秋田预测市场 · Discord 审计

天气市场数据源与记录规则不一引发争议

2026-07-04 · Polymarket · 13 条相关讨论

Open24hrs (🔜 𝝣2Ⅴ1🚀) 2026-07-03 22:17:41

Even if it's logged hourly, shouldn't it be the highest temp observed during that hour that gets recorded? If everything between 4:55 and 5:50 gets skipped and only the 5:53 reading counts, that just feels like they're cherry-picking which temperatures to record.

Even if it's logged hourly, shouldn't it be the highest temp observed during that hour that gets recorded? If everything between 4:55 and 5:50 gets skipped and only the 5:53 reading counts, that just feels like they're cherry-picking which temperatures to record.

HoangSon 2026-07-03 23:28:34

That is how it work for weather market that use Wu for resolve 😆

That is how it work for weather market that use Wu for resolve 😆

HoangSon 2026-07-03 23:33:59

so I think that is better to check the rule so that you know this city use weather.gov or wunderground for resolve

so I think that is better to check the rule so that you know this city use weather.gov or wunderground for resolve

Open24hrs (🔜 𝝣2Ⅴ1🚀) 2026-07-03 23:39:52

Yeah, when in Rome. But if that's really how weather markets work on Polymarket, then there's no way to make data-driven predictions. You're basically just relying on luck at that point.

Yeah, when in Rome. But if that's really how weather markets work on Polymarket, then there's no way to make data-driven predictions. You're basically just relying on luck at that point.

HoangSon 2026-07-03 23:42:16

I think there is many way to make consistent money on weather market that not base on luck 🙂

I think there is many way to make consistent money on weather market that not base on luck 🙂

Modali 2026-07-04 00:08:18

The metar reports are resolution source. And airports publish data in some defined intervals.

The metar reports are resolution source. And airports publish data in some defined intervals.

Modali 2026-07-04 00:08:40

I think it’s easier than finding the highest temperature of the day in any minute.

I think it’s easier than finding the highest temperature of the day in any minute.

Modali 2026-07-04 00:09:23

Europe doesn’t have minute data. So only thing we can use is metar reports. USA is exception.

Europe doesn’t have minute data. So only thing we can use is metar reports. USA is exception.

Modali 2026-07-04 00:10:28

Try hongkong if you don’t like metar resolution source. It’s using highest temperature of the day.

Try hongkong if you don’t like metar resolution source. It’s using highest temperature of the day.

giteshvermaaa.L1X 2026-07-04 14:49:45

What's the start time and end time of temperature market

What's the start time and end time of temperature market

Modali 2026-07-04 15:21:44

First report of the day

First report of the day

Modali 2026-07-04 15:21:58

And last report of the day

And last report of the day

Modali 2026-07-04 15:22:05

This is interval for each day

This is interval for each day