2026-07-18 · Polymarket · 242 条相关讨论
you need a statement on said strikes
you need a statement on said strikes
do you think irgc and satellite is enough?
do you think irgc and satellite is enough?
Sir X is not credible!
Sir X is not credible!
or do we need more
or do we need more
no because debris
no because debris
Bm chart profile ithinkthisisgod
Bm chart profile ithinkthisisgod
also if multiple waves you dont know when they happened
also if multiple waves you dont know when they happened
<@744559907944005634> is ansem bul
<@744559907944005634> is ansem bul
idk but when the warehouses are this accurately destroyed, seems very unlikely it was debris right
idk but when the warehouses are this accurately destroyed, seems very unlikely it was debris right
https://klipy.com/gifs/no-no-2602
https://klipy.com/gifs/no-no-2602
i dont trade much anymore on this acc
i dont trade much anymore on this acc
too much pocket watchers
too much pocket watchers
ye but i doubt they clari Y on satelite tbh
ye but i doubt they clari Y on satelite tbh
Lol
Lol
I'm just sharing dude, it's not me making up the info...
I'm just sharing dude, it's not me making up the info...
Actually idk, I think the markets team really likes most likeliest reality
Actually idk, I think the markets team really likes most likeliest reality
https://claude.ai/code/artifact/dfe9b4ad-c264-4100-a4a4-4df391a8a124 I one-shot this silly game about predicting whether or not certain phrases/memes/puns have ever been said on Twitter. It's kinda fun - how looped into the matrix are you?
https://claude.ai/code/artifact/dfe9b4ad-c264-4100-a4a4-4df391a8a124 I one-shot this silly game about predicting whether or not certain phrases/memes/puns have ever been said on Twitter. It's kinda fun - how looped into the matrix are you?
now if u had those images in a credible article then yes
now if u had those images in a credible article then yes
He is one of his 2 sugar daddies
He is one of his 2 sugar daddies
will this drain my wallets
will this drain my wallets
Nah no connection just a Claude artifact
Nah no connection just a Claude artifact
Press Yes/No game, that's literally it
Press Yes/No game, that's literally it
https://www.israelhayom.com/2026/07/17/satellite-images-iran-strikes-abu-dhabi-erbil/
https://www.israelhayom.com/2026/07/17/satellite-images-iran-strikes-abu-dhabi-erbil/
source of that is Soara on x though
source of that is Soara on x though
from previous attacks in the region
from previous attacks in the region
Meanwhile, satellite images from Thursday, July 16, reveal the extent of the damage from previous attacks in the region, with three buildings destroyed inside the Zayed military compound in Abu Dhabi.
Meanwhile, satellite images from Thursday, July 16, reveal the extent of the damage from previous attacks in the region, with three buildings destroyed inside the Zayed military compound in Abu Dhabi.
I believe its also outside of the markets timeframe
I believe its also outside of the markets timeframe
Wow july 13 is 99ct?
Wow july 13 is 99ct?
article is released on the 17th
article is released on the 17th
ah ye
ah ye
WTF REX IS ON NO????
WTF REX IS ON NO????
car has gone insane
car has gone insane
REX wakes up from operation DOCTOR says "The operation to fix your chart was a complete success" REX says "That's a relief. Where is god? I want to show him the chart" DOCTOR say "Who do you think donated the chart"
REX wakes up from operation DOCTOR says "The operation to fix your chart was a complete success" REX says "That's a relief. Where is god? I want to show him the chart" DOCTOR say "Who do you think donated the chart"
anyway gn8 everyone!
anyway gn8 everyone!
GG
GG
gn
gn
did u actually
did u actually
Wdym?
Wdym?
Well thats what it says
Well thats what it says
might be glitched vro
might be glitched vro
thats how someone is gonna make 100k on a market one day
thats how someone is gonna make 100k on a market one day
why delete
why delete
btw why is july 13 N
btw why is july 13 N
Funny that no one proposes again yes for 13, that's gonna be great dept...
Funny that no one proposes again yes for 13, that's gonna be great dept...
because the Fox news lady was wrong
because the Fox news lady was wrong
Real OG check: are you one of the two people (one being me, the other being <@264209947850440706> from way back in 2023) who used the concept of "totality of information" referring to markets BEFORE Polymarket stole it and started including it in within the rules of certain markets?
Real OG check: are you one of the two people (one being me, the other being <@264209947850440706> from way back in 2023) who used the concept of "totality of information" referring to markets BEFORE Polymarket stole it and started including it in within the rules of certain markets?
okay thank you
okay thank you
you are lying
you are lying
prove it
prove it
send a picture
send a picture
are you the ayatollah?
are you the ayatollah?
Wdym poly stole it?
Wdym poly stole it?
with your polymarket username
with your polymarket username
yes is cooked, yesworld is buying
yes is cooked, yesworld is buying
<:monkaGIGA:1389812100012052511>
<:monkaGIGA:1389812100012052511>
do u think theyd dispute
do u think theyd dispute
No
No
im goin to sleep
im goin to sleep
but whenver u guys want to do july 15 im good
but whenver u guys want to do july 15 im good
oh wait
oh wait
Huh??
Huh??
That's even harder to do than 13th...
That's even harder to do than 13th...
I think 15th has the best chances for no, all other days still have or had issues
I think 15th has the best chances for no, all other days still have or had issues
Kuwait government said all four cruise missles and 21 drones were intercepted
Kuwait government said all four cruise missles and 21 drones were intercepted
good point
good point
15th should be NO as of now
15th should be NO as of now
And even though UAE is downsizing all hits some info will leak about the base hit, I mean wood and old ammunition to burn 3 wearhousees :)))) come on, that's like a reporting written by some Poly Intern writing rules:)))
And even though UAE is downsizing all hits some info will leak about the base hit, I mean wood and old ammunition to burn 3 wearhousees :)))) come on, that's like a reporting written by some Poly Intern writing rules:)))
On July 17th Kuwait directly shows how a clear confirmation looks, by confirming an Iranian strike damaged a desalination and power facility. Reporting on the 15th lacks confirmation of qualifying impact
On July 17th Kuwait directly shows how a clear confirmation looks, by confirming an Iranian strike damaged a desalination and power facility. Reporting on the 15th lacks confirmation of qualifying impact
yet price spiked to 84 , they all claim some ace which is not available on web rn
yet price spiked to 84 , they all claim some ace which is not available on web rn
its available on the north korean intranet
its available on the north korean intranet
Kim un proof is not qualifying
Kim un proof is not qualifying
its reuters north korean exclusive
its reuters north korean exclusive
GL ,i mean once no price spikes to 80-90 , you can execute the same and sell asap then let it resolve no
GL ,i mean once no price spikes to 80-90 , you can execute the same and sell asap then let it resolve no
Sorry fellas am i late to the party
Sorry fellas am i late to the party
yeahh over
yeahh over
disputed june 13 for yes
disputed june 13 for yes
https://klipy.com/gifs/beetle-food
https://klipy.com/gifs/beetle-food
The fat lady hasn't danced yet
The fat lady hasn't danced yet
13th, a day that will live in infamy
13th, a day that will live in infamy
Rex has to dispute the second proposal
Rex has to dispute the second proposal
Can someone catch me up on why rex is donating to my pocket
Can someone catch me up on why rex is donating to my pocket
He switched sides for damage control
He switched sides for damage control
everything sorted no ace , you can propose again lol
everything sorted no ace , you can propose again lol
don't feel like doing it rn but someone needs to build a script that hunts for alts
don't feel like doing it rn but someone needs to build a script that hunts for alts
<:Bidensmile:1040247925420339251> I want to see Bro J vs Susquehanna
<:Bidensmile:1040247925420339251> I want to see Bro J vs Susquehanna
prolly some alpha there
prolly some alpha there
I have it
I have it
Im trying to read the transactions to see wtf happened
Im trying to read the transactions to see wtf happened
Cant watch a movie in peace
Cant watch a movie in peace
13th should go to UMA, that's gonna be interesting
13th should go to UMA, that's gonna be interesting
Thonker proposed that so I prefer it settles i alr got my dispute
Thonker proposed that so I prefer it settles i alr got my dispute
Even better, to get a clarif this is gonna be yes for sure:))))
Even better, to get a clarif this is gonna be yes for sure:))))
On what dispute are you on?
On what dispute are you on?
I proposed the first time
I proposed the first time
Ahhh.. I understand, good luck with that
Ahhh.. I understand, good luck with that
taking some punts on significant weekend escalation
taking some punts on significant weekend escalation
putting 2+2 together and realizing that Iran was targeting the ocean trader spec ops ship and the Don is likely displeased
putting 2+2 together and realizing that Iran was targeting the ocean trader spec ops ship and the Don is likely displeased
in duqam https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MV_Ocean_Trader
in duqam https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MV_Ocean_Trader
and Iran finally hit a US tanker. rip exxon
and Iran finally hit a US tanker. rip exxon
goodluck.
goodluck.
actually?
actually?
yes
yes
dang nice
dang nice
So back to reality are we
So back to reality are we
come be my counterparty in air quality markets
come be my counterparty in air quality markets
I was shitting myself at the movies
I was shitting myself at the movies
My phone died of battery too
My phone died of battery too
<@675645774163607553> odyssey was peak
<@675645774163607553> odyssey was peak
yes i know
yes i know
christopher nolan never misses
christopher nolan never misses
did u watch on imax 70mm
did u watch on imax 70mm
yoo it's the same case for july 15 , there is no proof for strike
yoo it's the same case for july 15 , there is no proof for strike
if you can find it lmk
if you can find it lmk
this will go no, wait until the big moves
this will go no, wait until the big moves
arman is on yes thats why i m asking him to share the strike
arman is on yes thats why i m asking him to share the strike
ig we will see what happens
ig we will see what happens
What’s up with the new clarif team clarifying in advance?
What’s up with the new clarif team clarifying in advance?
They just killed the Trump WC market <:pepecry:1480174599093096560>
They just killed the Trump WC market <:pepecry:1480174599093096560>
wtf
wtf
aenews2 bought 4,373 Yes for July 18 at 98.9145¢ ($4,325)
aenews2 bought 4,373 Yes for July 18 at 98.9145¢ ($4,325)
😡
😡
I'm trying to get fills here! 😆
I'm trying to get fills here! 😆
<:OkaygeBusiness:1379612653072420954>
<:OkaygeBusiness:1379612653072420954>
<@952241341029556254> thanks for saving my proposal gng
<@952241341029556254> thanks for saving my proposal gng
125 mine
125 mine
I just got to reading messages
I just got to reading messages
This is rexs dispute money im keeping it
This is rexs dispute money im keeping it
The level of stress testing graph does just to resolve no is insane
The level of stress testing graph does just to resolve no is insane
do i buy the dip on the 15th?
do i buy the dip on the 15th?
yes or no?
yes or no?
gum bum
gum bum
well the one thats dipping
well the one thats dipping
vro made 1 shekel
vro made 1 shekel
bm pos NYC
bm pos NYC
🙏
🙏
https://klipy.com/gifs/fat-dog-14
https://klipy.com/gifs/fat-dog-14
✌️ 😭
✌️ 😭
idk
idk
do some research maybe then spam buy
do some research maybe then spam buy
i might be the only person looking at these markets ? i think i am just filling lp
i might be the only person looking at these markets ? i think i am just filling lp
bro predicting
bro predicting
yes
yes
# AIR QUALITY
# AIR QUALITY
son what do u do for a living
son what do u do for a living
i predict the air quality of new york city
i predict the air quality of new york city
What market is this?
What market is this?
We used to thrive on disputes
We used to thrive on disputes
Not bullshi ones
Not bullshi ones
Now it people betting on air pollution and Clav wearing a Yarmaka
Now it people betting on air pollution and Clav wearing a Yarmaka
eggs are pee
eggs are pee
XRP
XRP
OHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH
OHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH
oh my god
oh my god
thats what it was ?
thats what it was ?
this is my 9/11
this is my 9/11
Bm ai pvp <@1142999789240320060>
Bm ai pvp <@1142999789240320060>
EggsArePeee
EggsArePeee
Scam failed
Scam failed
Im just reading the messages
Im just reading the messages
Timezone skills
Timezone skills
Reading comprehension skills
Reading comprehension skills
Scamming skills
Scamming skills
Donation skills
Donation skills
what happened ?
what happened ?
did i miss another skem today
did i miss another skem today
Rex donated to my pockets
Rex donated to my pockets
Basically strikes happened on 12 some articles said oman was struck but nobody bothered to check the dates on when oman was attacked
Basically strikes happened on 12 some articles said oman was struck but nobody bothered to check the dates on when oman was attacked
Centcom has explicitly said irgc says bullshi
Centcom has explicitly said irgc says bullshi
When?
When?
I mean I just cannot take this as a serious response
I mean I just cannot take this as a serious response
Centcom has said that iranians lie
Centcom has said that iranians lie
If your logic chain is: 1. IRGC says something 2. CENTCOM says Iranians lie 3. Therefore, what IRGC said is false I don't know how to communicate with you in any cause -> effect logic 101 chain of inference system that explains exactly why this is an awful approach to logic
If your logic chain is: 1. IRGC says something 2. CENTCOM says Iranians lie 3. Therefore, what IRGC said is false I don't know how to communicate with you in any cause -> effect logic 101 chain of inference system that explains exactly why this is an awful approach to logic
No im not saying the oman strikes are a lie
No im not saying the oman strikes are a lie
If the IRGC says it's sunny outside, do we immediately resolve "Will the sun shine" markets to N because they're lying?
If the IRGC says it's sunny outside, do we immediately resolve "Will the sun shine" markets to N because they're lying?
Im saying in general irgc shouldnt be used to confirm strikes
Im saying in general irgc shouldnt be used to confirm strikes
Brutal
Brutal
Sure, but that's a different statement
Sure, but that's a different statement
Apologies for the confusion
Apologies for the confusion
I think it's likely that the IRGC did launch strikes against Oman on the 13th as a part of their self-referenced 5th wave
I think it's likely that the IRGC did launch strikes against Oman on the 13th as a part of their self-referenced 5th wave
https://klipy.com/gifs/dog-dog-peeing-on-the-car
https://klipy.com/gifs/dog-dog-peeing-on-the-car
Whether or not their attack was intercepted is a different question
Whether or not their attack was intercepted is a different question
It happened but they always claim direct hits which is false
It happened but they always claim direct hits which is false
Why didn’t you dispute?
Why didn’t you dispute?
<@1435068346537082960>
<@1435068346537082960>
-160k is brutal
-160k is brutal
indeed
indeed
oh wait
oh wait
🥺
🥺
it wasnt fucking double disputed and i didnt bond
it wasnt fucking double disputed and i didnt bond
i didnt even notice
i didnt even notice
Rex didn’t wanna donate again
Rex didn’t wanna donate again
dude if i knew it wasnt double disputed
dude if i knew it wasnt double disputed
fsss
fsss
https://claude.ai/code/artifact/ad2525d9-9ea3-4376-b676-27bd59f9b192 Honest feedback on new evidence package artifact desired Good design? Layout readable? Useful? Pros/cons etc
https://claude.ai/code/artifact/ad2525d9-9ea3-4376-b676-27bd59f9b192 Honest feedback on new evidence package artifact desired Good design? Layout readable? Useful? Pros/cons etc
Fire
Fire
is he yamal
is he yamal
No need to go to such lengths when it wont be disputed
No need to go to such lengths when it wont be disputed
<@585913787388002324> tip me mf for resolving this market and enduring panic attacks
<@585913787388002324> tip me mf for resolving this market and enduring panic attacks
HAKAI
HAKAI
Its laying
Its laying
Hakei unblock me please I’ll value add your world
Hakei unblock me please I’ll value add your world
https://klipy.com/gifs/dbs-hakai
https://klipy.com/gifs/dbs-hakai
😏
😏
I know bro J, but who is susquehanna
I know bro J, but who is susquehanna
vro can you share your view on 15
vro can you share your view on 15
Just make money on another market and let it go
Just make money on another market and let it go
💀 naaah i will get more x on this one
💀 naaah i will get more x on this one
I'll have more to say when the evidence window has closed 🙂
I'll have more to say when the evidence window has closed 🙂
https://polymarket.com/@lornapredicts
https://polymarket.com/@lornapredicts
Bri how tf this dude gets so Many perfect enters
Bri how tf this dude gets so Many perfect enters
why tf is this happening
why tf is this happening
I saw it aswell
I saw it aswell
🤣
🤣
its happened more than once
its happened more than once
It will keep happening
It will keep happening
Because its Saturday!!
Because its Saturday!!
No liquidity in crypto easy manipulate
No liquidity in crypto easy manipulate
Current window
Current window
<@1023488520733605970>
<@1023488520733605970>
if some guy manips it up
if some guy manips it up
Probs a bot
Probs a bot
Or a scrapper
Or a scrapper
eggsarepee
eggsarepee
🥚 🇷 :🇵
🥚 🇷 :🇵
Huh ???
Huh ???
You dont know brother susuque
You dont know brother susuque
?
?
No
No
Is he more powerful than brother J
Is he more powerful than brother J
https://sig.com/
https://sig.com/
https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/1509047425933905970/1517206901325041825/RDT_20251125_2133004708177151530684238.gif
https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/1509047425933905970/1517206901325041825/RDT_20251125_2133004708177151530684238.gif
Brother i want his bot
Brother i want his bot
Send the location I will have some words w him irl
Send the location I will have some words w him irl
Is it related to 5 min or no
Is it related to 5 min or no
did they done on july 15 ?
did they done on july 15 ?
there was an ace
there was an ace
not anymore
not anymore
what do you mean? did strike disappear?
what do you mean? did strike disappear?
no ace wasnt enough in the end
no ace wasnt enough in the end
Can somone propose this
Can somone propose this
no ace, no case
no ace, no case
Thanks
Thanks