秋田预测市场 · Discord 审计

residual参与话题 10消息总数 204

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residual 2026-07-13 19:54:38 Polymarket

There is a lot of burden on Y to prove: 1. There is no consensus of an un intercepted attack. I can see only WSJ till now. otherwise the consensus is all attacks were intercepted. 2. WSJ doesn’t provide a conclusive July 9 AST timeline. 3. The attack mentioned in WSJ which is un intercepted should be a ballistic missile or some > 50kg shit blah blah. Going with the consensus here it looks like a clear N.

There is a lot of burden on Y to prove: 1. There is no consensus of an un intercepted attack. I can see only WSJ till now. otherwise the consensus is all attacks were intercepted. 2. WSJ doesn’t provide a conclusive July 9 AST timeline. 3. The attack mentioned in WSJ which is un intercepted should be a ballistic missile or some > 50kg shit blah blah. Going with the consensus here it looks like a clear N.

residual 2026-07-12 17:41:45 Polymarket

https://polymarket.com/event/next-grok-model-text-arena-debut-20260708011851337 1440+ Y 1450+ Y others N https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?q=grok-4.5

https://polymarket.com/event/next-grok-model-text-arena-debut-20260708011851337 1440+ Y 1450+ Y others N https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?q=grok-4.5

residual 2026-07-12 15:30:34 Polymarket

where is this?

where is this?

residual 2026-07-12 15:05:34 Polymarket

not working

not working

residual 2026-07-12 15:04:00 Polymarket

yes

yes

residual 2026-07-12 15:02:39 Polymarket

~1900

~1900

residual 2026-07-12 15:01:38 Polymarket

0x58c028e7c41ba7ef2bde2142cd371cf491661c8e

0x58c028e7c41ba7ef2bde2142cd371cf491661c8e

residual 2026-07-12 15:00:24 Polymarket 大规模卖出失败:提示余额/授权不足

yeah but not every has a lot of money, many of us would get a real "not enough balance" error 😅

yeah but not every has a lot of money, many of us would get a real "not enough balance" error 😅

residual 2026-07-12 14:57:53 Polymarket

yeah it has been flagged in user-support

yeah it has been flagged in user-support

residual 2026-07-12 14:56:14 Polymarket

magic

magic

residual 2026-07-12 14:53:29 Polymarket

email

email

residual 2026-07-12 13:44:33 Polymarket

cool thanks

cool thanks

residual 2026-07-12 13:43:00 Polymarket

i am not sure what they are thinking. cucking with gpt-live wouldn't work here

i am not sure what they are thinking. cucking with gpt-live wouldn't work here

residual 2026-07-12 13:41:14 Polymarket

1450+ Yes 1470+ No https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?q=gpt-5.6

1450+ Yes 1470+ No https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?q=gpt-5.6

residual 2026-07-12 13:40:24 Polymarket

is someone planning to cuck this market? https://polymarket.com/event/next-openai-model-arena-debut-685/will-the-next-model-released-by-openai-debut-at-a-score-of-at-least-1450

is someone planning to cuck this market? https://polymarket.com/event/next-openai-model-arena-debut-685/will-the-next-model-released-by-openai-debut-at-a-score-of-at-least-1450

residual 2026-07-12 13:38:10 Polymarket

https://polymarket.com/event/next-openai-model-arena-debut-685/will-the-next-model-released-by-openai-debut-at-a-score-of-at-least-1450?r=residual#83iNeox 1450+ Yes 1470+ No https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?q=gpt-5.6 can someone please propose this?

https://polymarket.com/event/next-openai-model-arena-debut-685/will-the-next-model-released-by-openai-debut-at-a-score-of-at-least-1450?r=residual#83iNeox 1450+ Yes 1470+ No https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?q=gpt-5.6 can someone please propose this?

residual 2026-07-08 17:25:50 Polymarket

no details on who will attend yet. not even sure its gonna happen

no details on who will attend yet. not even sure its gonna happen

residual 2026-07-08 17:24:33 Polymarket

11 July, Pakistan

11 July, Pakistan

residual 2026-07-08 15:09:09 Polymarket C罗落泪市场澄清争议,用户质疑证据不足

what poly did yesterday was so evil imo how could you clarify after waiting for 18h and the market is already at 4c Nothing changed in those 18h, but they had to wait and rugpull people

what poly did yesterday was so evil imo how could you clarify after waiting for 18h and the market is already at 4c Nothing changed in those 18h, but they had to wait and rugpull people

residual 2026-07-07 19:18:30 Polymarket C罗是否在比赛中哭泣引发市场争议

what we think crying means doesn't matter, the market resolves based on what the rules say

what we think crying means doesn't matter, the market resolves based on what the rules say

residual 2026-07-06 13:48:20 Polymarket

what's the scam in that?

what's the scam in that?

residual 2026-07-06 13:32:09 Polymarket

hey guys, any scams?

hey guys, any scams?

residual 2026-07-05 19:52:31 Polymarket

oh nice

oh nice

yeah but nothing changed right you mean people now realised the meeting itself is uncertain after pumping a market based on meeting time.

yeah but nothing changed right you mean people now realised the meeting itself is uncertain after pumping a market based on meeting time.

residual 2026-07-05 19:46:29 Polymarket

why though?

why though?

residual 2026-07-05 19:34:47 Polymarket

are pakistani reporters even awake before 10 AM?

are pakistani reporters even awake before 10 AM?

residual 2026-07-03 01:17:34 Polymarket

hello, the deposit button for me is suddenly blocked. showing deposit is not allowed in ur region. i am using a vancouver, canada vpn

hello, the deposit button for me is suddenly blocked. showing deposit is not allowed in ur region. i am using a vancouver, canada vpn

residual 2026-07-02 14:58:39 Polymarket

jk

jk

residual 2026-07-02 14:58:26 Polymarket

padda's alt?

padda's alt?

residual 2026-07-02 14:51:15 Polymarket

are we gonna say its resolvable off of "a number of times"?

are we gonna say its resolvable off of "a number of times"?

residual 2026-07-02 14:33:47 Polymarket

relax guys he's bluffing to get the price down

relax guys he's bluffing to get the price down

residual 2026-07-02 10:36:15 Polymarket

ah okay thankss

ah okay thankss

residual 2026-07-02 10:22:50 Polymarket

hii, recently i have seen the closed trades doesn’t show losses. is there anyone else facing the same? happens for both my profile and anyone else’s searched profile

hii, recently i have seen the closed trades doesn’t show losses. is there anyone else facing the same? happens for both my profile and anyone else’s searched profile

residual 2026-06-28 19:46:30 Polymarket

its about knowing the logo, rules do not expect you to know the logo

its about knowing the logo, rules do not expect you to know the logo

residual 2026-06-28 19:39:24 Polymarket

i kinda agree, if i didn’t know the logo, i would think its some japanese text

i kinda agree, if i didn’t know the logo, i would think its some japanese text

residual 2026-06-19 23:38:32 Polymarket

its easier than troops imo as per the MoU it is less difficult to say that there has been no agreement to end enrichment status quo just means keep things as is if they are enriching at x% they keep it as is it doesn’t mean stopping to enrich there is so much uncertainty about what the current nuclear activity is in Iran. IAEA doesn’t know about the nuclear activity either.

its easier than troops imo as per the MoU it is less difficult to say that there has been no agreement to end enrichment status quo just means keep things as is if they are enriching at x% they keep it as is it doesn’t mean stopping to enrich there is so much uncertainty about what the current nuclear activity is in Iran. IAEA doesn’t know about the nuclear activity either.

residual 2026-06-19 18:59:25 Polymarket

literally no evidence after the MoU was signed no one has said they are ending enrichment

literally no evidence after the MoU was signed no one has said they are ending enrichment

residual 2026-06-19 18:58:38 Polymarket

if this is clarified its gonna go Y for sure

if this is clarified its gonna go Y for sure

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