秋田预测市场 · Discord 审计

C罗落泪市场澄清争议,用户质疑证据不足

2026-07-08 · Polymarket · 12 条相关讨论

residual 2026-07-08 15:09:09

what poly did yesterday was so evil imo how could you clarify after waiting for 18h and the market is already at 4c Nothing changed in those 18h, but they had to wait and rugpull people

what poly did yesterday was so evil imo how could you clarify after waiting for 18h and the market is already at 4c Nothing changed in those 18h, but they had to wait and rugpull people

Anacondasqueezzzzzzzzzzzzze 2026-07-08 15:16:52

Everyone that bought yes has provided no evidence either besides that picture with the red arrow which is laughable

Everyone that bought yes has provided no evidence either besides that picture with the red arrow which is laughable

Ajinomicin 2026-07-08 15:25:42

How could anyone call that tears? Ronaldo had been running for 90 minutes; that could easily be sweat. Sweat typically accumulates on the forehead and chin, but for some people, it also appears around the eyes, on the cheeks, and across the entire face. If you look closely at Ronaldo's face, the moisture isn't just on his forehead but in various spots; therefore, 90% of what you see in that photo is sweat!

How could anyone call that tears? Ronaldo had been running for 90 minutes; that could easily be sweat. Sweat typically accumulates on the forehead and chin, but for some people, it also appears around the eyes, on the cheeks, and across the entire face. If you look closely at Ronaldo's face, the moisture isn't just on his forehead but in various spots; therefore, 90% of what you see in that photo is sweat!

Anacondasqueezzzzzzzzzzzzze 2026-07-08 15:28:12

Nah bro, I’m not saying teary eyes and shed tears are the same outcome. I’m saying the opposite. Teary eyes could lead to tears, sure. But under this rule, watery eyes alone don’t win YES. The rule says Ronaldo has to visibly shed tears that can be clearly observed on his face. That means the tear itself has to be visible on his face, not just moisture in his eye, shiny skin, sweat, lighting, or him looking emotional. So the question is simple: does the image clearly show an actual tear being shed on his face? If we still have to debate what it is, zoom in, add arrows, and guess sweat vs tear, then it is not “clearly observed. Teary eyes = maybe emotional. Shed tears = visible tear on face. The market requires the second one. So no, they don’t automatically produce the same outcome. YES only wins if the teary eyes turn into a clear visible tear on his face. This image still doesn’t prove that.

Nah bro, I’m not saying teary eyes and shed tears are the same outcome. I’m saying the opposite. Teary eyes could lead to tears, sure. But under this rule, watery eyes alone don’t win YES. The rule says Ronaldo has to visibly shed tears that can be clearly observed on his face. That means the tear itself has to be visible on his face, not just moisture in his eye, shiny skin, sweat, lighting, or him looking emotional. So the question is simple: does the image clearly show an actual tear being shed on his face? If we still have to debate what it is, zoom in, add arrows, and guess sweat vs tear, then it is not “clearly observed. Teary eyes = maybe emotional. Shed tears = visible tear on face. The market requires the second one. So no, they don’t automatically produce the same outcome. YES only wins if the teary eyes turn into a clear visible tear on his face. This image still doesn’t prove that.

Big Burger 2026-07-08 15:33:40

I went through every frame from our cable stream (tsn, not exactly 4k but upscaled to 4k, closer to very high quality 1080p) and there just wasn't a single one with actual tear shed. My only guess is they got exclusive access to unreleased content by either the photographer or videographer that hovered around him before he left the field

I went through every frame from our cable stream (tsn, not exactly 4k but upscaled to 4k, closer to very high quality 1080p) and there just wasn't a single one with actual tear shed. My only guess is they got exclusive access to unreleased content by either the photographer or videographer that hovered around him before he left the field

Anacondasqueezzzzzzzzzzzzze 2026-07-08 15:50:46

Yeah I get what you mean. I’d be careful calling it “insider trading” straight up, because that’s a legal term and people will argue over that. But the fairness issue is real. If YES relies on unaired/unreleased footage or photos that only certain people had access to while the book was still open, then that’s a massive transparency problem. Public traders were betting off public evidence. So the resolution should be based on evidence that can be publicly verified by UMA voters/traders, not some hidden source that only a few people maybe had. So I’d frame it like this: maybe not “insider trading” unless proven legally, but definitely unfair/unverifiable if unreleased evidence is being used without showing the exact source, and original frame etc etc.

Yeah I get what you mean. I’d be careful calling it “insider trading” straight up, because that’s a legal term and people will argue over that. But the fairness issue is real. If YES relies on unaired/unreleased footage or photos that only certain people had access to while the book was still open, then that’s a massive transparency problem. Public traders were betting off public evidence. So the resolution should be based on evidence that can be publicly verified by UMA voters/traders, not some hidden source that only a few people maybe had. So I’d frame it like this: maybe not “insider trading” unless proven legally, but definitely unfair/unverifiable if unreleased evidence is being used without showing the exact source, and original frame etc etc.

Boss 2026-07-08 16:00:02

This decision is manipulated by UMA voters polymkt should stepup

This decision is manipulated by UMA voters polymkt should stepup

Boss 2026-07-08 17:04:38

UMA holders manipulated the voting

UMA holders manipulated the voting

Boss 2026-07-08 17:41:16

The clean exit polymarket can do here is just make it 50 50

The clean exit polymarket can do here is just make it 50 50

Martin 2026-07-08 17:47:29

they literally said it here so

they literally said it here so

Martin 2026-07-08 18:10:25

Just to understand there is not a single possibility anymore for UMA to overrule this clarification? Like we totally dependend on pm now yeh?

Just to understand there is not a single possibility anymore for UMA to overrule this clarification? Like we totally dependend on pm now yeh?

Boss 2026-07-08 18:30:02

Following further review, the previously cited evidence does not satisfy the market criteria for visible tears. The prior clarification is withdrawn. This market will resolve according to the original rules based on qualifying evidence.

Following further review, the previously cited evidence does not satisfy the market criteria for visible tears. The prior clarification is withdrawn. This market will resolve according to the original rules based on qualifying evidence.