https://polymarket.com/event/next-openai-model-arena-debut-685
OpenAI’s “next” model was a voice model they released on July 8th, a day before GPT 5.6 debuted. This market looks at ANY public model by OpenAI. Unlike its sister market, this one doesn’t specify that it has to be a GPT model on the Arena leaderboard. Just the next “next OpenAI model.” Which means…this resolve to N in 6 days, since Arena doesn’t do voice models. Right?
The “next GPT model” market is a bit different. That market looks specifically at the next GPT model that makes it to the Arena leaderboard. Which should be 5.6.
But based on the rules, the next general OpenAI model released (after market creation) was their realtime, bidirectional model on July 8.
https://polymarket.com/event/next-openai-model-arena-debut-685
OpenAI’s “next” model was a voice model they released on July 8th, a day before GPT 5.6 debuted. This market looks at ANY public model by OpenAI. Unlike its sister market, this one doesn’t specify that it has to be a GPT model on the Arena leaderboard. Just the next “next OpenAI model.” Which means…this resolve to N in 6 days, since Arena doesn’t do voice models. Right?
The “next GPT model” market is a bit different. That market looks specifically at the next GPT model that makes it to the Arena leaderboard. Which should be 5.6.
But based on the rules, the next general OpenAI model released (after market creation) was their realtime, bidirectional model on July 8.
this rulecuck will not work, the rules are clearly for text models
spirit of the market. if you try it, it will be clarified against
this rulecuck will not work, the rules are clearly for text models
spirit of the market. if you try it, it will be clarified against
Is it clear though? Why, then, is there a *separate* market exclusively for **GPT** models?
Is it clear though? Why, then, is there a *separate* market exclusively for **GPT** models?
in case OpenAI releases a non-GPT series text model <:Bidensmile:1040247925420339251>
Well, actually, I suspect something else is happening. If you read into the rules, there is a big difference in the rules between "Next OpenAI model debut" and "next gpt model debut" and it isn't just about a "GPT" in the title
in case OpenAI releases a non-GPT series text model <:Bidensmile:1040247925420339251>
Well, actually, I suspect something else is happening. If you read into the rules, there is a big difference in the rules between "Next OpenAI model debut" and "next gpt model debut" and it isn't just about a "GPT" in the title
if you want to try to propose No on this market with the argument of "it should resolve no because of gpt-live-1" you're welcome to do it, i won't stop you
if you want to try to propose No on this market with the argument of "it should resolve no because of gpt-live-1" you're welcome to do it, i won't stop you
lol not a knock against you here, i know exactly what you’re referring to. But going so far to specify “GPT” models doesn’t seem any clearer, nor anymore in the “spirit”’of the rules to me.
I think a clarification would go a long way.
lol not a knock against you here, i know exactly what you’re referring to. But going so far to specify “GPT” models doesn’t seem any clearer, nor anymore in the “spirit”’of the rules to me.
I think a clarification would go a long way.
Agreed but good luck trying to squeeze a clarification out before a double dispute
Agreed but good luck trying to squeeze a clarification out before a double dispute
If they do clarify in favor of a “text” model for that market, they should scrap it going forward. And rename the GPT market to “next **text** model” instead of GPT
If they do clarify in favor of a “text” model for that market, they should scrap it going forward. And rename the GPT market to “next **text** model” instead of GPT
they will likely scrap it
they will likely scrap it