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共 80 条，显示第 1-50 条
https://polymarket.com/event/mojtaba-khamenei-public-appearance-by
<@941405798096076880> - adding rewards to all brackets over next 2-3 days would make sense, the funeral is one major event this weekend and there is little action on iran markets, that could increase volume significantly as there is no much to trade on Iran atm.
https://polymarket.com/event/mojtaba-khamenei-public-appearance-by
<@941405798096076880> - adding rewards to all brackets over next 2-3 days would make sense, the funeral is one major event this weekend and there is little action on iran markets, that could increase volume significantly as there is no much to trade on Iran atm.
indeed, well seems i undestimate the schizo pump potential, still wont go yes, question is only how high it pumps and who dumps first
indeed, well seems i undestimate the schizo pump potential, still wont go yes, question is only how high it pumps and who dumps first
amazing pump incoming
amazing pump incoming
removed and set at 5
removed and set at 5
haha lets see if the 3ct wall breaks
haha lets see if the 3ct wall breaks
amazing
amazing
you are so confident to not even take the 5k 2.5c shares
you are so confident to not even take the 5k 2.5c shares
until then its unclear
until then its unclear
i could but we still see about that
i could but we still see about that
i agree to not slap you for only the next 60 days, did we agree i will slap you after the 60 days?
i agree to not slap you for only the next 60 days, did we agree i will slap you after the 60 days?
but well i hold zero shares, wont deal with that BS; just see wont pump, will go No
but well i hold zero shares, wont deal with that BS; just see wont pump, will go No
its quite simple, not agreeing to someting only for 60 days is not agreeing to it after
its quite simple, not agreeing to someting only for 60 days is not agreeing to it after
was thinking as well flipping those 1.5c worth shares, dont think its even worht it, dont think it can break 5 even
was thinking as well flipping those 1.5c worth shares, dont think its even worht it, dont think it can break 5 even
how in the world is not agreeing to something agreeing to something - the status quo on enrichment was fair, but this is poor
how in the world is not agreeing to something agreeing to something - the status quo on enrichment was fair, but this is poor
indeed - dont see why the price is still so low, i think jessica is logical if more credible people post in uma, will skyrocket already. Poly might even clarify yes with enough noise, how thats not an insult.
indeed - dont see why the price is still so low, i think jessica is logical if more credible people post in uma, will skyrocket already. Poly might even clarify yes with enough noise, how thats not an insult.
3) we have to keep a little bit sane is as much of an insult as "isn't smart" which qualifies by the rules
3) we have to keep a little bit sane is as much of an insult as "isn't smart" which qualifies by the rules
It's diplomatic way for both sides to agree to zero enrichment, yet polymarket clarifications are simple, troops it's written yes, Trump post about a fake Ukraine ceasefire it's a yes. Status quo is not in writing no enrichment while it's equal to no enrichment, they clarify P4, gg gave up
It's diplomatic way for both sides to agree to zero enrichment, yet polymarket clarifications are simple, troops it's written yes, Trump post about a fake Ukraine ceasefire it's a yes. Status quo is not in writing no enrichment while it's equal to no enrichment, they clarify P4, gg gave up
the longer the discussion is about enrichment the more people join yes it seems
the longer the discussion is about enrichment the more people join yes it seems
you played well, i recall, what was it, tariff one on a last day or sth
you played well, i recall, what was it, tariff one on a last day or sth
and say status quo means iran stops enrichment
and say status quo means iran stops enrichment
but for enrichment, they use the exact opposite logic
but for enrichment, they use the exact opposite logic
funy that the clause on troops has status quo, which is having troops
funy that the clause on troops has status quo, which is having troops
its clearly not
its clearly not
troops would be a good example to clarify one way or the other to show at least you are watching and doing something
troops would be a good example to clarify one way or the other to show at least you are watching and doing something
next one up is enrichment
next one up is enrichment
would be good if poly clarfies at least one market, to stop future scam attempts
would be good if poly clarfies at least one market, to stop future scam attempts
thats the spirit now 😭
thats the spirit now 😭
if you make a deal with your neigbour that includes me, and i am silent, did i agree to it? No
if you make a deal with your neigbour that includes me, and i am silent, did i agree to it? No
so its definite a conditional statement, does that make a definite statement nope
so its definite a conditional statement, does that make a definite statement nope
so you are resolving a first condition with a second agreement, very defnite
so you are resolving a first condition with a second agreement, very defnite
the mou as shit as the polymarket rules perfect for ambiguity and volatility, like it was designed for us
the mou as shit as the polymarket rules perfect for ambiguity and volatility, like it was designed for us
No - will you fix my car, I havent thought about it. Did I agree? No
No - will you fix my car, I havent thought about it. Did I agree? No
is that agreed to?
is that agreed to?
"How long will you leave troops in the gulf?" - Reporter
"Good question. we haven't thought of it. Probably a little while." - Donald Trump
"How long will you leave troops in the gulf?" - Reporter
"Good question. we haven't thought of it. Probably a little while." - Donald Trump
No, some are agreed by signing, and troops withdrawl is stated it might be agreed to if x happens
No, some are agreed by signing, and troops withdrawl is stated it might be agreed to if x happens
exactly, as otherwise you just agree to everything if x happens, then x never happens, so all media will report you agreed to? So what will credible reporting show, us agreed to withdrawl or not, No not yet
exactly, as otherwise you just agree to everything if x happens, then x never happens, so all media will report you agreed to? So what will credible reporting show, us agreed to withdrawl or not, No not yet
whats the difference? contigency is contigency
whats the difference? contigency is contigency
On blockade announcement we have the P4 clarification on the contigency already, should be the same on troops withdrawl "...it is ambiguous if Trump’s statement represents a qualifying official announcement, or if it is a **contingent statement **subject to final approval."
https://polymarket.com/event/trump-announces-us-blockade-of-hormuz-lifted-by
How else can you be consistent in clarificaitons, count contigency first but then not again.
On blockade announcement we have the P4 clarification on the contigency already, should be the same on troops withdrawl "...it is ambiguous if Trump’s statement represents a qualifying official announcement, or if it is a **contingent statement **subject to final approval."
https://polymarket.com/event/trump-announces-us-blockade-of-hormuz-lifted-by
How else can you be consistent in clarificaitons, count contigency first but then not again.
well thats just how it works, just wait for the dispute
well thats just how it works, just wait for the dispute
No, its one source, its neither iranian nor a consensus, its P4 for now
No, its one source, its neither iranian nor a consensus, its P4 for now
but free dispute, just wait
but free dispute, just wait
iran might update later and you guys might resolve yes (doubt it)
iran might update later and you guys might resolve yes (doubt it)
as these are not the primary source
as these are not the primary source
regardless of the other sources of the notams
regardless of the other sources of the notams
its P4 for now
its P4 for now
if that is the resolution source
if that is the resolution source
iranian aviation authorties,, dont have notams yet
iranian aviation authorties,, dont have notams yet
https://ais.airport.ir/85
https://ais.airport.ir/85
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.
There is no Iranian aviation authorities info nor credible reporting
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.
There is no Iranian aviation authorities info nor credible reporting
its clearly P4 for now, easy dispute, even if should go yes in the end (which i doubt)
its clearly P4 for now, easy dispute, even if should go yes in the end (which i doubt)
Polymarket