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伊朗铀浓缩相关多市场因规则措辞和现状解读陷入争议

2026-06-18 · Polymarket · 14 条相关讨论

ice 2026-06-18 03:20:54

yeah fr. THAT is the real scam. either US agrees to iranian enrichment OR iran agrees to end enrichment should go Y, but both going N is retarded

yeah fr. THAT is the real scam. either US agrees to iranian enrichment OR iran agrees to end enrichment should go Y, but both going N is retarded

General Obligation 2026-06-18 03:32:53

https://polymarket.com/event/iran-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-by-june-30 https://polymarket.com/event/what-iranian-demands-will-trump-agree-to-by-june-30 it’s not possible for BOTH of these to resolve N right? Like one of these has to be Y? Either there’s enrichment or there’s not enrichment

https://polymarket.com/event/iran-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-by-june-30 https://polymarket.com/event/what-iranian-demands-will-trump-agree-to-by-june-30 it’s not possible for BOTH of these to resolve N right? Like one of these has to be Y? Either there’s enrichment or there’s not enrichment

Gr33dy 2026-06-18 03:35:25

end enrichmant scam dumping?

end enrichmant scam dumping?

Swaggelwander 2026-06-18 03:48:33

Status quo is enrich up to 3.5% for civilian purposes (medical, energy).

Status quo is enrich up to 3.5% for civilian purposes (medical, energy).

General Obligation 2026-06-18 03:49:23

Yeah 0 enrichment, but right to continued enrichment. Both markets resolve Y

Yeah 0 enrichment, but right to continued enrichment. Both markets resolve Y

Eia 2026-06-18 03:50:46

Not physically able to (assumed at the bombed locations, what else is there we dont know) and what they are allowed to / have agreed to are not the same. Status quo agreement wise is that they are allowed to keep on enriching as they have since last agreement. Obviously, if Iran had agreed to not enrich, it would be explicit in the agreement. It is not, for a reason. Even if it was rather "cheap" for them. Its one of their key bargaining chips

Not physically able to (assumed at the bombed locations, what else is there we dont know) and what they are allowed to / have agreed to are not the same. Status quo agreement wise is that they are allowed to keep on enriching as they have since last agreement. Obviously, if Iran had agreed to not enrich, it would be explicit in the agreement. It is not, for a reason. Even if it was rather "cheap" for them. Its one of their key bargaining chips

Thonker 2026-06-18 06:57:27

Why would they put this in the rules if it was intended to count even if the Iranians didn't sign a hard copy? > If the United States and Iran complete the physical signing of the agreement (e.g., through a signing ceremony) and Trump does not physically sign the agreement, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

Why would they put this in the rules if it was intended to count even if the Iranians didn't sign a hard copy? > If the United States and Iran complete the physical signing of the agreement (e.g., through a signing ceremony) and Trump does not physically sign the agreement, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

kranky 2026-06-18 07:30:18

why are ppl trying to scam this end enrichment market

why are ppl trying to scam this end enrichment market

kranky 2026-06-18 07:56:42

Can someone flip trump agrees to iran enrichment market they agreed to keep the status quo which includes civilian enrichment plz i want to be rich

Can someone flip trump agrees to iran enrichment market they agreed to keep the status quo which includes civilian enrichment plz i want to be rich

Eia 2026-06-18 14:14:48

Exactly! You are arguing no side here. It is worded in a way which does not give away their right to enrich. If they physically can or cannot is irrelevant. You need "An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution"

Exactly! You are arguing no side here. It is worded in a way which does not give away their right to enrich. If they physically can or cannot is irrelevant. You need "An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution"

0xzipper 2026-06-18 14:48:40

damn uraniuim enrichment nuked

damn uraniuim enrichment nuked

Vector 2026-06-18 18:13:32

it isnt though.

it isnt though.

If the MoU qualified as a freeze on uranium enrichment, the holders would have immediately proposed an outcome What is Status Quo? It means keeping things EXACTLY as they are right now. Right now, Iran IS NOT REFUSING ENRICHING uranium. Status quo = enrichment CONTINUES at the current pace (EVEN IF THEY CANT DO IT RIGHT NOW) Read the Market Rules: "Agreements to merely limit or cap the level... will not qualify." Status quo is a CAP, not a HALT. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium This is a definitive NO.

If the MoU qualified as a freeze on uranium enrichment, the holders would have immediately proposed an outcome What is Status Quo? It means keeping things EXACTLY as they are right now. Right now, Iran IS NOT REFUSING ENRICHING uranium. Status quo = enrichment CONTINUES at the current pace (EVEN IF THEY CANT DO IT RIGHT NOW) Read the Market Rules: "Agreements to merely limit or cap the level... will not qualify." Status quo is a CAP, not a HALT. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium This is a definitive NO.

Can smbd copy this text and put it on poly comments please ? If the MoU qualified as a freeze on uranium enrichment, the holders would have immediately proposed an outcome What is Status Quo? It means keeping things EXACTLY as they are right now. Right now, Iran IS NOT REFUSING ENRICHING uranium. Status quo = enrichment CONTINUES at the current pace (EVEN IF THEY CANT DO IT RIGHT NOW) Read the Market Rules: "Agreements to merely limit or cap the level... will not qualify." Status quo is a CAP, not a HALT. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium This is a definitive NO.

Can smbd copy this text and put it on poly comments please ? If the MoU qualified as a freeze on uranium enrichment, the holders would have immediately proposed an outcome What is Status Quo? It means keeping things EXACTLY as they are right now. Right now, Iran IS NOT REFUSING ENRICHING uranium. Status quo = enrichment CONTINUES at the current pace (EVEN IF THEY CANT DO IT RIGHT NOW) Read the Market Rules: "Agreements to merely limit or cap the level... will not qualify." Status quo is a CAP, not a HALT. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium This is a definitive NO.