is TWAP going to lead into stuff like 1min markets?
is TWAP going to lead into stuff like 1min markets?
2026-07-18 · Polymarket · 151 条相关讨论
is TWAP going to lead into stuff like 1min markets?
is TWAP going to lead into stuff like 1min markets?
did TWAP lead to 5m markets for Kalshi?
did TWAP lead to 5m markets for Kalshi?
also
also
1m markets
1m markets
not only will the degens go there and kill 5m markets, that is PERFECT for manipulators
not only will the degens go there and kill 5m markets, that is PERFECT for manipulators
they can manipulate EVERY MIN they want bruh tf
they can manipulate EVERY MIN they want bruh tf
imagine a strike for a 1 m market, ur not even giving the market time to BREATH lord
imagine a strike for a 1 m market, ur not even giving the market time to BREATH lord
<@1361217824776786031> dont ever, and i mean ever, even think about 1m markets
<@1361217824776786031> dont ever, and i mean ever, even think about 1m markets
there is no level of twap, kyc, etc that can save a 1m market
there is no level of twap, kyc, etc that can save a 1m market
how are u gonna pin anything on anyone even with kyc when the market is 1m 😭
how are u gonna pin anything on anyone even with kyc when the market is 1m 😭
yoooo thats so horrid
yoooo thats so horrid
TWAP on 1 min would be literal cancer
TWAP on 1 min would be literal cancer
😭
😭
No TWAP on 1 min, maybe worse <:Bidensmile:1040247925420339251>
No TWAP on 1 min, maybe worse <:Bidensmile:1040247925420339251>
how tf would u even twap 60 seconds????
how tf would u even twap 60 seconds????
TWAP the full 60 seconds and make it pure hell <:Bidensmile:1040247925420339251>
TWAP the full 60 seconds and make it pure hell <:Bidensmile:1040247925420339251>
its a bad thought
its a bad thought
let me urinate on it
let me urinate on it
cleanse it
cleanse it
i never saw cleanse and urinate as the same
i never saw cleanse and urinate as the same
I didnt even read ur message
I didnt even read ur message
Wait, no 1 min market ever = no airdrop ever. Airdrop N confirmed
Wait, no 1 min market ever = no airdrop ever. Airdrop N confirmed
btc-updown-5m-1784339100, is this the manipulation that the recent white paper is talking about? Low volatility, low volume. Asks price (red line) starts to move in the opposite direction a full 5 seconds before price data from Binance (green line) or coinbase (orange line) changes.
btc-updown-5m-1784339100, is this the manipulation that the recent white paper is talking about? Low volatility, low volume. Asks price (red line) starts to move in the opposite direction a full 5 seconds before price data from Binance (green line) or coinbase (orange line) changes.
btc-updown-5m-1784342100 and another manip. Welp, working on a new strategy to ride this. If you can't beat em, join em! Pretty obvious when the opposite Ask price starts to jump unnaturally towards end of market. (Green flat, biannce price. Blue, chainlink. Spiking green, up ask)
btc-updown-5m-1784342100 and another manip. Welp, working on a new strategy to ride this. If you can't beat em, join em! Pretty obvious when the opposite Ask price starts to jump unnaturally towards end of market. (Green flat, biannce price. Blue, chainlink. Spiking green, up ask)
yeah man
yeah man
super obvious
super obvious
everyone alr does it
everyone alr does it
u should totally join
u should totally join
woah kawa
woah kawa
i can make money wwith the manips?
i can make money wwith the manips?
<:wow:1480174271589384212>
<:wow:1480174271589384212>
how do i join them?
how do i join them?
bro
bro
its super secret alpha
its super secret alpha
shush
shush
sure bro, let me join you on you joining them
sure bro, let me join you on you joining them
can you start a polyfund on joining the manips?
can you start a polyfund on joining the manips?
we should
we should
literally collectively pool our money
literally collectively pool our money
https://klipy.com/gifs/flowers-roses-62
https://klipy.com/gifs/flowers-roses-62
surely we wont get rugged like pbot
surely we wont get rugged like pbot
Hey guys - just a question - does Pm now use btc TWAP for resolution of the 5 min UP DOWN markets?
Hey guys - just a question - does Pm now use btc TWAP for resolution of the 5 min UP DOWN markets?
i see why barely anyone can make money from updown anymore
i see why barely anyone can make money from updown anymore
everyone has the same ideas
everyone has the same ideas
everyone is doing the same
everyone is doing the same
really?
really?
alright i got a fresh idea
alright i got a fresh idea
if someone discovers something new it's a matter of time before it becomes 50/50 again
if someone discovers something new it's a matter of time before it becomes 50/50 again
<:pepecry:1480174599093096560>
<:pepecry:1480174599093096560>
leo looking at this chat and smirking
leo looking at this chat and smirking
Is he still doing updown?
Is he still doing updown?
I doubt it
I doubt it
bruh https://x.com/dontoverfit/status/2072088572887187789?s=20
bruh https://x.com/dontoverfit/status/2072088572887187789?s=20
<:Bidensmile:1040247925420339251> just washtrade
<:Bidensmile:1040247925420339251> just washtrade
need proof
need proof
bm chart cal
bm chart cal
oh boy
oh boy
here it comes
here it comes
damn
damn
the chart got stuck lol
the chart got stuck lol
bro hit the max 2^256
bro hit the max 2^256
the bot cant handle rich's volume
the bot cant handle rich's volume
one would think adding daily pnls wouldnt be that hard
one would think adding daily pnls wouldnt be that hard
unless they recalculate everything
unless they recalculate everything
<a:thinking:1479896605862920222> I'll be below leo soon.
<a:thinking:1479896605862920222> I'll be below leo soon.
<@895912129578811413> do fees paid
<@895912129578811413> do fees paid
soon comrade rich will share his prosperity with us
soon comrade rich will share his prosperity with us
<:pepecry:1480174599093096560>
<:pepecry:1480174599093096560>
Hey bro - so are in TWAP mode or Not for the 5 min markets???
Hey bro - so are in TWAP mode or Not for the 5 min markets???
wow amazing
wow amazing
wow
wow
look like taker delay bypass is fixed
look like taker delay bypass is fixed
You think thats why bonereaper is washed?
You think thats why bonereaper is washed?
<a:thinking:1479896605862920222> what is the next exploit
<a:thinking:1479896605862920222> what is the next exploit
new taker delay bypass is limited to use, i don't think it affect him
new taker delay bypass is limited to use, i don't think it affect him
there is a new taker delay bypass?
there is a new taker delay bypass?
since?
since?
how much cost will increase for manipulators after twap
how much cost will increase for manipulators after twap
nothing will change, they only need to do it for 30 seconds realistically, and it doesn't take that much more money to keep a price
nothing will change, they only need to do it for 30 seconds realistically, and it doesn't take that much more money to keep a price
yeah unles the twap is like 2 minutes long at that point might as well make this the 2 m markets
yeah unles the twap is like 2 minutes long at that point might as well make this the 2 m markets
5min twap
5min twap
I'm not even confident that theyre gonna do 1min twap for 5 mins
I'm not even confident that theyre gonna do 1min twap for 5 mins
thats like 20% of the market lol
thats like 20% of the market lol
30 sec for sure
30 sec for sure
then manipulators dont have to change anything atm
then manipulators dont have to change anything atm
besides dumping the price a tiny bit earlier
besides dumping the price a tiny bit earlier
they already keep the price down for roughly 12-16s
they already keep the price down for roughly 12-16s
without doing it intentionally
without doing it intentionally
its just that theres no vol and btc doesnt really move at those times
its just that theres no vol and btc doesnt really move at those times
so theyre messing up and making everyone re-code their real mms to not solve anything
so theyre messing up and making everyone re-code their real mms to not solve anything
lfg poly team
lfg poly team
thanks guys
thanks guys
honestly thats lowkey a good idea
honestly thats lowkey a good idea
keep everythign normal
keep everythign normal
then make a 1min twap only market
then make a 1min twap only market
see what the mms like
see what the mms like
https://klipy.com/gifs/bruce-lee-nunchucks-6
https://klipy.com/gifs/bruce-lee-nunchucks-6
<@1361217824776786031> i'll accept obsidian status and 50k pUSD credit for the idea ty cheers
<@1361217824776786031> i'll accept obsidian status and 50k pUSD credit for the idea ty cheers
Agreed
Agreed
why do u want twapped 15m
why do u want twapped 15m
just go to kalshi
just go to kalshi
its literally the same thing
its literally the same thing
why the focus on that for poly
why the focus on that for poly
because he needs to keep manipulating 5m markets
because he needs to keep manipulating 5m markets
easy
easy
Because, we need 15 min revival
Because, we need 15 min revival
It is dead
It is dead
right
right
and twap is gonna revive it
and twap is gonna revive it
........
........
It might bring in kalshi liquidity
It might bring in kalshi liquidity
i swear were yall born under a rock or sum
i swear were yall born under a rock or sum
https://klipy.com/gifs/kermit-the-frog-muppets-6
https://klipy.com/gifs/kermit-the-frog-muppets-6
WHY would it
WHY would it
what does it CHANGE
what does it CHANGE
it changes NOTHING
it changes NOTHING
I understand retail will always choose the fastest resolving market naturally, but still
I understand retail will always choose the fastest resolving market naturally, but still
frgt that
frgt that
why would they come to poly 15m
why would they come to poly 15m
over kalshi
over kalshi
what do they have to gain
what do they have to gain
Dude
Dude
cuz clearly we alr know its not stopping manipulaiton
cuz clearly we alr know its not stopping manipulaiton
They will do both at the same time if the rules are exactly the same
They will do both at the same time if the rules are exactly the same
so why arent they doing it rn
so why arent they doing it rn
thatll bring em
thatll bring em
Resolution is different
Resolution is different
🧠
🧠
Make resolution the same
Make resolution the same
or random markets
or random markets
it can be anywhere between 10-15m
it can be anywhere between 10-15m
???
???
ITS TWO DIFFERENT ORACLES
ITS TWO DIFFERENT ORACLES
THE RESOLUTIONS WONT EVER BE THE SAME
THE RESOLUTIONS WONT EVER BE THE SAME
no one knows when it resolves
no one knows when it resolves
let's just do btc block hash
let's just do btc block hash
yo deadahh
yo deadahh
why am i gettin heated
why am i gettin heated
Idk dude, I dont really care. Im not making much from 15 mins
Idk dude, I dont really care. Im not making much from 15 mins
If Polymarket aligns 15m rules with Kalshi, Kalshi will get hit by Polymarket manipulation too. Then people will stop asking for TWAP.
If Polymarket aligns 15m rules with Kalshi, Kalshi will get hit by Polymarket manipulation too. Then people will stop asking for TWAP.
if you trade manually, you can make money by siding with the manipulator lol
if you trade manually, you can make money by siding with the manipulator lol
what if???? <@744559907944005634>
what if???? <@744559907944005634>
Buy the cheap side 1mn before closure
Buy the cheap side 1mn before closure
what if not
what if not
Ez money
Ez money
what if you are gay <@744559907944005634>
what if you are gay <@744559907944005634>
0xd0364c0e1d6755b16123b60eea456f81e1ebe089 - new manip in town
0xd0364c0e1d6755b16123b60eea456f81e1ebe089 - new manip in town
14k profit today
14k profit today
what if???? <@744559907944005634>
what if???? <@744559907944005634>
copying right now
copying right now
let's see if my theory works out, buy UP for current btc 5m market
let's see if my theory works out, buy UP for current btc 5m market