Could you guys tell me what attracts you with weather markets?
Could you guys tell me what attracts you with weather markets?
2026-07-10 · Polymarket · 41 条相关讨论
Could you guys tell me what attracts you with weather markets?
Could you guys tell me what attracts you with weather markets?
Isn't everyone going off the same, open source models?
Isn't everyone going off the same, open source models?
How can one guy me more accurate than another?
How can one guy me more accurate than another?
infrastructure and prop modeling
infrastructure and prop modeling
for me for example, i have no live, so im online the whole time and can monitor PWS and how forecasts are adjusted, so that is my edge
for me for example, i have no live, so im online the whole time and can monitor PWS and how forecasts are adjusted, so that is my edge
There are a lot of models, a lot of variables (cloud, rain, wind)
There are a lot of models, a lot of variables (cloud, rain, wind)
ukmo tells you that max temp will be X. What is the probability of X? What's the probability of X-1?
ukmo tells you that max temp will be X. What is the probability of X? What's the probability of X-1?
ukmo, dwd, icon, icon d2, ecmwf
ukmo, dwd, icon, icon d2, ecmwf
it would be great if we could get the resolution change to nws for the america markets
it would be great if we could get the resolution change to nws for the america markets
poly already has multiple different resolutions so why not change it to NWS
poly already has multiple different resolutions so why not change it to NWS
you mean switch to CLI like Kalshi?, pls no, i would stop trading us cities
you mean switch to CLI like Kalshi?, pls no, i would stop trading us cities
i mean doesn't the nws use CLI
i mean doesn't the nws use CLI
Are you working in nws
Are you working in nws
There are insiders sir and it’s not good
There are insiders sir and it’s not good
do you have any proof of this?
do you have any proof of this?
Yes
Yes
I’m not the only one saying this
I’m not the only one saying this
They clear brackets before the outcome is out publicly
They clear brackets before the outcome is out publicly
doesnt poly have cities like that as well lol
doesnt poly have cities like that as well lol
the top weather earner on kalshi are insiders, i think place 1 and 3, if im not mistaken
the top weather earner on kalshi are insiders, i think place 1 and 3, if im not mistaken
poly only had paris (which was manipulated, so the airport was switched) and jakarta (which was removed)
poly only had paris (which was manipulated, so the airport was switched) and jakarta (which was removed)
Lagos too, I believe
Lagos too, I believe
there are people who know the exact highest temperature hours before its released to the public
there are people who know the exact highest temperature hours before its released to the public
no, they just write their reports by hand and constantly made mistakes
no, they just write their reports by hand and constantly made mistakes
WU is very inconsistent
WU is very inconsistent
switching up 2 and 3, so instead of the temperature being 23 its 33 suddenly, or forgetting "/" so the reading wouldnt appear on WU
switching up 2 and 3, so instead of the temperature being 23 its 33 suddenly, or forgetting "/" so the reading wouldnt appear on WU
i notice paris but this was like a couple months ago haven't play since someone close out bracket around 5 mins before any public information was available
i notice paris but this was like a couple months ago haven't play since someone close out bracket around 5 mins before any public information was available
Is your proof 'im not the only one saying this'? Or you have actual proof?
Is your proof 'im not the only one saying this'? Or you have actual proof?
How am I supposed to prove it, what do you want
How am I supposed to prove it, what do you want
Government document?
Government document?
anything more than 'someone is saying'. You just believe ppl saying stuff on the internet?
anything more than 'someone is saying'. You just believe ppl saying stuff on the internet?
Price action is all we look, that’s same for poly. If bracket is cleared 3 hours ago, I can understand that someone has data
Price action is all we look, that’s same for poly. If bracket is cleared 3 hours ago, I can understand that someone has data
Doesn't wethr have omo?
Doesn't wethr have omo?
I think they have faster resource than public metar
I think they have faster resource than public metar
Idk What happened with Asían markets
Idk What happened with Asían markets
What happened?
What happened?
Can you elaborate
Can you elaborate
The weather went crazy, I don't know if El Niño ruined it
The weather went crazy, I don't know if El Niño ruined it
Seul was My favorite market
Seul was My favorite market
It will be more exciting after summer
It will be more exciting after summer
kalshi weather fees are still higher i think, also kalshi uses CLI for its resolution (which i absolutely hate), and only has US cities which is a major downside imo
kalshi weather fees are still higher i think, also kalshi uses CLI for its resolution (which i absolutely hate), and only has US cities which is a major downside imo