秋田预测市场 · Discord 审计

美军撤军条件是否构成确定性协议引发激烈辩论

2026-06-18 · Polymarket · 16 条相关讨论

nefor 2026-06-18 03:10:35

TRUMP: WILL LEAVE U.S. MILITARY IN GULF 'FOR A WHILE' (@WalterBloomberg)

TRUMP: WILL LEAVE U.S. MILITARY IN GULF 'FOR A WHILE' (@WalterBloomberg)

jack 2026-06-18 03:17:12

"how long will you leave troops in the gulf?" - reporter "good question. we haven't thought of it." - trump on JUNE 17TH AT 3:14PM EST LITERALLY LIKE 3 MINUTES AGO LMFAO

"how long will you leave troops in the gulf?" - reporter "good question. we haven't thought of it." - trump on JUNE 17TH AT 3:14PM EST LITERALLY LIKE 3 MINUTES AGO LMFAO

arbguy 2026-06-18 03:19:25

if they signed this they agreed to remove troops: Immediately upon the signing of this MOU, the United States of America will begin the removal of its naval blockade and any disturbances or impediments against the Islamic Republic of Iran, and will fully end the naval blockade within 30 days. During this period, the traffic of vessels will be in proportion to the numbers of pre-war traffic being restored by the Islamic Republic of Iran. The United States of America further undertakes to remove its forces from the proximity of the Islamic Republic of Iran within 30 days after the final deal.

if they signed this they agreed to remove troops: Immediately upon the signing of this MOU, the United States of America will begin the removal of its naval blockade and any disturbances or impediments against the Islamic Republic of Iran, and will fully end the naval blockade within 30 days. During this period, the traffic of vessels will be in proportion to the numbers of pre-war traffic being restored by the Islamic Republic of Iran. The United States of America further undertakes to remove its forces from the proximity of the Islamic Republic of Iran within 30 days after the final deal.

ice 2026-06-18 03:19:44

this is not troop withdrawal ser. troop withdrawal refers to the troops stationed at bases near the gulf

this is not troop withdrawal ser. troop withdrawal refers to the troops stationed at bases near the gulf

ice 2026-06-18 03:20:29

TRUMP: "i am not removing troops" Polymarket: "guys i think we should resolve the 'will trump remove troops' market to Y!!!"

TRUMP: "i am not removing troops" Polymarket: "guys i think we should resolve the 'will trump remove troops' market to Y!!!"

Rainless 2026-06-18 03:20:31

a reporter just interview trump and he legit said he dont know how long he want to keep troops there

a reporter just interview trump and he legit said he dont know how long he want to keep troops there

arbguy 2026-06-18 03:20:34

"stationed or deployed" from rules

"stationed or deployed" from rules

arbguy 2026-06-18 03:21:12

"identified as a deliberate reduction in US military presence near Iran. " Does not mean closing every ME base

"identified as a deliberate reduction in US military presence near Iran. " Does not mean closing every ME base

arbguy 2026-06-18 03:21:52

literally from the rules: The United States will be considered to have agreed to withdraw troops from the region surrounding Iran if: - Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States has agreed to withdraw troops from the region surrounding Iran. **- The withdrawal of US troops from the region surrounding Iran is included as part of a treaty or deal that is formally established between the United States and Iran, either through signing or other formal means. **

literally from the rules: The United States will be considered to have agreed to withdraw troops from the region surrounding Iran if: - Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States has agreed to withdraw troops from the region surrounding Iran. **- The withdrawal of US troops from the region surrounding Iran is included as part of a treaty or deal that is formally established between the United States and Iran, either through signing or other formal means. **

arbguy 2026-06-18 03:22:35

**- The withdrawal of US troops from the region surrounding Iran is included as part of a treaty or deal that is formally established between the United States and Iran, either through signing or other formal means. **

**- The withdrawal of US troops from the region surrounding Iran is included as part of a treaty or deal that is formally established between the United States and Iran, either through signing or other formal means. **

Tenebrus 2026-06-18 03:22:39

"How long will you leave troops in the gulf?" - Reporter "Good question. we haven't thought of it. Probably a little while." - Donald Trump

"How long will you leave troops in the gulf?" - Reporter "Good question. we haven't thought of it. Probably a little while." - Donald Trump

jack 2026-06-18 03:25:07

we know lol but now we have, on record, trump saying that he has NOT thought about withdrawing troops. if you genuinely think that the text in the MOU is a *definitive agreement* then i dont really know what to tell you. its clearly outlining it'll be a topic of negotiations duirng the final stage, hence why they havent withdrawn yet or havent even started to plan to. we are not at that stage yet, no agreements have been made. trump literally. hasnt even. thought about it.

we know lol but now we have, on record, trump saying that he has NOT thought about withdrawing troops. if you genuinely think that the text in the MOU is a *definitive agreement* then i dont really know what to tell you. its clearly outlining it'll be a topic of negotiations duirng the final stage, hence why they havent withdrawn yet or havent even started to plan to. we are not at that stage yet, no agreements have been made. trump literally. hasnt even. thought about it.

jjjjjjjjjjjjj 2026-06-18 03:29:29

you're not giving me a counterargument?

you're not giving me a counterargument?

jjjjjjjjjjjjj 2026-06-18 03:29:53

The MOU Trump signed / will sign: # Clause 4. USA undertakes to **remove its forces** from the proximity of the Islamic Republic of Iran **within 30 days after the final deal.** # Clause 3. USA **commits to achieving the final deal** in a maximum of 60 days, extendable by mutual consent. Read for yourself: https://www.axios.com/2026/06/17/read-full-us-iran-deal-memorandum-understanding

The MOU Trump signed / will sign: # Clause 4. USA undertakes to **remove its forces** from the proximity of the Islamic Republic of Iran **within 30 days after the final deal.** # Clause 3. USA **commits to achieving the final deal** in a maximum of 60 days, extendable by mutual consent. Read for yourself: https://www.axios.com/2026/06/17/read-full-us-iran-deal-memorandum-understanding

Vespucci 2026-06-18 03:35:09

The clause literally says "extendable by mutual consent", so its a timeline that is not finalized at all. Any commitment that is conditional on a negotiation process that can be changed or not even happen at all is not definitive

The clause literally says "extendable by mutual consent", so its a timeline that is not finalized at all. Any commitment that is conditional on a negotiation process that can be changed or not even happen at all is not definitive

aenews 2026-06-18 03:37:22

yeah, it's the only market-relevant clause that is truly conditional

yeah, it's the only market-relevant clause that is truly conditional