https://x.com/pnagovph/status/2079120807385862514
https://x.com/pnagovph/status/2079120807385862514
2026-07-20 · Polymarket · 412 条相关讨论
https://x.com/pnagovph/status/2079120807385862514
https://x.com/pnagovph/status/2079120807385862514
looks quite violent to me
looks quite violent to me
not at all
not at all
Should go P2 off this comment alone
Should go P2 off this comment alone
# Dork #
# Dork #
Same oo
Same oo
guys
guys
think forward if this goes yes we have lama loco with 700k winnings
think forward if this goes yes we have lama loco with 700k winnings
I guess people just didnt fight wars in medieval times. No guns = no military <:Shrug:1306491719201849364>
I guess people just didnt fight wars in medieval times. No guns = no military <:Shrug:1306491719201849364>
wrap it up
wrap it up
Your mental retardation seems to be getting worse.
Your mental retardation seems to be getting worse.
apparently not on the china/india border in 2020 either
apparently not on the china/india border in 2020 either
i preferred it when i was blocked and you didnt reply to me
i preferred it when i was blocked and you didnt reply to me
I'm genuinely unsure why this can't go Y forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and Philippine military force There was a clear engagement between sub-sections of the two
I'm genuinely unsure why this can't go Y forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and Philippine military force There was a clear engagement between sub-sections of the two
the entire N argument here is like 'nah vibes bro'
the entire N argument here is like 'nah vibes bro'
and maybe they're right? but taking rules as given its objectively a Y
and maybe they're right? but taking rules as given its objectively a Y
^
^
https://klipy.com/gifs/don-draper-madmen
https://klipy.com/gifs/don-draper-madmen
<@227596353373470721>
<@227596353373470721>
https://klipy.com/gifs/i-dream-about-you-all-the-time-3doors-down-1
https://klipy.com/gifs/i-dream-about-you-all-the-time-3doors-down-1
YOu guys try to solve a market of military engagement because a guy hit another guy with a wood ?
YOu guys try to solve a market of military engagement because a guy hit another guy with a wood ?
🫡
🫡
Why does it not count?
Why does it not count?
because 2 military boats rammed into eachother and used bats to hit eachother. They were trying to deny that boat
because 2 military boats rammed into eachother and used bats to hit eachother. They were trying to deny that boat
🤷♀️ its an incident involving the use of force between Chinese and Philippine military forces
🤷♀️ its an incident involving the use of force between Chinese and Philippine military forces
There's not really anything in the rules prohibiting this as it technically fits. But the vibes heavily favor N because the intention for this market was probably live fire.
There's not really anything in the rules prohibiting this as it technically fits. But the vibes heavily favor N because the intention for this market was probably live fire.
You expect a grand battle of midway between China and Philippines to resolve this to yes?
You expect a grand battle of midway between China and Philippines to resolve this to yes?
This feels like a market 50p would try to flip
This feels like a market 50p would try to flip
Intention for this market is entirely vibes bro
Intention for this market is entirely vibes bro
Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
<@790654034112544799> Thoughts?
<@790654034112544799> Thoughts?
There was a significant damage done to his head
There was a significant damage done to his head
its not the ship, they hit AFP Navy guy on the head with a stick and prob cracked his skull
its not the ship, they hit AFP Navy guy on the head with a stick and prob cracked his skull
it will be significant damage to my head if i argue about this
it will be significant damage to my head if i argue about this
That clause if for ship ramming
That clause if for ship ramming
what if he dies nexxt week
what if he dies nexxt week
there's footage of the hit, photo of the damage after
there's footage of the hit, photo of the damage after
im torn
im torn
is it then a Y
is it then a Y
Crazy how someone has concussion, likely brain damage but this will go N
Crazy how someone has concussion, likely brain damage but this will go N
CCGV
CCGV
what side would it be more fun to profit from
what side would it be more fun to profit from
bm kelly 18 90
bm kelly 18 90
A guy hitting another guy with a stick is a military action? bruh
A guy hitting another guy with a stick is a military action? bruh
How many ships or people would it take for a melee battle to qualify as yes in the eyes of the no guys
How many ships or people would it take for a melee battle to qualify as yes in the eyes of the no guys
Read pato de Goma read
Read pato de Goma read
i watched the video
i watched the video
Imo it should count, this isnt a random squabble but an ordered assault. The chinese military does that to harass without provoking too much. They are ordered to do that. Its a military clash, albeit non lethal.
Imo it should count, this isnt a random squabble but an ordered assault. The chinese military does that to harass without provoking too much. They are ordered to do that. Its a military clash, albeit non lethal.
so we can resolve military action markets with stick fighting
so we can resolve military action markets with stick fighting
it’s a joke lol
it’s a joke lol
Imagine Polymarket in 1400s... Mistky would still argue for N
Imagine Polymarket in 1400s... Mistky would still argue for N
so you would say that every war pre gunpowder is not a millitary engagement
so you would say that every war pre gunpowder is not a millitary engagement
it is an incident involving the violent use of force between Chinese and Philippine military forces yes
it is an incident involving the violent use of force between Chinese and Philippine military forces yes
you guys have no imagination and think that military clash is only guns and airstrikes
you guys have no imagination and think that military clash is only guns and airstrikes
rules say violent action this is violent action between millitaries
rules say violent action this is violent action between millitaries
if one of the soldiers died from the punches, (recieving treatment) would it be yes?
if one of the soldiers died from the punches, (recieving treatment) would it be yes?
or do we need missiles and bombs?
or do we need missiles and bombs?
How many ships or people would it take for a melee battle to qualify as yes in the eyes of the no guys
How many ships or people would it take for a melee battle to qualify as yes in the eyes of the no guys
Why do you guys get your understanding from Hollywood movies? It's not just guns that militaries use
Why do you guys get your understanding from Hollywood movies? It's not just guns that militaries use
this one should
this one should
ya so the action was violent and he is in hospital
ya so the action was violent and he is in hospital
Someone could die in a fight with bat
Someone could die in a fight with bat
yeah it should count but yeah it might not gl to everyone
yeah it should count but yeah it might not gl to everyone
if he bonk his head and he died its not military clash but if he pull out 1911 and shot him into leg and lives its military clash
if he bonk his head and he died its not military clash but if he pull out 1911 and shot him into leg and lives its military clash
significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) = significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the body)
significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) = significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the body)
there is no need to argue about guns or medieval history or anything else. > Was there an incident involving the use of force between Chinese and Philippine military forces? > > Yes close and pay
there is no need to argue about guns or medieval history or anything else. > Was there an incident involving the use of force between Chinese and Philippine military forces? > > Yes close and pay
CLOSE AND PAY
CLOSE AND PAY
https://www.reuters.com/world/china/chinese-coast-guard-struck-navy-sailor-south-china-sea-encounter-says-philippine-2026-07-20/
https://www.reuters.com/world/china/chinese-coast-guard-struck-navy-sailor-south-china-sea-encounter-says-philippine-2026-07-20/
# CLOSE AND PAY
# CLOSE AND PAY
propose Y now
propose Y now
reuters seems bullish for yes
reuters seems bullish for yes
anyone want to split proposal for Y?
anyone want to split proposal for Y?
I am gonna be honest, if you are on no here I suspect you are a ccp shill!
I am gonna be honest, if you are on no here I suspect you are a ccp shill!
It says striking jejejej
It says striking jejejej
Id be scared to hold no till eoy, theyve been doing more violent ramming than this too
Id be scared to hold no till eoy, theyve been doing more violent ramming than this too
shhhhhhh
shhhhhhh
Close and pay now
Close and pay now
oop
oop
clear pattern of provocative and hostile behavior
clear pattern of provocative and hostile behavior
lets just farm enough shares and then propose, obviously it counts
lets just farm enough shares and then propose, obviously it counts
A chinese army laundryman violently hits his wife who is a cook for the Philippine army. Should the market resolve Y?
A chinese army laundryman violently hits his wife who is a cook for the Philippine army. Should the market resolve Y?
pls keep buying no
pls keep buying no
Thats a fact lmao 😂😂
Thats a fact lmao 😂😂
no because that wasnt an ordered assault?
no because that wasnt an ordered assault?
Do you understand what receiving an order in the military entails?
Do you understand what receiving an order in the military entails?
do you have proof this attack was ordered?
do you have proof this attack was ordered?
https://x.com/tsybka/status/2068286152575013077?s=46
https://x.com/tsybka/status/2068286152575013077?s=46
shitty argument btw
shitty argument btw
Yes, there is plenty of reporting on the chinese military harassing the phillipine navy on purpose to deny certain atolls and that stranded boat they have
Yes, there is plenty of reporting on the chinese military harassing the phillipine navy on purpose to deny certain atolls and that stranded boat they have
because the chinese want to control that part of the sea, they claim it
because the chinese want to control that part of the sea, they claim it
melee counts for a market that was listed today for india/china clash
melee counts for a market that was listed today for india/china clash
"I don't know what would have to happen, but someone is clearly buying YES and supporting this price for a very long time. " <:dollar:944658743960952862>
"I don't know what would have to happen, but someone is clearly buying YES and supporting this price for a very long time. " <:dollar:944658743960952862>
https://klipy.com/gifs/vince-mcmahon-6
https://klipy.com/gifs/vince-mcmahon-6
Melee counts for clash markets👀
Melee counts for clash markets👀
That boat attack is literally genuinely a part of a wider non-lethal but violent conflict between china and the phillipines over the south china sea
That boat attack is literally genuinely a part of a wider non-lethal but violent conflict between china and the phillipines over the south china sea
yeah why should not melee count for clash market?
yeah why should not melee count for clash market?
Because they are disputing ownership over that part of the south china sea
Because they are disputing ownership over that part of the south china sea
its the most direct fighting u can imagine
its the most direct fighting u can imagine
👀
👀
dayumm
dayumm
https://klipy.com/gifs/vince-mcmahon-vince-mcmahon-meme-5
https://klipy.com/gifs/vince-mcmahon-vince-mcmahon-meme-5
And this market says otherssss so it’s should be a YES AT UMA
And this market says otherssss so it’s should be a YES AT UMA
sick find
sick find
Its literally a military operation, please do your research.
Its literally a military operation, please do your research.
https://klipy.com/gifs/vince-mcmahon-wwe-Xpr
https://klipy.com/gifs/vince-mcmahon-wwe-Xpr
GAGAGAGAGAGAGAGAGAGAGAGAGAGAGAAGGAGAAGAG
GAGAGAGAGAGAGAGAGAGAGAGAGAGAGAAGGAGAAGAG
https://klipy.com/gifs/bonk-doge-4
https://klipy.com/gifs/bonk-doge-4
It does not say that at all
It does not say that at all
Nice research busy you got the ace en
Nice research busy you got the ace en
https://klipy.com/gifs/vince-mcmahon-57
https://klipy.com/gifs/vince-mcmahon-57
Filipines says that others
Filipines says that others
This isnt a random encounter, this is an ordered campaign by the ccp, because they want to control the south-china sea, including parts that the phillipines claim.
This isnt a random encounter, this is an ordered campaign by the ccp, because they want to control the south-china sea, including parts that the phillipines claim.
This is like the most obvious yes I’ve seen but it’s getting vibecucked and pricecucked
This is like the most obvious yes I’ve seen but it’s getting vibecucked and pricecucked
how is it price cucked it’s middle of the night with no liquidity
how is it price cucked it’s middle of the night with no liquidity
ok i slammed
ok i slammed
literallly no excuse for not jamming Y if u believe it
literallly no excuse for not jamming Y if u believe it
What market are we scamming?
What market are we scamming?
*truthfully resolving to Y
*truthfully resolving to Y
not scamming
not scamming
https://klipy.com/gifs/vince-mc-mahon-reaction
https://klipy.com/gifs/vince-mc-mahon-reaction
yeah this should be a very good argument for yes
yeah this should be a very good argument for yes
its a clash not a battle or strike
its a clash not a battle or strike
we miss u
we miss u
WHat MARKET
WHat MARKET
I think it's a yes
I think it's a yes
Was pretty close to end up as letal ngl
Was pretty close to end up as letal ngl
https://klipy.com/gifs/bonk-doge-5
https://klipy.com/gifs/bonk-doge-5
A bad hit and can easy kill
A bad hit and can easy kill
# Hand-to-hand combat with the use of melee weapons between military personnel, will qualify.
# Hand-to-hand combat with the use of melee weapons between military personnel, will qualify.
guys this is an obvious ace
guys this is an obvious ace
The No argument that says they should've been ordered so it counts its bs
The No argument that says they should've been ordered so it counts its bs
this is a huge ace
this is a huge ace
Yes and one of these times, someone is gonna get seriously injured. In fact the chinese have poisoned the phillipino soldiers on the Second Thomas Shoal before. This is serious lol. Its not a joke.
Yes and one of these times, someone is gonna get seriously injured. In fact the chinese have poisoned the phillipino soldiers on the Second Thomas Shoal before. This is serious lol. Its not a joke.
WHAT MARKET!!!
WHAT MARKET!!!
china phillipines clash
china phillipines clash
Lmao
Lmao
And what are the arguments for YES?
And what are the arguments for YES?
Who is on no? I would genuinely like to understand their position, maybe there is a misunderstanding like Node had
Who is on no? I would genuinely like to understand their position, maybe there is a misunderstanding like Node had
only alex
only alex
<@252215153305583616> We need you gang
<@252215153305583616> We need you gang
mistky and tenebrus
mistky and tenebrus
there was a qualifying incident involving the use of force between Chinese and Philippine military forces
there was a qualifying incident involving the use of force between Chinese and Philippine military forces
LMFAO that's so funny
LMFAO that's so funny
like look at this: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/4/13/philippines-accuses-china-of-using-cyanide-to-poison-south-china-sea-atoll
like look at this: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/4/13/philippines-accuses-china-of-using-cyanide-to-poison-south-china-sea-atoll
Others”””””” so if a market count melee this one should count too no? As othersss
Others”””””” so if a market count melee this one should count too no? As othersss
The chinese have poisoned the phillipino soldiers on that island before
The chinese have poisoned the phillipino soldiers on that island before
this literally favours yes even if there's a clarif
this literally favours yes even if there's a clarif
yeah for others
yeah for others
12k to flip the market, lets all buy YES at the time
12k to flip the market, lets all buy YES at the time
they defined clash as melee count before
they defined clash as melee count before
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and Philippines between November 11, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and Philippines between November 11, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The thing is we have new clarification team
The thing is we have new clarification team
Rules say the Same military enocunyee
Rules say the Same military enocunyee
and we have a millitary clash
and we have a millitary clash
" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China" - YES "incident involving the use of force" - YES
" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China" - YES "incident involving the use of force" - YES
Should count as a melee tho
Should count as a melee tho
melee counts
melee counts
who have implicitly clarified on another market today that melee counts
who have implicitly clarified on another market today that melee counts
They are more into vibes and titles instead of rules
They are more into vibes and titles instead of rules
Ok so PM even used to define military engagement to include hand-to-hand combat?
Ok so PM even used to define military engagement to include hand-to-hand combat?
They literally encountered each other face to face
They literally encountered each other face to face
its joever
its joever
So the vibe people just vibed wrong
So the vibe people just vibed wrong
Should be as they say on another market literally the Same
Should be as they say on another market literally the Same
I will ping a team on this
I will ping a team on this
Oh, the melee thing is for today?
Oh, the melee thing is for today?
uh oh
uh oh
They used force though I don't get it?
They used force though I don't get it?
<@524122609764401174>
<@524122609764401174>
hii, what are we flipping, scamming etc?
hii, what are we flipping, scamming etc?
lets farm a little longer and then propose. Bel and the markets team isnt retarded. This isnt a random encounter lol.
lets farm a little longer and then propose. Bel and the markets team isnt retarded. This isnt a random encounter lol.
bm flex philippines
bm flex philippines
https://x.com/maracepeda/status/2079116470181863506?s=46&t=0Sx-tytMaqC8m6aykmZUKA
https://x.com/maracepeda/status/2079116470181863506?s=46&t=0Sx-tytMaqC8m6aykmZUKA
# WOUNDED
# WOUNDED
WOUNDED
WOUNDED
<:wow:1480174271589384212>
<:wow:1480174271589384212>
# WOHNDED
# WOHNDED
that sucks ngl, sorry for that guy
that sucks ngl, sorry for that guy
?
?
ye i hope he's ok after his military clash with Chinese military forces
ye i hope he's ok after his military clash with Chinese military forces
If theta wants he could propose He has 700k shares, 1500$ is nth
If theta wants he could propose He has 700k shares, 1500$ is nth
No matter what I say, I always end up winning.
No matter what I say, I always end up winning.
😂
😂
BOND THE WOUND
BOND THE WOUND
NGL next time the chinese might genuinely put poison on their paddles. They are fucked up
NGL next time the chinese might genuinely put poison on their paddles. They are fucked up
How did the WC photo market go for you yesterday?
How did the WC photo market go for you yesterday?
Insanely evil to poison people with cyanide
Insanely evil to poison people with cyanide
with a profit.
with a profit.
They have been harassing the Shoal for a while but its getting worse and worse
They have been harassing the Shoal for a while but its getting worse and worse
VERY VERY SERIOUS
VERY VERY SERIOUS
Someone could have died for his country in this military clash and people are mocking him
Someone could have died for his country in this military clash and people are mocking him
dude couldve died
dude couldve died
Damn this cinese are crazy ppl ngl
Damn this cinese are crazy ppl ngl
shame on you if you buy No
shame on you if you buy No
Poor guy, <@286293823372656643> hit this dude in the head to make 700k
Poor guy, <@286293823372656643> hit this dude in the head to make 700k
yes. It's significant damage per the rules
yes. It's significant damage per the rules
Same
Same
then buy them
then buy them
bm ob china philippine military clash
bm ob china philippine military clash
We need an unblurred version to inspect the wound and see if there is a hole <:Bidensmile:1040247925420339251>
We need an unblurred version to inspect the wound and see if there is a hole <:Bidensmile:1040247925420339251>
Honestly unsure how Polymarket would rule, especially since we have footage. Situationally it looks like a clash, however it's incredibly minor, but the rules only caveat minor vehicle
Honestly unsure how Polymarket would rule, especially since we have footage. Situationally it looks like a clash, however it's incredibly minor, but the rules only caveat minor vehicle
<@286293823372656643> can you put aside 100k shares for poly review we will scam this to Y together for you
<@286293823372656643> can you put aside 100k shares for poly review we will scam this to Y together for you
There is an statement and even Reuters what else we need?
There is an statement and even Reuters what else we need?
someone tag <@79608178202914816> and show him the China x India military clash rules (he has me blocked)
someone tag <@79608178202914816> and show him the China x India military clash rules (he has me blocked)
The footage actually really helps with resolution
The footage actually really helps with resolution
Clear, intentional combat
Clear, intentional combat
But man, what a fucking troll market
But man, what a fucking troll market
why would he if we're doing it anyway
why would he if we're doing it anyway
True
True
Bonking someone on the head isn't quite at the level of missile strikes or gunfire, but it's still use of force
Bonking someone on the head isn't quite at the level of missile strikes or gunfire, but it's still use of force
if this applies to india x china it sure does apply to phillipines
if this applies to india x china it sure does apply to phillipines
> The Philippines has accused China of disrupting resupply missions to troops on the grounded vessel. A June 2024 incident also turned violent and resulted in a Filipino sailor losing a finger. The 2024 confrontation later led to a provisional understanding with China to allow resupply missions to the grounded ship. https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/philippines-resupply-ship-south-china-sea-shoal-without-us-help-2024-07-21/ These little skirmishes have lead to provisional deals in the past, i.e. actually had material effects on the situation so I don't even feel like it's that much of a cuck for it to go Y
> The Philippines has accused China of disrupting resupply missions to troops on the grounded vessel. A June 2024 incident also turned violent and resulted in a Filipino sailor losing a finger. The 2024 confrontation later led to a provisional understanding with China to allow resupply missions to the grounded ship. https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/philippines-resupply-ship-south-china-sea-shoal-without-us-help-2024-07-21/ These little skirmishes have lead to provisional deals in the past, i.e. actually had material effects on the situation so I don't even feel like it's that much of a cuck for it to go Y
Will qualify if coastal guard member rammed with a bat in the head resulted in significant damage(e.g. a hole in the skull), however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not. <:Bidensmile:1040247925420339251>
Will qualify if coastal guard member rammed with a bat in the head resulted in significant damage(e.g. a hole in the skull), however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not. <:Bidensmile:1040247925420339251>
look where it is, do you think the chinese goast guard is just lost at sea?
look where it is, do you think the chinese goast guard is just lost at sea?
Yes it's on twitter
Yes it's on twitter
minor damage but violent action against a human being
minor damage but violent action against a human being
https://klipy.com/gifs/never-do-1
https://klipy.com/gifs/never-do-1
Thats what i been saying Since the beggining thanks
Thats what i been saying Since the beggining thanks
They go there on purpose to lay claim on that shoal and harass the phillipines. They are ordered to do that, its not a random encounter
They go there on purpose to lay claim on that shoal and harass the phillipines. They are ordered to do that, its not a random encounter
i think it could go YES so I bought some, but it's not a slam dunk. Rules seem to be made to reject small clashes like this, but then again, who knows
i think it could go YES so I bought some, but it's not a slam dunk. Rules seem to be made to reject small clashes like this, but then again, who knows
the cuck is no
the cuck is no
exactly
exactly
The wound is pretty deep, it's quite bad Check the uncensored pic on twitter
The wound is pretty deep, it's quite bad Check the uncensored pic on twitter
<@79608178202914816> please unblock me please. Please forgive me.
<@79608178202914816> please unblock me please. Please forgive me.
Is this guy really going to make $700k because of a Chinese paddle bonk
Is this guy really going to make $700k because of a Chinese paddle bonk
Btw for anyone on no, China is the country **all the way** to the north of that red marker. Hundreds of miles away.
Btw for anyone on no, China is the country **all the way** to the north of that red marker. Hundreds of miles away.
Hmm, even if we apply the ship rule to people, it's not like he just got scratched/bruised, his head looked pretty rough even in the blurred photo
Hmm, even if we apply the ship rule to people, it's not like he just got scratched/bruised, his head looked pretty rough even in the blurred photo
Insane 😂😂😂😂😂
Insane 😂😂😂😂😂
a soldier was about to die for his country after clashing with an enemy and you guys will say "nay" because the boat didn't get heavy damage
a soldier was about to die for his country after clashing with an enemy and you guys will say "nay" because the boat didn't get heavy damage
yeah i was referring to the boat when i said minor damage, should resolve Y
yeah i was referring to the boat when i said minor damage, should resolve Y
bad bad
bad bad
An ordered non-lethal yet violent assault!
An ordered non-lethal yet violent assault!
Claude says it’s a yes tho i just ask
Claude says it’s a yes tho i just ask
<@941405798096076880> get in here we need u
<@941405798096076880> get in here we need u
but yeah we have injured soldier we have that clash between india/china should count from melee = where they included it
but yeah we have injured soldier we have that clash between india/china should count from melee = where they included it
they included it in china / india market cuz it has happened many times before
they included it in china / india market cuz it has happened many times before
there is literally nothing scammy about this it's just an unexpected resolution
there is literally nothing scammy about this it's just an unexpected resolution
what's the no argument now btw
what's the no argument now btw
Markets should resolve based on their ruleset and this qualifies based on their ruleset
Markets should resolve based on their ruleset and this qualifies based on their ruleset
How is it a scam? Because you bonded it? Was Messi not getting a shot off also a scam?
How is it a scam? Because you bonded it? Was Messi not getting a shot off also a scam?
I think the key part will be “others as i been saying the entire day” cause it opens the posibility to other causes
I think the key part will be “others as i been saying the entire day” cause it opens the posibility to other causes
'u are all vultures'
'u are all vultures'
i wonder how this guy has any right to speak on it, but sure <:xdd:1092363406960513134>
i wonder how this guy has any right to speak on it, but sure <:xdd:1092363406960513134>
incredible distribution of shares here
incredible distribution of shares here
we have video
we have video
wdyt of this one my dearest arbfellow
wdyt of this one my dearest arbfellow
also everyone if this goes yes, we get a lot of lama loco liq
also everyone if this goes yes, we get a lot of lama loco liq
Yes We do but We need the rest tho
Yes We do but We need the rest tho
If Llamaloco is in here dm me
If Llamaloco is in here dm me
he isnt online rn
he isnt online rn
FLIP IT
FLIP IT
imagine llamaloco getting 700k cause someone hit other guy with the stick
imagine llamaloco getting 700k cause someone hit other guy with the stick
but he should sell 100k shares to community to get it pushed through
but he should sell 100k shares to community to get it pushed through
exactly
exactly
This isnt a random brawl, the chinese coast goard is thousands of miles away from main land china to lay claim to the entire south china sea (ridiculous btw)
This isnt a random brawl, the chinese coast goard is thousands of miles away from main land china to lay claim to the entire south china sea (ridiculous btw)
not caught up on the situation
not caught up on the situation
<@286293823372656643> bless
<@286293823372656643> bless
https://x.com/maracepeda/status/2079116470181863506?s=46&t=0Sx-tytMaqC8m6aykmZUKA
https://x.com/maracepeda/status/2079116470181863506?s=46&t=0Sx-tytMaqC8m6aykmZUKA
imagine he bribed a chinese infantryman with the 100k
imagine he bribed a chinese infantryman with the 100k
<@886004822669664286> Military clash
<@886004822669664286> Military clash
You dont just go there, they were ordered to attack the phillipino soldiers resupllying/rotating the station on the shoal
You dont just go there, they were ordered to attack the phillipino soldiers resupllying/rotating the station on the shoal
its like an old rusty wrecked boat on an shoal
its like an old rusty wrecked boat on an shoal
https://maps.app.goo.gl/w3T7xMe1XLyF4SeX7
https://maps.app.goo.gl/w3T7xMe1XLyF4SeX7
I just got an email about netanhyahuuuu
I just got an email about netanhyahuuuu
yea this fact pattern qualifies, just need better sourcing than just that tweet
yea this fact pattern qualifies, just need better sourcing than just that tweet
we have reuters and AFP statements
we have reuters and AFP statements
thats what the Phillipines are holding onto, its literally a military base/position occupied all year around
thats what the Phillipines are holding onto, its literally a military base/position occupied all year around
what's the no argument then?
what's the no argument then?
https://www.reuters.com/world/china/chinese-coast-guard-struck-navy-sailor-south-china-sea-encounter-says-philippine-2026-07-20/
https://www.reuters.com/world/china/chinese-coast-guard-struck-navy-sailor-south-china-sea-encounter-says-philippine-2026-07-20/
'muh vibes bro' basically
'muh vibes bro' basically
They say is not a military Clash just it
They say is not a military Clash just it
vibes, "no guns", "scam", etc
vibes, "no guns", "scam", etc
Reuters has an article
Reuters has an article
half of them flipped to yes and other half is sleeping ig
half of them flipped to yes and other half is sleeping ig
any N holders ready for a stick fight?
any N holders ready for a stick fight?
can the nay sayers fill me at 34c <:bedge:1062115204126740580>
can the nay sayers fill me at 34c <:bedge:1062115204126740580>
Eightpenguins is sleeping he have 8k shares at no
Eightpenguins is sleeping he have 8k shares at no
This is within the spirit bro
This is within the spirit bro
Per the dispute process, this market will be decided by melee combat.
Per the dispute process, this market will be decided by melee combat.
https://klipy.com/gifs/lets-do-this-knights
https://klipy.com/gifs/lets-do-this-knights
yea why do they think poly explicitly mention that CCG counts as military forces lol
yea why do they think poly explicitly mention that CCG counts as military forces lol
If its an ordered violent attack by a military against another military it is a military action I dont know what else to say.
If its an ordered violent attack by a military against another military it is a military action I dont know what else to say.
battle of champions. strongest Y vs N warriors baton duel hell yeah
battle of champions. strongest Y vs N warriors baton duel hell yeah
Guys why are you making me want to buy Y
Guys why are you making me want to buy Y
Yeah, the CCG rammed a Phillipines boat before, is this why this market even exists btw?
Yeah, the CCG rammed a Phillipines boat before, is this why this market even exists btw?
Thank God Bosaurum is retired, I can't imagine trying to take him on
Thank God Bosaurum is retired, I can't imagine trying to take him on
It was a big chonky ccg boat damaging a Phillipines Navy boat
It was a big chonky ccg boat damaging a Phillipines Navy boat
Alright, I'm in, happy to contribute to the proposal 🫡
Alright, I'm in, happy to contribute to the proposal 🫡
fullport vro Walrus this is the last chance to make it
fullport vro Walrus this is the last chance to make it
what's the market?
what's the market?
<:Salute:1389797061763010672>
<:Salute:1389797061763010672>
me too, because I genuinely believe this should count
me too, because I genuinely believe this should count
What's the best "No" argument?
What's the best "No" argument?
guys is this is a weapon?
guys is this is a weapon?
Not violent enough, no use of firearms probably idk. Its not a fair argument
Not violent enough, no use of firearms probably idk. Its not a fair argument
Just whales uma fav that will have in their side the best consideration
Just whales uma fav that will have in their side the best consideration
"1 dent in the head"
"1 dent in the head"
is aenews around? whats his opinion
is aenews around? whats his opinion
how is slamming someone on the head with a baton not a use of force?
how is slamming someone on the head with a baton not a use of force?
do you think guys this great military clash will have it's dedicated wikipedia page <a:thinking:1479896605862920222>
do you think guys this great military clash will have it's dedicated wikipedia page <a:thinking:1479896605862920222>
well the rules don't specify the extent it says hand to hand combat with the use of melee qualifies
well the rules don't specify the extent it says hand to hand combat with the use of melee qualifies
yeah they provide qualifying examples
yeah they provide qualifying examples
If you google the market title this news from today is what pulls up 😅
If you google the market title this news from today is what pulls up 😅
It's just a few drunk guys fighting in inflatable boats.
It's just a few drunk guys fighting in inflatable boats.
unironically yes? this is not an insignificant thing
unironically yes? this is not an insignificant thing
obviously someone punching other guy in the nose with fist will not qualify as military clash
obviously someone punching other guy in the nose with fist will not qualify as military clash
Did u take the alcohol test from them?
Did u take the alcohol test from them?
there can be many examples for a single rule but what matters is the rule not the example
there can be many examples for a single rule but what matters is the rule not the example
hmm lets see what polymarket think about this from other similar markets: > A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and Indian military forces. Hand-to-hand combat with the use of melee weapons between military personnel, will qualify. For example the 2020 Galwan Valley clash and the 2022 Yangtse clash would both count.
hmm lets see what polymarket think about this from other similar markets: > A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and Indian military forces. Hand-to-hand combat with the use of melee weapons between military personnel, will qualify. For example the 2020 Galwan Valley clash and the 2022 Yangtse clash would both count.
What kind of military are they if they're using oars instead of weapons? 😂
What kind of military are they if they're using oars instead of weapons? 😂
but the rules need gunfire or a holed hull isn't it? Did any of it happened?
but the rules need gunfire or a holed hull isn't it? Did any of it happened?
Yeah but thats irrelevant. If you have a unit of one military ordered to attack another unit, but with non-lethal weapons, thats a military clash
Yeah but thats irrelevant. If you have a unit of one military ordered to attack another unit, but with non-lethal weapons, thats a military clash
i just think this is vibes too hard N. imagine the tweets that will come out if this goes Y
i just think this is vibes too hard N. imagine the tweets that will come out if this goes Y
new regime isn’t going to clari this Y
new regime isn’t going to clari this Y
What a ridiculous reason to rule N, “imagine the tweets”
What a ridiculous reason to rule N, “imagine the tweets”
No, the rules require: > A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and Philippine military forces.
No, the rules require: > A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and Philippine military forces.
Obviously the same situation, maybe even worse! Did you seen his bump on the head? There is a little of blood too
Obviously the same situation, maybe even worse! Did you seen his bump on the head? There is a little of blood too
Thats just pretty unfair. Just against reality to clarify no
Thats just pretty unfair. Just against reality to clarify no
Oars aren't even considered melee weapons.
Oars aren't even considered melee weapons.
That will be use in next round when everything got escalated
That will be use in next round when everything got escalated
https://chatgpt.com/share/6a5e0a88-0158-83ea-91e7-2fbaf6060b54 this is what my clanker thinks. didn't ask about it before or lead it in any way, just pasted the rules and asked how it should resolve
https://chatgpt.com/share/6a5e0a88-0158-83ea-91e7-2fbaf6060b54 this is what my clanker thinks. didn't ask about it before or lead it in any way, just pasted the rules and asked how it should resolve
Instead of imagine the smell, we have imagine the tweets
Instead of imagine the smell, we have imagine the tweets
hell no
hell no
30 mins ago u were laughing what happened
30 mins ago u were laughing what happened
Generals: Philipino Corporal, Chinese Second Lieutenant Participants: <10 Casualties: None
Generals: Philipino Corporal, Chinese Second Lieutenant Participants: <10 Casualties: None
I think it will be clarified yes because it meets reality. It will also draw attention to a real conflict.
I think it will be clarified yes because it meets reality. It will also draw attention to a real conflict.
Everything could be use as weapon
Everything could be use as weapon
1 Casualty
1 Casualty
injured = casualty on wiki
injured = casualty on wiki
oh and btw <@1215189186869469185> all the reporting is saying 'a wooden baton' and not 'an oar'
oh and btw <@1215189186869469185> all the reporting is saying 'a wooden baton' and not 'an oar'
Remember John Wick?
Remember John Wick?
sure. i saw he has a small head laceration
sure. i saw he has a small head laceration
a wooden baton is a literal weapon
a wooden baton is a literal weapon
if u watch the video u can clearly see the wooden baton
if u watch the video u can clearly see the wooden baton
which is way longer than the oars and swung with much more force
which is way longer than the oars and swung with much more force
When there's video evidence, you don't need the opinion of some stupid media outlets.
When there's video evidence, you don't need the opinion of some stupid media outlets.
Every clanker says yes
Every clanker says yes
Consensus of reporting is resolution source btw
Consensus of reporting is resolution source btw
https://klipy.com/gifs/bonk-doge-3
https://klipy.com/gifs/bonk-doge-3
https://klipy.com/gifs/bonk-doge-4
https://klipy.com/gifs/bonk-doge-4
it’s a clash
it’s a clash
if you fire a bullet that hits an ear, is it different?
if you fire a bullet that hits an ear, is it different?
a baton is a melee weapon
a baton is a melee weapon
Definitely not an oar
Definitely not an oar
# imagine the tweets #
# imagine the tweets #
You can see the oars on the same boat, as theta said it's much larger and there's no blade like an oar has
You can see the oars on the same boat, as theta said it's much larger and there's no blade like an oar has
where's the video
where's the video
Seems deliberate and pre-planned, they didn't just get drunk and start fighting
Seems deliberate and pre-planned, they didn't just get drunk and start fighting
https://www.facebook.com/reel/1703223910939971
https://www.facebook.com/reel/1703223910939971
great day to be llama
great day to be llama
wow
wow
facebook reels 😭
facebook reels 😭
https://x.com/maracepeda/status/2079116470181863506?s=46&t=0Sx-tytMaqC8m6aykmZUKA
https://x.com/maracepeda/status/2079116470181863506?s=46&t=0Sx-tytMaqC8m6aykmZUKA
Mara seems like a credible reporter too
Mara seems like a credible reporter too
Oh wow Alex actually sold lol
Oh wow Alex actually sold lol
as do reuters https://www.reuters.com/world/china/chinese-coast-guard-struck-navy-sailor-south-china-sea-encounter-says-philippine-2026-07-20/
as do reuters https://www.reuters.com/world/china/chinese-coast-guard-struck-navy-sailor-south-china-sea-encounter-says-philippine-2026-07-20/
Thought he was baiting for more folls
Thought he was baiting for more folls
https://klipy.com/gifs/tom-delonge-blink182-1
https://klipy.com/gifs/tom-delonge-blink182-1
They've been clarifying based on the rules more lately
They've been clarifying based on the rules more lately
I don't see what in the rules excludes this
I don't see what in the rules excludes this
loco when he wakes up
loco when he wakes up
future loco airdrops if he wins this
future loco airdrops if he wins this
and if you're a "resolve by title and headlines" guy, if you google the title a bunch of headlines of this incident is what comes up
and if you're a "resolve by title and headlines" guy, if you google the title a bunch of headlines of this incident is what comes up
If he wins that’s his AirDrop 😂
If he wins that’s his AirDrop 😂
so what are we arguing?
so what are we arguing?
Yh as i said it says others” so this could be included tho
Yh as i said it says others” so this could be included tho
am I missing something here? they used a baton, and the rules need missiles, artillery, exchange of gunfire, or ramming that holes/sinks a military ship?
am I missing something here? they used a baton, and the rules need missiles, artillery, exchange of gunfire, or ramming that holes/sinks a military ship?
wooden stick is military action?
wooden stick is military action?
imagine llamaloco payed bunch of chinese and philli boys to have clash on boats with sticks and record it
imagine llamaloco payed bunch of chinese and philli boys to have clash on boats with sticks and record it
It's bizarre because modern clashes are all drones and missile strikes from 500 miles away, but alas.
It's bizarre because modern clashes are all drones and missile strikes from 500 miles away, but alas.
have you seen his chart? he will be donating it back to us all
have you seen his chart? he will be donating it back to us all
<@286293823372656643> lobster dinner for everyone! Don't forget!
<@286293823372656643> lobster dinner for everyone! Don't forget!
although... there is no clause that says "batons/hand-to-hand don't count."
although... there is no clause that says "batons/hand-to-hand don't count."
rules do not require missiles etc, and other markets with the same ruleset have clauses explicitly mentioning that melee qualifies
rules do not require missiles etc, and other markets with the same ruleset have clauses explicitly mentioning that melee qualifies
When utilized within a melee scuffle between two militaries, leading to physical injury, yes.
When utilized within a melee scuffle between two militaries, leading to physical injury, yes.
yup, this i would also maybe argue for poly team to include the melee rule from china x india for next time, just to have it clearly there, not that it changes this anyways <:shrugeg:1426598692982620250>
yup, this i would also maybe argue for poly team to include the melee rule from china x india for next time, just to have it clearly there, not that it changes this anyways <:shrugeg:1426598692982620250>
but this market doesn't have that clause
but this market doesn't have that clause
the rules aren't excluding melee
the rules aren't excluding melee
You use force to hit no?
You use force to hit no?
i think that clause makes poly's view wrt qualifying incidents clear - the lack of it on other markets doesnt rule it out for them
i think that clause makes poly's view wrt qualifying incidents clear - the lack of it on other markets doesnt rule it out for them
Simple question
Simple question
the other market has the rule because of the border clashes
the other market has the rule because of the border clashes
so CCG (defined as military) personnel physically striking Philippine Navy personnel is a form of direct military engagement ?
so CCG (defined as military) personnel physically striking Philippine Navy personnel is a form of direct military engagement ?
its not even a rule, its just additional context on what they view as qualifying incidents to pre-empt disputes
its not even a rule, its just additional context on what they view as qualifying incidents to pre-empt disputes
dont forget me Llama i was there when you nearly made 200k on a xrp bet <:pepecry:1480174599093096560>
dont forget me Llama i was there when you nearly made 200k on a xrp bet <:pepecry:1480174599093096560>
Yeah, rules writer probably didn't expect melee combat ship-to-ship from countries that don't share a border
Yeah, rules writer probably didn't expect melee combat ship-to-ship from countries that don't share a border
well it wasn t melee combat
well it wasn t melee combat
it is was more a guy got hit with a stick
it is was more a guy got hit with a stick
????
????
they have specific rules on what does / doesn't qualify for ship ramming
they have specific rules on what does / doesn't qualify for ship ramming
Deseas
Deseas
Is this guy dumb?
Is this guy dumb?
and 'hitting a guy with a stick' is basically the definition of melee combat hahahaha
and 'hitting a guy with a stick' is basically the definition of melee combat hahahaha
ship ramming counts
ship ramming counts
probably they will clarify no
probably they will clarify no
True
True
Brother they were order to attack them and harass them
Brother they were order to attack them and harass them
but you can push what can i say
but you can push what can i say
Then go all in at no sell your dog sell your house
Then go all in at no sell your dog sell your house
you can't compare damage to a boat caused by a collision with a head injury
you can't compare damage to a boat caused by a collision with a head injury
This is prison time in any developed Western nation.
This is prison time in any developed Western nation.
MAYBE you can plead down with a stellar lawyer, but like, it's combat <:shrugeg:986075701683838986>
MAYBE you can plead down with a stellar lawyer, but like, it's combat <:shrugeg:986075701683838986>
Melee rule for india provides an example of what is qualifying, and they are brutal, with up to 100s or more of injuries and casualties. If hitting someone with a stick would qualify, there would be no cherry-picked brutal examples of melee clashes provided
Melee rule for india provides an example of what is qualifying, and they are brutal, with up to 100s or more of injuries and casualties. If hitting someone with a stick would qualify, there would be no cherry-picked brutal examples of melee clashes provided
Yes, but the counterpoint is this. What about a military clash that starts with bullets but they all miss -no casualty- and ends in hand to hand combat.
Yes, but the counterpoint is this. What about a military clash that starts with bullets but they all miss -no casualty- and ends in hand to hand combat.
this was pretty brutal also, have u not seen the pictures of that poor guy's head?
this was pretty brutal also, have u not seen the pictures of that poor guy's head?
They charged the phillipinos, assaulted them and injured them.
They charged the phillipinos, assaulted them and injured them.
If it ended in hand-to-hand combat, it'd resolve the market
If it ended in hand-to-hand combat, it'd resolve the market
Why using a weapon should be force? When you just need to click the trigger
Why using a weapon should be force? When you just need to click the trigger
it’s a melee fight
it’s a melee fight
Yes, it's terrible, he might need a band-aid.
Yes, it's terrible, he might need a band-aid.
Yeah the thing he hit the guy with is a big boton; it was clearly pre-planned and delibarate. It's def not an oar
Yeah the thing he hit the guy with is a big boton; it was clearly pre-planned and delibarate. It's def not an oar
he needs x-ray and staples if he's lucky
he needs x-ray and staples if he's lucky