new strat still fighting. <@650765325645905940> pls tell me what you think. Also say its just luck if it looks like it
new strat still fighting. <@650765325645905940> pls tell me what you think. Also say its just luck if it looks like it
2026-07-04 · Polymarket · 21 条相关讨论
new strat still fighting. <@650765325645905940> pls tell me what you think. Also say its just luck if it looks like it
new strat still fighting. <@650765325645905940> pls tell me what you think. Also say its just luck if it looks like it
Interesting graph
Interesting graph
Im not really seeing any kind of trend
Im not really seeing any kind of trend
No Im not either.
No Im not either.
Wait this makes it more clear:
Wait this makes it more clear:
this is by time
this is by time
It mostlytrades in volatile phases and bleeds in calm marketphases where exchanges are closed.
It mostlytrades in volatile phases and bleeds in calm marketphases where exchanges are closed.
but also only 5 daysamplesize
but also only 5 daysamplesize
use some sort of volatile filter and then backtest it again
use some sort of volatile filter and then backtest it again
but maybe my volatile filter is just not that good
but maybe my volatile filter is just not that good
look the adverse selection in comparison to the paper trader. They really move in parallel most of thetime. But there are specific times, where live gets adverse selectet a lot. Maybe thats fixable
look the adverse selection in comparison to the paper trader. They really move in parallel most of thetime. But there are specific times, where live gets adverse selectet a lot. Maybe thats fixable
But it also seems like spikes come after you get adverse selected
But it also seems like spikes come after you get adverse selected
I am running the study atm. I need a bigger samplesize before I can decide if its noise or a real signal
I am running the study atm. I need a bigger samplesize before I can decide if its noise or a real signal
I’m currently at the same point at you are
I’m currently at the same point at you are
I’m checking either volatility regimes or time based rn waiting for results
I’m checking either volatility regimes or time based rn waiting for results
Impressive how the shape is the same in live as in backtest. Is it mostly taker?
Impressive how the shape is the same in live as in backtest. Is it mostly taker?
Only maker. And Backtest looks better.
Only maker. And Backtest looks better.
Yeah, but it is really difficult to make a backtest the same shape as the real for a maker strategy
Yeah, but it is really difficult to make a backtest the same shape as the real for a maker strategy
you full maker?
you full maker?
how do you backtest a maker strat monkaS
how do you backtest a maker strat monkaS
You can't as accurately simulate queue mechanics in paper mode, that's what makes it hard in live
You can't as accurately simulate queue mechanics in paper mode, that's what makes it hard in live