by fraud fraud is how she won
letlow is a lib she could only win by fraud fraud is how she won
WEDGE. WOOD.
WEDGE. WOOD.
https://x.com/PpollingNumbers/status/2071397839704350781?s=20
https://x.com/PpollingNumbers/status/2071397839704350781?s=20
can u just construct a new collateral return mechanism for this tho
can u just construct a new collateral return mechanism for this tho
i guess directional for vote share and mecnet for mov probably works (unless there is a clear favorite)
i guess directional for vote share and mecnet for mov probably works (unless there is a clear favorite)
buy the cheapest on for best return, and the most expensive one for the most likely winner
buy the cheapest on for best return, and the most expensive one for the most likely winner
u didnt know which bracket to buy?
u didnt know which bracket to buy?
its that easy
its that easy
literally just buy whatever bracket rich baris says is good
literally just buy whatever bracket rich baris says is good
https://tenor.com/view/where-you-at-gif-21177622
https://tenor.com/view/where-you-at-gif-21177622
retail? intimidated by small ranges?
retail? intimidated by small ranges?
so if the strikes are 9+ and 12+ and the margin is close to 10, u can just add a 10+ strike. with mutually exclusive brackets youd have to make a whole new market
so if the strikes are 9+ and 12+ and the margin is close to 10, u can just add a 10+ strike. with mutually exclusive brackets youd have to make a whole new market
the other thing i like about directional markets is that u can keep adding new strikes
the other thing i like about directional markets is that u can keep adding new strikes
the directinoal markets have directional netting so u dont tie up extra capital
the directinoal markets have directional netting so u dont tie up extra capital
not sure what u mean by deploy capital more efficiently. u can take the same positions in both types of market, so it’s just a question of convenience.
not sure what u mean by deploy capital more efficiently. u can take the same positions in both types of market, so it’s just a question of convenience.
quantus is good except when they whiff completely
quantus is good except when they whiff completely
looks like a LIB 👀
looks like a LIB 👀
as in, u gonna be Richer if u follow his advice 🤑
as in, u gonna be Richer if u follow his advice 🤑
isn’t his name Richard baris?
isn’t his name Richard baris?