秋田预测市场 · Discord 审计

社区建议允许同时持有同市场 Yes/No 合约以实现波动率策略

2026-06-21 · Kalshi · 54 条相关讨论

VOXindie 2026-06-20 20:12:52

I wish the yes/no's were treated as separate so you could hold both sides. I would expect the "reduce only" to be canceled entirely or to fill until the overall position is back to 0 (-10).

I wish the yes/no's were treated as separate so you could hold both sides. I would expect the "reduce only" to be canceled entirely or to fill until the overall position is back to 0 (-10).

Awwndrei 2026-06-20 20:24:10

Bot really reacted to their own msg 😭

Bot really reacted to their own msg 😭

𝓛𝓮𝓸 2026-06-20 23:23:44

Why would you ever want to hold both sides vs having them net out?

Why would you ever want to hold both sides vs having them net out?

VOXindie 2026-06-20 23:25:59

So you can trade on volatility. Ex: 1) buy Yes at .50 and No at .50 2) market (yes) goes up 3) sell Yes at .75, still holding No at .25 4) market goes down 5) sell No at .75 (or hold until close) You can't play both sides with the current setup.

So you can trade on volatility. Ex: 1) buy Yes at .50 and No at .50 2) market (yes) goes up 3) sell Yes at .75, still holding No at .25 4) market goes down 5) sell No at .75 (or hold until close) You can't play both sides with the current setup.

james 2026-06-20 23:26:36

sorry what

sorry what

betaclone 2026-06-20 23:26:55

This is fundamentally not how the exchange works. This would require separate liquidity pools for each side

This is fundamentally not how the exchange works. This would require separate liquidity pools for each side

james 2026-06-20 23:26:56

this is exactly the same as selling yes at 0.75 and then buying yes at 0.25

this is exactly the same as selling yes at 0.75 and then buying yes at 0.25

VOXindie 2026-06-20 23:28:15

Financially yes, but the play is different. If I can only buy Yes at .50, then when market goes down, I can't make a play on that side of the volatility.

Financially yes, but the play is different. If I can only buy Yes at .50, then when market goes down, I can't make a play on that side of the volatility.

james 2026-06-20 23:28:29

the play is exactly the same

the play is exactly the same

james 2026-06-20 23:28:35

because you're doing exactly the same thing

because you're doing exactly the same thing

betaclone 2026-06-20 23:28:43

The math all evens out in the end

The math all evens out in the end

james 2026-06-20 23:28:54

"buying yes and no at 50 cents" is equivalent to doing nothing

"buying yes and no at 50 cents" is equivalent to doing nothing

VOXindie 2026-06-20 23:29:34

Maybe I'm not explaining it well. If I buy Yes at .50 and then market drops it to .25, I can't make any profit off of that. If I could buy both, then when market drops I could sell No for a profit and then hold Yes until it goes back above .50.

Maybe I'm not explaining it well. If I buy Yes at .50 and then market drops it to .25, I can't make any profit off of that. If I could buy both, then when market drops I could sell No for a profit and then hold Yes until it goes back above .50.

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-06-20 23:29:47

Maybe he has too much capital and would rather the exchange hold onto it for him instead of doing more trading.

Maybe he has too much capital and would rather the exchange hold onto it for him instead of doing more trading.

james 2026-06-20 23:30:01

no I understand what you're saying but it's incorrect

no I understand what you're saying but it's incorrect

james 2026-06-20 23:30:11

you can sell yes at 50 cents if you want

you can sell yes at 50 cents if you want

james 2026-06-20 23:30:14

and then rebuy it at 25 cents

and then rebuy it at 25 cents