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funkyduck 2026-07-10 03:28:28 Polymarket 天气市场内幕交易指控与数据源争议

anything more than 'someone is saying'. You just believe ppl saying stuff on the internet?

anything more than 'someone is saying'. You just believe ppl saying stuff on the internet?

funkyduck 2026-07-09 23:02:34 Polymarket 天气市场内幕交易指控与数据源争议

ukmo tells you that max temp will be X. What is the probability of X? What's the probability of X-1?

ukmo tells you that max temp will be X. What is the probability of X? What's the probability of X-1?

funkyduck 2026-07-08 02:17:48 Polymarket

anyone checked if ghost fills are fixed by the update?

anyone checked if ghost fills are fixed by the update?

funkyduck 2026-07-07 18:40:51 Polymarket

is it just me or does anyone else think that expiration 'fix' is almost certainly not going to fix anything?

is it just me or does anyone else think that expiration 'fix' is almost certainly not going to fix anything?

funkyduck 2026-07-01 14:37:06 Polymarket

hmm yeah that sucks, seems like someone figured out another polymarket loophole

hmm yeah that sucks, seems like someone figured out another polymarket loophole

funkyduck 2026-07-01 14:31:54 Polymarket

well known address, or something random?

well known address, or something random?

funkyduck 2026-07-01 14:30:07 Polymarket

I see. So it seems like someone is splitting their orders and is able to pull the rest on fill of the smaller size. So maybe a better name would be 'ghost liquidity'?

I see. So it seems like someone is splitting their orders and is able to pull the rest on fill of the smaller size. So maybe a better name would be 'ghost liquidity'?

funkyduck 2026-07-01 14:27:57 Polymarket

on chain you do not see the transaction at all, or looks like it went through?

on chain you do not see the transaction at all, or looks like it went through?

funkyduck 2026-07-01 14:27:17 Polymarket

I see, so this is all seen through UI, correct?

I see, so this is all seen through UI, correct?

funkyduck 2026-07-01 14:23:37 Polymarket

do you see the cancellation on-chain or is it visible otherwise? In this example 'you' are taker or maker?

do you see the cancellation on-chain or is it visible otherwise? In this example 'you' are taker or maker?

funkyduck 2026-07-01 13:12:34 Polymarket

how do you detect / what do you mean by ghost fills?

how do you detect / what do you mean by ghost fills?

funkyduck 2026-06-30 19:13:49 Polymarket

IB has had climate markets forever, just zero liquidity...

IB has had climate markets forever, just zero liquidity...

funkyduck 2026-06-30 19:12:55 Polymarket 幽灵订单泛滥用于刷取 LP 奖励

this is a thing that people used to do on CME for example as well, look up 'CME canary orders' or something like that. You simply have small order further up the queue, and you are able to pull the rest once you get priority info about order being filled. The trick is that fill messages get time priority before the update gets sent out to the rest of the participants. All this to say that if it took CME forever to counteract, polymarket will probably never do that

this is a thing that people used to do on CME for example as well, look up 'CME canary orders' or something like that. You simply have small order further up the queue, and you are able to pull the rest once you get priority info about order being filled. The trick is that fill messages get time priority before the update gets sent out to the rest of the participants. All this to say that if it took CME forever to counteract, polymarket will probably never do that

funkyduck 2026-06-29 02:55:31 Polymarket

how do you detect them?

how do you detect them?

funkyduck 2026-06-23 05:21:31 Polymarket

but they were late sending rebates as well fwiw

but they were late sending rebates as well fwiw

funkyduck 2026-06-23 05:21:15 Polymarket

ignore what I just said then

ignore what I just said then

funkyduck 2026-06-23 05:21:07 Polymarket

oh my bad you talking about liquidity rewards

oh my bad you talking about liquidity rewards

funkyduck 2026-06-23 05:19:57 Polymarket

the last three were not there a few hrs ago

the last three were not there a few hrs ago

funkyduck 2026-06-23 05:18:45 Polymarket

I actually did

I actually did

funkyduck 2026-06-23 04:40:14 Polymarket

I got mine a few hours ago

I got mine a few hours ago

funkyduck 2026-06-23 00:25:20 Polymarket

same here

same here

funkyduck 2026-06-22 21:22:45 Polymarket 用户抱怨平台缺乏稳定性公告及沟通

yeah that's most dumb - if there was simply a pinned post of 'we are aware of these issues, please wait while we resolve', but most of the times they are super evasive and you never know if you're just shouting in a hole when reporting any issue

yeah that's most dumb - if there was simply a pinned post of 'we are aware of these issues, please wait while we resolve', but most of the times they are super evasive and you never know if you're just shouting in a hole when reporting any issue

funkyduck 2026-06-22 21:02:38 Polymarket

can I DM you?

can I DM you?

funkyduck 2026-06-22 19:51:02 Polymarket

ty

ty

funkyduck 2026-06-22 19:47:10 Polymarket

hmmm

hmmm

funkyduck 2026-06-22 19:46:59 Polymarket

I am missing liquidity rewards payouts for the past 2 days

I am missing liquidity rewards payouts for the past 2 days

funkyduck 2026-06-22 19:15:33 Polymarket

anyone missing maker rebates for past 2 days?

anyone missing maker rebates for past 2 days?

funkyduck 2026-06-22 19:14:53 Polymarket

anyone missing maker rebates for past 2 days?

anyone missing maker rebates for past 2 days?

funkyduck 2026-06-11 18:52:51 Polymarket

anyone suddenly getting cloudflare blocked with a weird message in API?

anyone suddenly getting cloudflare blocked with a weird message in API?

funkyduck 2026-06-11 15:33:41 Polymarket

that's my claude investigating bugs in production

that's my claude investigating bugs in production

funkyduck 2026-06-11 14:47:28 Polymarket

Bug report: *Root cause: a tick-flip race on Polymarket's own side. When a market's price crosses the flip boundary, the CLOB announces 0.001 via WS tick_size_change; the engine adopts it within ~100ms and re-quotes fine-grid — but Polymarket's order gateway keeps enforcing 0.01 for another 5–60s, even interleaving accepts and rejects of identical fine-grid prices (singapore 13:27 SGT: rejects at :23/:25/:26/:34/:35 bracketing an accepted fine ask at :29). The discriminating evidence: decision logs show our accepted resting orders were exclusively 0.01-grid right up to each bin's flip minute (so the REST seed was correct all day), and our first accepted fine-grid order lands seconds after each reject. The old reject handler just logged and retried the same price every cycle. It's also still recurring — 4 more rejects at 06:09–06:20 while the agent worked.*

Bug report: *Root cause: a tick-flip race on Polymarket's own side. When a market's price crosses the flip boundary, the CLOB announces 0.001 via WS tick_size_change; the engine adopts it within ~100ms and re-quotes fine-grid — but Polymarket's order gateway keeps enforcing 0.01 for another 5–60s, even interleaving accepts and rejects of identical fine-grid prices (singapore 13:27 SGT: rejects at :23/:25/:26/:34/:35 bracketing an accepted fine ask at :29). The discriminating evidence: decision logs show our accepted resting orders were exclusively 0.01-grid right up to each bin's flip minute (so the REST seed was correct all day), and our first accepted fine-grid order lands seconds after each reject. The old reject handler just logged and retried the same price every cycle. It's also still recurring — 4 more rejects at 06:09–06:20 while the agent worked.*