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OpenAI 下个模型市场因语音模型引发规则争议

2026-07-10 · Polymarket · 9 条相关讨论

General Obligation 2026-07-10 12:18:10

https://polymarket.com/event/next-openai-model-arena-debut-685 OpenAI’s “next” model was a voice model they released on July 8th, a day before GPT 5.6 debuted. This market looks at ANY public model by OpenAI. Unlike its sister market, this one doesn’t specify that it has to be a GPT model on the Arena leaderboard. Just the next “next OpenAI model.” Which means…this resolve to N in 6 days, since Arena doesn’t do voice models. Right? The “next GPT model” market is a bit different. That market looks specifically at the next GPT model that makes it to the Arena leaderboard. Which should be 5.6. But based on the rules, the next general OpenAI model released (after market creation) was their realtime, bidirectional model on July 8.

https://polymarket.com/event/next-openai-model-arena-debut-685 OpenAI’s “next” model was a voice model they released on July 8th, a day before GPT 5.6 debuted. This market looks at ANY public model by OpenAI. Unlike its sister market, this one doesn’t specify that it has to be a GPT model on the Arena leaderboard. Just the next “next OpenAI model.” Which means…this resolve to N in 6 days, since Arena doesn’t do voice models. Right? The “next GPT model” market is a bit different. That market looks specifically at the next GPT model that makes it to the Arena leaderboard. Which should be 5.6. But based on the rules, the next general OpenAI model released (after market creation) was their realtime, bidirectional model on July 8.

HungryNode 2026-07-10 19:29:59

this rulecuck will not work, the rules are clearly for text models spirit of the market. if you try it, it will be clarified against

this rulecuck will not work, the rules are clearly for text models spirit of the market. if you try it, it will be clarified against

General Obligation 2026-07-10 19:37:10

Is it clear though? Why, then, is there a *separate* market exclusively for **GPT** models?

Is it clear though? Why, then, is there a *separate* market exclusively for **GPT** models?

HungryNode 2026-07-10 19:42:40

in case OpenAI releases a non-GPT series text model <:Bidensmile:1040247925420339251> Well, actually, I suspect something else is happening. If you read into the rules, there is a big difference in the rules between "Next OpenAI model debut" and "next gpt model debut" and it isn't just about a "GPT" in the title

in case OpenAI releases a non-GPT series text model <:Bidensmile:1040247925420339251> Well, actually, I suspect something else is happening. If you read into the rules, there is a big difference in the rules between "Next OpenAI model debut" and "next gpt model debut" and it isn't just about a "GPT" in the title

HungryNode 2026-07-10 19:44:12

if you want to try to propose No on this market with the argument of "it should resolve no because of gpt-live-1" you're welcome to do it, i won't stop you

if you want to try to propose No on this market with the argument of "it should resolve no because of gpt-live-1" you're welcome to do it, i won't stop you

General Obligation 2026-07-10 19:47:27

lol not a knock against you here, i know exactly what you’re referring to. But going so far to specify “GPT” models doesn’t seem any clearer, nor anymore in the “spirit”’of the rules to me. I think a clarification would go a long way.

lol not a knock against you here, i know exactly what you’re referring to. But going so far to specify “GPT” models doesn’t seem any clearer, nor anymore in the “spirit”’of the rules to me. I think a clarification would go a long way.

HungryNode 2026-07-10 19:49:00

Agreed but good luck trying to squeeze a clarification out before a double dispute

Agreed but good luck trying to squeeze a clarification out before a double dispute

General Obligation 2026-07-10 19:58:03

If they do clarify in favor of a “text” model for that market, they should scrap it going forward. And rename the GPT market to “next **text** model” instead of GPT

If they do clarify in favor of a “text” model for that market, they should scrap it going forward. And rename the GPT market to “next **text** model” instead of GPT

HungryNode 2026-07-10 19:59:18

they will likely scrap it

they will likely scrap it